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Everything posted by analyst75
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Larry Robbins: Trading with a Great Sense of Responsibility WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT MASTER TRADERS – PART 20 “It sounds attractive to try and make a quick buck, but like anything else, real money is made by slowly compounding your returns.” - Andrew Beattie Name: Larry Robbins Age: 47 Nationality: American Occupation: Portfolio and hedge fund manager A COMMITTED, ILLUSTRIOUS INVESTOR Robbins was born into a Jewish family, in Arlington Heights, Illinois. He was a hockey star while in college. One source says he graduated with honors from the Jerome Fisher Program in Management and Technology at the University of Pennsylvania in 1992, where he received a B.S. in Economics with concentrations in accounting, finance, marketing and a B.S in Engineering, with a major in systems engineering. He became a Certified Public Accountant in 1991. Following his graduation, Larry worked at Gleacher & Company, spending three years there. He worked at Omega Advisors (for Leon Cooperman), spending six years. He left Omega Advisors, establishing his own firm, Glenview Capital Management, in 2000. This firm has been so successful, averaging 15% returns of net of fees per annum. As of July 2014, Glenview Capital Management had about $9.2 billion of capital under management. Larry was worth US$ 2.3 billion in December 215. He became involved in various charitable activities, and he’s an active supporter of education reform both in New York City and across the U.S. He’s also the Senior Chair of the Wall Street Division of the UJA-Federation. He’d four sons by his former wife, Amy Robbins. He lives in Alpine, New Jersey, with his current wife, Sarahmay Wesemael. He’s won awards. What You Need to Know: 1. It’s no surprise that Larry doesn’t use stops in his trades. There are many traders who don’t use stops and are hugely successful. However, using stops is safer. What does he also do differently? He holds stocks for years, being an investor; and perhaps, that’s one of the reasons why he survives the market in the long run without using stops. 2. Larry said: If you really want to be a good investor, you cannot just be involved, you have to be committed. It’s not about what you did before but about… persistence and continuity of work effort. 3. When you’re affected by a bad trading outcome, you’ll need to take it as a lesson. Most traders who lose may be young and inexperienced. They don’t realize how risky it is to walk into the waters without proper knowledge. But those who’ll end up making money in the markets don’t give up… They take what happen to them as a great education. 4. Larry believes trading isn’t just a job, it’s a passion, though it was almost by accident that he went into the hedge fund and investment business. 5. As a trader, think like an owner, not like a trader. 6. A trader who’s been engaging the markets for 12 years is obviously one that has had some success. That success is what allows traders to be responsible and philanthropic. Conclusion: Gainful speculation is not that hard on paper – know where to buy and where to sell when price looks to be going in your favor. Really, you got to know what it means to buy at a demand zone and sell at a supply zone. You got to know the meaning of doing this. Traders interpret demand and supply zones differently. When they look at the chart, they come with various decisions. You simply need to find ways to survive the markets while doing your own market analysis. This article is ended with a quote from Larry: “I don’t think that I have met someone who is very good in the investment business who isn’t hard-working, bright, talented, and focused.” Source: www.tallinex.com Super Trading Strategies: http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/supertradingstrategies/index.html
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish EURUSD dropped by over 100 pips last week. Price has dropped by more than 300 pips since October 10, resulting in a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The outlook on EURUSD (and other EUR pairs) is bearish for this week. Therefore, slow and steady downward movement is expected on EURUSD and the support lines at 1.0850 and 1.0800 could be tested this week. Rallies would proffer opportunities to sell short at better prices. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish Bulls laid a decisive siege at the support level at 0.9900 (formerly a resistance level) from October 12 to 20. It was already forecast that bulls would not find it easy to break the level at 0.9900 to the upside. On October 20, bears gave way to the persistent bullish pressure, partly due to existing stamina in USD. Price was able to close above the support level at 0.9900 after testing the resistance level at 0.9950, and retracing. This week, further bullish movement is possible in the market, because USD is strong and because CHF would be weak this week. Some currencies would rally versus CHF and this would help USDCHF to go more northward, though a significant bullish movement is not likely. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD made a shallow rally attempt from Monday to Wednesday and then consolidated till the end of the week. As it was hinted in the last forecast, this week would witness more volatility on GBP pairs when compared to last week. This means the present consolidation on GBPUSD would end as momentum rises, though the outlook on GBP pairs is bullish for this week. In case GBPUSD rallies, we would not anticipate a serious threat to the extant dominant bias in the market. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish USDJPY went sideways throughout last week – a situation that could be termed a sideways movement in the context of an uptrend. The outlook on JPY pairs is bullish for this week, and USDJPY might be able to rise towards the supply levels at 104.50, 105.00 and 105.50. This is a situation that could lead to a strong Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the 4-hour chart. The supply levels at 103.00 and 102.50 would serve to restrict large pullbacks this week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish There is a bearish signal on this trading instrument, as price dived by 170 pips last week. One great factor that has contributed to this bearish signal is the weakness in EUR itself, and the only factor that could effect any rally on this instrument is the fact that Yen could become weak (thereby causing JPY pairs to rally this week). In case EUR becomes weaker than Yen, price would fall further. A factor that causes Yen to become weaker than EUR would bring some rally in the market. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: "When you understand the rules of the game, you can play the game like a master..." – James Altucher Source: www.tallinex.com
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair trended downwards by 220 pips last week – just as it was expected. Price closed below the resistance line at 1.1000, going towards the support line at 1.0950. Bears may eventually target the support line at 1.0900, but they would meet some opposition at that place. The bias on the market is bearish, and any rallies seen here should be taken as opportunities to sell short at better prices. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish USD/CHF was able to trend higher last week, managing to reach the resistance level at 0.9900. Based on the prognosis last week, bulls were unable to push price beyond the resistance level, though they may be able to do that this week, due to the perceived buying pressure in the market. The current price action shows that price is almost above that resistance level. Once price goes above the resistance level, next targets would be other resistance levels at 0.9950 and 1.0000. Once again, it is unlikely that price would go above the psychological level at 1.0000, though USDCHF would remain bullish as long as EURUSD remains bearish. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Cable plunged last week, reaching the low of 1.2088 on October 11. Price then consolidated till the end of the week. The bias on the market is bearish in the short and long-terms, and thus, it is logical to anticipate another bearish journey once this consolidation ends. This does not rule out a possibility of a rally, which cannot be significant enough to threaten the current bearish bias. The movements on GBP pairs this week would not be as strong as the movements that would be witnessed next week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This market has managed to maintain its bullish stance; as price continued to trudge northwards. The supply level at 104.50 has been tested and it would be tested again. Some bearish forces would attract the current short-term uptrend, but unless USD itself experiences loss in stamina, the bias would not turn bearish. The bullish outlook would remain as long as price does not breach the demand level at 102.00 to the downside. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish EURJPY has not moved significantly in the short-term, though a closer look at the market reveals that bears have upper hands over bulls. As long as EUR is somewhat weak, price may face some difficulties in going up. Price is currently below the supply zone at 114.50, and it may test the demand zones at 114.00 and 113.50 this week. On the other hand, a movement above the supply zone at 116.00 would result in a clear bullish signal. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “My belief is that the markets are a very friendly place. Whatever you want in life, the markets will find a way to give it to you. I’m not being facetious here.” – Dr. Van K. Tharp Source: www.tallinex.com
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral This pair remains neutral in spite of strong volatility witnessed on other pairs and crosses last week. Price simply went below the support line at 1.1150 and then moved towards the resistance line at 1.1200, closing at 1.1200. The neutral bias would persist for some time, but a strong momentum is expected soon. Price needs to go above the resistance line at 1.1350, or below the support line at 1.1050, before it could be said that the neutral bias is over. This week, the most probable direction for EURUSD and some other few EUR pairs, is downwards. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This currency trading instrument is neutral in the long term, but bullish in the short-term. Price went upward on Monday and Tuesday, nosedived on Wednesday, and went upwards again on Thursday and got corrected again on Friday. While it is possible for this instrument to go further upwards, the movement would be limited, because it is unlikely that price would be able to go above the resistance level at 0.9900. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish There is a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern on GBPUSD market, and most other GBP pairs. As it was predicted last week, price dropped sharply by 880 pips, reaching a low of 1.2031. This is a persistent bearish trend. After that, price bounced back by 420 pips, to close at 1.2421. What next? Well, the forecast for this week is that, GBPUSD would be bullish (which is also true of a few other GBP pairs). Price would go visibly upwards this week, but that would not be significant enough to override the currently long-term bearish outlook on the market. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish As it was anticipated, USDJPY broke upwards last week, ending the recent equilibrium phase in the market. Price shot skywards by 280 pips, testing the supply level at 104.00 and the getting corrected by 100 pips. Price closed below the supply level at 103.00 on Friday, and that could be a good opportunity to seek long trades when things are on sale, and in the context of an uptrend. The outlook on JPY pairs remain bullish for this week, so price could go upwards again by at last, 150 pips this week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Just like USDJPY, EURJPY went upwards seriously last week, testing the supply zone at 116.00 pips, before getting corrected by 90 pips. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the market, and further upwards movement could happen this week, thereby ending the current bearish correction. From the current locating, price may go towards the supply zones at 115.50, 116.00, and 116.50. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “I learned that the market truly is your greatest teacher and that trading is a skill you must nurture and develop. The more time you spend in the market, the better you are able to understand market movements.” - Michael Patak Source: www.tallinex.com
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An Accurate Friday Strategy for Forex and Binary Options Revolutionize Your Trading Career The purpose of this strategy is to show you how to trade most important fundamental figures that come out on Fridays. The strategy focuses on CAD and USD pairs only. It would only take you a maximum of 15 minutes per week. It comes with about 75% accuracy. The strategy is very simple and easy to familiarize oneself with. This strategy makes you to: Understand the strategy and use it in real market conditions Apply the strategy with good results on Binary Options Apply the strategy also on Forex markets, if you trade Forex Spend far less time in the markets, while improving your results According to babypips.com, Fridays are among worst times to trade, because liquidity dies down during the latter part of the U.S. session. Well, this statement is correct, but there is one wonderful strategy that can take advantage of the unpredictable nature of the markets on Fridays. This is what the strategy here is all about, and it could be one of the most wonderful things you will come across in the world of trading. Fridays are always quiet in the currency markets, unless some fundamental figures are released. Even employment figures from USA and Canada tend to have transitory effects in some cases. This is why some people believe it is difficult to trade on Fridays. However, the markets have symmetry; whatever can bring losses to traders can also bring profits. Please get more information here: Friday Market Tamer: https://learn.tradimo.com/friday-market-tamer Details of the Strategy Strategy name: Friday Market Tamer Strategy type: Financial markets: Forex and binary options Suitability: Good for part-time traders Time horizon: Indicators: Buy setup: Sell Setup: Recommend risk per trade: Stop loss: Take profit: Risk-to-reward ratio: Trailing stop: Breakeven stop: Trade duration: Hit rate: Filter: Maximum number of trades every Friday: This piece is ended with the quote below: “The answer to why a market moves is always an imbalance in supply and demand. So, why was there an imbalance in supply and demand? Most of the time we will never know! It could be a news event was a catalyst, but often the price reaction to news is tough to figure out. Trying to figure out the specific “why” may cause you to miss trades, so I personally don’t bother.” – Rick Wright Please get more information here: Friday Market Tamer: https://learn.tradimo.com/friday-market-tamer www.tallinex.com wants you to make money from the markets.
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral This pair did not do anything significantly last week, save moving briefly above the resistance line at 1.1250 and testing the support line at 1.1150. The bias has become neutral in the short and long terms, and this is supposed to continue until price goes out balance, which should happen before the end of the week or next. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for the month of October (except in a few cases), therefore, EURUSD could be seen going lower in the month. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This currency trading instrument is bearish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. Bulls made visible effort to push the instrument upwards but bears did not allow this to happen. Although the outlook is bearish in the short-term, price did nothing more than testing the resistance level at 0.9750 and support level at 0.9650. There should be a rise in momentum this week, and USDCHF would rally only when EURUSD falls sharply. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD is bearish in the long and short terms. Price simply moved sideways last week, although Bearish Confirmation Patterns are still visible in the 4-hour and daily charts. Further bearish movement is anticipated this week, which should drive price towards the accumulation territories at 1.2900, 1.2850 and 1.2800. Rallies in this market would invariably turn out to be traps for bulls; and of course, good short-selling opportunities. The accumulation territory at 1.2950 is currently doing a good job preventing further downside move: though it could give way very soon. In the month of October, the outlook on GBP pairs is strongly bearish, and large downside movements would be witnessed, except in a few cases. USDJPY Dominant bias: Neutral USDJPY is neutral in the short-term. In fact, the overall condition on the market has been a kind of consolidation throughout September 2016. Further sideways movement would result in a neutral bias in the long-term as well, but there is a high possibility that price may start trending seriously before the end of this week, which could result in a bearish or bullish signal forming in the 4-hour chart. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral The condition on EURJPY is quite similar to the condition surrounding USDJPY. Price consolidated between the demand zone at 112.50 and the supply zone at 114.00, throughout last week. This week, a rise in momentum is expected which would take price above the aforementioned supply zone, or below the demand zone, resulting in a bearish or bullish bearish in the short-term. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “I am now doing things I have a passion for and am full time trading.” – Stefan Carling Source: www.tallinex.com
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish EURUSD is bullish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. Against the volatility contraction in the higher time-frames, bulls managed to push price above the support line 1.1200. The next targets are around the resistance lines at 1.1250 and 1.1300, which would require strong buying pressure to be breached to the upside. The support lines at 1.1150 and 1.1100 would act as barriers to bearish attempts along the way. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This market is bearish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. Despite low volatility in the higher time-horizons, bears managed to push price below the resistance level at 0.9750, now close to the support level at 0.9700. The targets for this week are around the support levels at 0.9650 and 0.9600, which would require strong selling pressure to be breached to the downside. The resistance levels at 0.9750 and 0.9700 would act as barriers to bullish attempts along the way. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The dominant bias on GBPUSD is bearish. As it was mentioned in the last weekly forecast, price went down last week in spite of desperate opposition from bulls, who left their traces in the market. Short trades are not logical in this market because of the current price action, and because the outlook on GBP pairs remains bearish for this week. Thus, the accumulation territories at 0.2900, 0.2850 and 0.2800 could be tested before or by Friday. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This instrument consolidated in the first few days of last week, dropped in the middle of the week and experienced a slight upwards correction around the end of the week. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in 4-hour and daily charts, which signal further bearish movement. The demand levels at 100.50 and 100.00 could be tried this week. The bearish bias would hold out until the supply level at 104.00 is overcome – something that may not happen soon. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross pair dropped significantly last week, moving briefly below the demand zone at 112.50 before the recent bullish effort in the context of a downtrend. The bullish effort could be seen as another opportunity to sell short at slightly higher prices (since the outlook on the cross pair is bearish). The demand zones at 113.00, 112.50 and 112.00 could be tried this week or next. The only thing that can overturn the current bearish outlook is a 300-pip movement to the upside. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “I read charts like some people read the newspaper. My world revolves quite a bit around what I see on the charts.” – Joe Ross Source: www.tallinex.com
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“Soon, though, I became aware that there was an even bigger game available to players like me. It was, in fact, the biggest game in town -- the international financial markets. So my interest shifted from playing cards to playing the markets.” - James Frazer Someone in a West African country - a young man - had exhausted all means of getting a reliable livelihood, including hard manual labor. He resorted to commercial motorcycle riding. At least, he was able to get some money to feed his family. One day, he’d a near fatal accident, and got confined to bed for weeks. I thought he’d never go back to commercial bike riding. I was wrong! Since he thought he’d no alternative, he went back to that job. The young man went back to a job that nearly claimed his life because he’d no alternative; yet many quit trading because they lost negligible amount of money. People suffer ignominious defeat in other areas of their life and careers, and they don’t see any big deal in that. Nonetheless, they see a big deal in trading losses and they think there are better alternatives. There are many people who tried to discourage me from trading when I started. These were people who were considered intelligent and successful in other fields, like religion, education, politics, etc. For example, one respected religious man told me that he didn’t want to become a trader because he knew those who wanted to make heaven shouldn’t trade. What a totally wrong opinion about trading? That statement could discourage ignorant people from attaining their potential as traders. The man later sent me a personal email, asking me to remove him from my mailing list because he wasn’t a “businessman,” and he wasn’t interested in trading. I quickly removed him from my mailing list. He later blocked me on Facebook because he didn’t want to see some of my posts, which obviously related to trading. I wasn’t deterred by his actions, for I knew his actions were also lined with envy. I knew he wasn’t the one to feed me or carry my responsibilities for me. He’d his own responsibilities and he’d even be glad if someone like me offered him some cash. Years later, the same man was surprised that I’m still a trader, with a measure of success. I even sent him some money recently. He was grateful for the gift. When Should You Become a Trader? Now is the time for you to decide to become a trader. You chances of success are greater than you can imagine. How can this be possible? I’ll reveal the secrets in my coming articles. Most people come to trading as a last resort: When they’re completely down, when they’ve nothing to rely on and they’ve exhausted other possibilities. This is a wrong time to become a trader, since the financial pressure on you would make it impossible to trader with sane logic and rationality. It’s better for you to become a trader when you’ve another sources of income. When you know that some initial challenges you encounter wouldn’t endanger your wellbeing (and perhaps, that of your family). When you’re supported by your family, your life as a trader would become easier. Joe Ross, a trading veteran, once said his wife suggested that he write down what he knew about trading so that his children could learn in the event they ever wanted to take up trading. What he wrote at that time became his first book. Joe Ross clearly had support from his family. What a blessing! Don’t Give Up Trying to Become a Successful Trader Several years ago, when I encountered initial challenges in trading, I was tempted to give up. However, I was lucky to come across some things that encouraged me to keep on going. I knew I’d no better alternatives than trading. Now I’m happy to be a trader. I can only look forward to a brighter future. Trading success is sweet, liberating and enriching. There are numerous known and unknown traders all over the world, who make decent profits on monthly and annual basis. They won’t exchange this wonderful privilege for anything! By not giving up trying to become a successful trader, you’ll soon experience the joy of financial freedom that comes with trading. Conclusion: Many a good trader has survived the point at which chicken-hearted people quit, and has been rewarded. If we also imitate such determined traders, we’d survive whatever the hurdles we come across and we’ll enjoy rewards greater than what people think we can enjoy. This article is ended with the quote below: “Roald Amundsen says: Adventure is merely bad planning. I have talked about Amundsen before and focused in particular about how his success as an explorer was a function of his obsessive planning. What strikes me about people who are successful in very difficult fields is that they all share similar traits, attributes or philosophies. Much the same could be said about traders and trading/. If you are find trading an adventure or it is exciting/stressful then you are most likely doing it incorrectly.” – Chris Tate (Source: Tradinggame.com.au) Source: www.tallinex.com
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish EUR/USD moved sideways last week, from Monday till Thursday, and then broke downwards by 85 pips on Friday. Had price failed to break downwards on Friday, the bias would have become neutral in the short-term. Now, the bias is bearish, and price might test the support lines at 1.1100 and 1.1050 this week. This bearish bias would be valid until the resistance line at 1.1300 is breached to the upside. USDCHF Dominant bias: Neutral Although this pair trended upwards on Friday, September 16, the movement was not significant enough to cause a clear bias on the market. Price has tested the resistance level at 0.9800, and it has almost breached it. A movement above the resistance line at 0.9850 would result in a bullish bias, and a movement above the resistance level at 0.9900 would result in a stronger bullish bias, although it would be a kind of difficult for bulls to move price above that level (0.9900). A movement below the support level at 0.9650 would cancel the neutral bias and result in a bearish signal. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD dropped 280 pips last week, closing below the distribution territory at 1.3000 on Friday. The bias on the market is bearish in the long-term and the short-term. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market and price is expected to reach the accumulation territories at 1.2950, 1.2900 and 1.2850 this week (unless something fundamental changes the stance). GBP pairs, except EURGBP, are currently bearish. USDJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This instrument moved within volatility contraction throughout last week, which has resulted in a neutral bias in the near-term. Price moved within the demand level at 103.50 and the supply level at 101.50. This week, the most probable direction is southwards, which would become visible as momentum increases in the market. There is a strong indication that JPY pairs would go bearish this week, just in conjunction with the long-term bearish outlook on them. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross pair went down on Monday and went up on Tuesday. On Wednesday, price topped at 116.08, and began to move south from that day until the market closed on Friday. That was a southward movement of about 200 pips, which has brought about a bearish signal in the market. Since the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week, it is possible that the demand zones at 113.50 and 113.00 would be tried this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “It's tempting to tell ourselves that “it’s OK to wait” and “the market will always be there” – as we give ourselves excuses for not taking the next trade. But let’s face facts. If you sit on the sidelines for too long, you may just miss out on the opportunity that will double your trading equity.” – Louise Bedford Source: www.tallinex.com
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair went upwards last week, testing the resistance line at 1.1300 and then getting corrected downwards. The bullish bias remains valid, though it looks like an unclear thing. Therefore, the pair is expected to trend further higher this week (for EUR would gain more stamina while USD would be weakened further), re-testing the resistance line at 1.1300, breaking it to the upside and heading towards another resistance line at 1.1350. Some EUR pairs have already started journeying upwards. USDCHF Dominant bias: Neutral There is yet no clear outlook on USDCHF, as price simply swung downwards and then upwards last week. There is going to be a directional movement this week, which would most probably be downwards. EURUSD could trend upwards (owing to an expected stamina in EUR), causing USDCHF to pull back. Other factors contributing to this are the coming further weakness in USD and a possibility of CHF strengthening (please watch CHF pairs). Bears would thus target the support levels at 0.9700, 0.9650 and 0.9600 this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD is bearish in the long-term, though bulls are fighting against all odds, to effect a meaningful rally. Price moved upwards 140 pips in the first few days of the week and started coming downwards from Wednesday. A movement below the accumulation territory at 1.3100 would cause a very strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern to form in the market. On the other hand, a movement above the distribution territory at 1.3450 would result in a near-term bullish outlook. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Last week, this market trended southwards by 260 pips, moving briefly below the demand level at 101.50, before starting a 170-pip rally. The supply level at 103.00 has been tested during the rally attempt. Further upwards movement is possible this week, which could bring an end to the current bearish outlook. In case this happens, the supply levels at 103.50 and 104.00 might be reached. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This currency trading instrument is bullish in the short-term and bearish in the long term. Bearish effort was rendered useless last week, as bulls came in to push price from the demand zone at 114.00 towards the supply zone at 115.50, thereby rendering useless the 200-pip pullback that was witnessed from Monday to Wednesday. Bulls would continue to push price upwards, owing to expectation of further weakness in the Yen. The outlook on JPY pairs is bullish for the week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Success in the long run for me is defined as consistently positive returns with a consistency for never losing too much money when things go wrong. For those starting out I think it is very important to develop a trading strategy that will stand a very good chance in working through all business cycles. The world looks very different now to what it looked like in 2006, 1999, 1991, 1982 and is forever changing. Trading strategies that depend on a certain market environment will always get found out when the market environment changes. As a trader you want to be trading from now till the day you drop dead.” Anton Kreil (Source: Traders-mag.com) Source: www.tallinex.com
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“Once you get your trading plan completed however, and you have a successful track record of six months of solid trading results, lock that plan up and never share it with anyone. Use it to build an incredible life for you and your family. Hold on to the edge you have worked so hard to attain. Be happy to share your knowledge but that does not have to mean giving away your strategy and edge.” – Sam Seiden There are certain other ways through which you can make money from the markets without your own capital, and that’s what this article reveals. Many people are eager to commit real money to trading; which is not a bad thing. However, the most crucial thing is correct trading knowledge. When you’ve correct trading knowledge, capital will come looking for you, which means that your knowledge makes you rich. If you’ve capital and you don’t have the right knowledge, you’ll soon be done away with your capital. When you’ve the right knowledge and no capital, these are what you can do to become rich gradually as a trader: You can work as a signals provider: If you’ve a good trading idea or strategy, you may want to become a trading signals provider at one of relevant websites like Zulutrade. Registration and services are free, and you can trade Forex, CFD and Binary Options. Once you use a positive expectancy system with sensible risk control tools, you’ll begin to gain live followers. You then get paid a percentage of the trading volume generated by trades that get opened as people copy your trades automatically. You can get investors through proven demo track records: This is possible on relevant websites like Myfxbook.com. You can open a demo account with a good MT4 broker and register the account on Myfxbook. Your trades are recorded and analyzed automatically. After many months or a few years of positive track records (clean survival), you might convince an investor (or investors) to commit some capital to you. You then get some percentage of profits you make on that capital. I know someone who got employed as a trader in a reputable bank – only because he’d a demo account that showed good results of a few years. You can get money by joining demo trading competitions: Luckily, many brokers organize forex trading competitions with various awards methods. Some brokers would give you a cash prize for being one of the top winners and a contract to manage money for them. Some brokers would give you a free deposit as one of the winners. You can’t withdraw the deposit, but you can withdraw the profits made on it. Some brokers can allow you to withdraw the money from your MT4 account once certain conditions have been met; like trading with some desired volume. Recently, Tallinex.com organized a demo trading competition, in which 15 winners were given generous cash prizes, which could be withdrawn immediately or traded as each winner liked. You can make money as an IB: I wouldn’t expatiate on this. Please ask your broker who an IB is and what the rewards for a successful IB are. When you get some money, you can provide automated trading signals with real money on some relevant websites like Collective2. People who find your trades useful would gladly pay monthly fees for the use your strategy. There are other ways to make money from trading related activities, without having your own capital. Can you think of some more of them? When you’ve a proven strategy, the best thing is to trade it with real money. Some people don’t have money to open a decent trading account and they got talent as traders. Once they can prove their expertise in a simulation mode, they might get seed money to start their own trading business. I know that some negative views people have about trading are simply not true. Conclusion: Visionaries can’t be intimidated by the markets…. Schools don’t make successful people; learning makes successful people… You’ve to be different before you can make a difference. I wish you a profitable trading future. This article is ended by the quote below: “But truth is… We all have losing trades..., as we all have winning trades. We all have good days..., and bad. We all.., are only as good - as how we managed the last trade - regardless of that trade's outcome. Trading is not about the amount - it only about the process..., routine..., making a plan for each trade..., then trading that plan to fruition. It’s about discipline...., patience..., repetitiveness..., with no opinion..., and one's ego set aside low..., it about self-management in a totally uncertain environment” – Redneck (Source: Elitetrader.com) Source: www.tallinex.com
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish EURUSD went bearish last week, closing at 1.1152 on Friday. Bulls made serious effort to push price upwards on Thursday and Friday, but bears came with stronger hands to effect a movement to the downside. There are support lines at 1.1100 and 1.1050, which may be tested this week. On the other hand, the resistance lines at 1.1300 and 1.1350 would oppose any meaningful rallies in the market. This bearish bias cannot be overridden until price goes above the resistance line at 1.1350. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish USDCHF went bullish last week, closing slightly above the support level at 0.9800 (on September 2). Bears made serious effort to push price downwards on Thursday and Friday, but bulls came in to put a check on this, thereby preventing a serious decline. There are resistance levels at 0.9850 and 0.9900, which may be tested this week. Additionally, support levels at 0.9750 and 0.9700 would check any pullbacks that may occur in the week. This bullish outlook would remain valid as long as price does not go below the support level at 0.9700. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish Cable consolidated in the first few days of the week, and then began moving upwards on September 1. The upwards movement was significant enough to result in a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the 4-hour chart. Further upwards movement is possible, which might enable price to reach the distribution territories at 1.3400 and 1.3450 this week. We would continue to witness high volatility on Cable and other GBP pairs this week and this month. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish USDJPY has been able to sustain the bullish movement it started on August 26, 2016. Since then, price has gone up 400 pips, assayed to stay above the supply level at 104.00, but closing below it on Friday. The outlook on the market, as well as other JPY pairs, has become strongly bullish, and that is the reality right now. This means that USDJPY is expected to continue going north until there is a significant change in the market situation. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish As it was expected, the protracted equilibrium phase that occurred on this cross from August 8 to 26, 2016 has ended. Price has rallied by approximately 290 pips since then, currently making effort to settle above the supply zone at 116.00, which is trying to aid bears in their current losing battle. Bulls have to overcome that supply zone in order to effect further rally, which is anticipated for this week. Since JPY is now weak, any currencies (like GBP) which become strong would enjoy massive gains versus the Yen. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “The world's most successful traders believe in themselves and their ability to win. In fact, many of them feel that they “own” the market. They are not necessarily being arrogant, but they are sure of themselves and that they are able to take profits out of the market.” – Andy Jordan Source: www.tallinex.com
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The bias on this pair is precariously bullish. Price came down 120 pips on Friday, in the context of a weak uptrend. A movement below the support line at 1.1100 would result in a clean Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, while a movement above the resistance line at 1.1350 would strengthen the ongoing bullish bias on the pair. This week would determine whether things would turn bearish or things would become more bullish in the market. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish Just as it was prognosticated last week, a short-term weakness of CHF (which was weak versus other majors as well), coupled with a noticeable bullish effort on EURUSD, was able to cause a rally on USDCHF, which rallied 170 pips last week. USD also became strong in its own right, especially on Friday, August 26, 2016. Therefore, USDCHF would continue going up as long as the factors mentioned above continue to favor it, which might cause a Bullish Confirmation Pattern to form in the market; otherwise there would be a serious pullback. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish GBPUSD is bullish in the short-term and bearish in the long-term. Price went north 200 pips to test the distribution territory at 1.3250, before it experienced a pullback on Friday. However, the short-term bias remains bullish, provided that price does not go below the accumulation territories at 1.3000 and 1.2950. GBP pairs would undergo high volatility in September 2016: in contrast to lower volatility witnessed this month. USDJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This currency trading instrument is neutral in the short-term, but bearish in the longer term. The instrument underwent a very tight consolidation between Monday and Thursday, only to break upwards on Friday. The upwards break has not invalidated the neutral bias on the market, unless price goes above the supply levels at 103.00 and 103.50. There is also a possibility of a pullback to the demand levels at 101.00 and 100.50. The outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for the month of September, which means, bears are expected to be the overall winners in the month. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral EURJPY is neutral in the near term and bearish in the long-term. The cross has been moving sideways for the past three weeks, while the trend on higher timeframes remains bearish. The bullish breakout that occurred on Friday could end up being a false breakout, should price fail to keep on moving north. Since the outlook on JPY pairs remains bearish, a pullback into the demand zone at 113.00 is possible, though strong selling pressures would be needed for the demand zone to be breached to the downside. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “A seed was planted in my mind. It took a few years for it to grow. When it did, I realized that what I really love is trading — the pursuit of actively trying to beat the market. And so I guided my life into that role. It took a while, but finally I succeeded. For the past 15 years, I have been a full-time trader.” - Jim Totaro (Source: Collective2)
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TAPPING PROFITS WITH AN INTRADAY STRATEGY “As traders, we should never stop learning, because the markets are never going to stop teaching. Continuing to learn is a vital part of becoming a better trader.” – Track ‘n Trade You may have heard that FX trading is all about combining strong currencies with weak currencies. Well, this is the home truth. In fact, this is what currency trading is all about, and the Currency Strength Meter helps us do this as easily as possible, while you are adequately rewarded. Currency Strength Meter – What You Need to Know The currency strength meter at LiveCharts gives you a quick visual guide to which currencies are currently strong, and which ones are weak. The meter measures the strength of all Forex cross pairs and applies calculations on them to determine the overall strength for each individual currency. How Does The Currency Strength Meter Work? The meter takes readings from every Forex pair over the last 24 hours, and applies calculations to each. It then bundles together each the associated pairs to an individual currency (eg, EURUSD, EURJPY, EURGBP etc) and finds the current strength. How Can This Help Me? It is useful as a quick guide to which currencies you might want to trade, and which might be worth staying away from. For instance, if a certain currency is very strong, and another suddenly turns weaker, you may find a trading opportunity. Such deviation between pairs usually indicates momentum. Conversely, if two currencies are weak, strong or average strength, there is often a range or sideways movement happening. You might want to stay away from trading those pairs. (Source: LiveCharts) Bringing It Together There are many ways in which currency strength information is displayed (like figures display, bars displays, etc.), but LiveCharts makes uses of rectangular bars. The strongest currency would display six rectangular bars on top of it. The weakest currency would display only one rectangular bar on top of it. The second strongest currency would display five rectangular bars on top of it. The second weakest currency would display two rectangular bars on top of it. The uppermost rectangular bar on top of the strongest currency is green, while the only rectangular bar above the weakest currency is red. Watch the video here: Learn.tradimo.com/courses/183 Looking at the CSM, the best thing to do is to combine the strongest currency with the weakest currency for the best result. Sometimes, we may combine the strongest currency with the second weakest currency (or the second strongest currency to the weakest currency). In a given day, all currencies with four or three bars on top of them would be avoided. Also, these are what we do not want to do: Combination of one strongest currency with another strongest currency, Combination of the weakest currency with another weakest currency, Combination of one second strongest currency with another second strongest currency, And combination of one second weakest currency with another second weakest currency. Strategy Snapshot* Strategy name: Strategy type: Suitability: Time horizon: Indicator: Setup: Position sizing: Stop loss: Take profit: Risk per trade: Risk-to-reward ratio: Maximum duration per trade: Maximum orders per day: The quote below ends the article: “When I follow my rules, good things happen. When I don't follow them, bad things happen.” - James Altucher
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish EURUSD went upwards 200 pips last week, testing the resistance line at 1.1350 before the current shallow retracement. Price may be able to target the resistance lines at 1.1400 and 1.1450 this week, but bulls might encounter some challenges doing this. There is a possibility of a pullback, which might bring another opportunity to go long at a lower price or bring an end to the current bullish outlook on the market. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish USDCHF went in the opposite direction to EURUSD, moving briefly below the support level at 0.9550, and then closing at 0.9600 on Friday. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which means it may continue trending downwards, on the condition that EURUSD would continue trending upwards; otherwise a rally would ensue. A show of weakness in EURUSD and CHF (for CHF could experience some weakness against the majors this week) would help to bring about a rally in USDCHF. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD went upwards from Tuesday to Friday last week, pulling back by over 130 pips on Friday, and closing above the accumulation territory at 1.3050. The bearish outlook remains in place, unless price goes upwards by at least, another 300 pips from the current location. Without this condition being fulfilled, GBPUSD might experience a further pullback, which might possibly be aided by a bearish movement on GBPCAD (since CAD would rally against other pairs this week). GBPCAD and GBPUSD sometimes get positively correlated. At times, it is helpful to know how conditions surrounding other pairs and crosses affect the instrument we focus on. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This pair declined 170 pips on August 15 and 16, and then moved sideways for the rest of the week, all in the context of a downtrend. The outlook on the pair, plus other JPY pairs, continues to be bearish (though CADJPY could rally when CAD gains stamina). This week, the demand levels at 100.00, 99.50 and 99.00 might be tested. The demand levels at 100.00 and 99.50 were tested last week, but price could not stay below them. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This cross has been consolidating for the last two weeks; an event which has brought about a neutral bias in the near term (although the bias is bearish in the long-term). Further sideways movement would continue to emphasize the neutral bias, until there is a breakout this week or next, which would most probably favor bears, as price goes towards the demand zones at 112.50, 112.00 and, especially 111.50. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Now I am devoted to Forex and fully focused on developing my trading strategy to become a full-time trader.” – Lukasz (source: Tradimo)
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WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT MASTER TRADERS – PART 15 “It seems that these days few traders are interested in trading long-term. The monthly and weekly charts remain relatively unnoticed. Traders are so busy looking at anything and everything from 60 minutes down to 1 minute, that they let beautiful trades slip right by them in the very markets where they are trying so desperately to make a buck… Please keep in mind that the moves you will be seeing are huge on the monthly and weekly charts; and if they last for only a few bars, which is many times better than the moves you are getting on intraday charts.” – Joe Ross (Tradingeducators.com) Name: Tom Baldwin Nationality: American Occupation: Trader/investor Company: Baldwin Group of Companies A TRADER WHO CAN SINGLE-HANDEDLY MOVE THE TREASURY BOND MARKET Tom took a Master’s degree in agribusiness and worked as a meat packer in Ohio. He’d already taken a few trading-related courses at graduate school, based on a friend’s advice, he moved to Chicago. Being a trader and investor, Tom founded the Baldwin Group of companies. He traded the 30-year bond, and he’s recognized as a force to reckon with. He currently serves as Chairman of Baldwin Group Ltd., the parent company of several investment and financial services. Companies in the group include: Baldwin Commodities Corp., a Treasury Bond Futures proprietary trading company, and Baldwin Managed Futures, a CTA. Tom’s career as a trader was a profitable one. Wikipedia say he is also the current owner of Granot Loma, the great American castle on the southern shore of Lake Superior in Marquette County, Michigan. He was inducted into the Futures Hall of Fame in 2009, which was instituted in the year 2005 to honor exceptional contributions to the global futures and options community. What You Need to Know: 1. Tom followed this trend. Period. 2. Trading is a lot of hard work, for one. It’s perseverance. You have to love to do it. Also, in your business, you have to have a total disregard for money. You can’t trade for money. You shouldn’t make money your number one goal in trading. 3. As far as trading is concerned, patience is a virtue. Some people trade too much. They just enter the markets at random and trade anything that moves. So they’ll be forcing trades rather than waiting patiently for their setups to form. Patience is an important trait many people don’t have. Tom believes that patience has been the most difficult thing for him to work on. Although he’s made great strides in the past two years, he still catches himself worrying that the next bull market is going to take off without him. He expects to continue to improve in this area as he continues to gain more experience. 4. Education doesn’t necessarily make you a great trader. Some newbies think the more they know, the better it is. But being smarter can also mean being dumber. More knowledge could make your trading results worse, because what you need to be profitable are simple principles. Many great traders believe that there isn’t anything special about them. They just show up to work everyday and study their asses off. 5. Tom said trading is like any other job. You work hard, put in the time and effort, and make your own luck. 6. For a successful trader, the ego has been put under control. They find it very easy to cut their losses. You don’t need to be self-confident that all trades must go in your favor. Tom has come a long way with this as well, of course, with having a few big winners under his belt would really aid his psychology. This article is ended with the quote below. “Actually, the best traders have no ego. To be a great trader, you have to have a big enough ego only in the sense that you have confidence in yourself. You cannot let ego get in the way of a trade that is a loser; you have to swallow your pride and get out.”
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair consolidated on Monday and went further upwards on Tuesday. Price moved upwards 130 pips, testing the resistance line at 1.1200, to close above the support line at 1.1150. Bulls might push price further upwards this week; however, there is a possibility of a bearish movement on EURUSD, since EUR could become weak versus other majors, save GBP, which is currently weaker than EUR. The current bullish effort would end once price goes below the support line at 1.1050. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish There is a “sell” signal on USDCHF, especially in the near-term. There are support levels at 0.9700 and 0.9650, which could be tested this week. Nonetheless, the expected bearish movement on EURUSD might enable USDCHF to stop moving south, and assume a rally that would bring about a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Without EURUSD getting weak this week, USDCHF would have to continue moving southwards. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish As it was forecast, this market went further south last week, declining by 170 pips and closing below the distribution territory at 1.2950 on Friday. Just like other GBP pairs (except EURGBP), the outlook on the market is bearish for this week, which means that the accumulation territories at 1.2900, 1.2850 and 1.2800 could be tested this week. The only factor that can reverse the current weakness in the market is an expected or unexpected fundamental factor that proves very favorable to GBP or very unfavorable to USD. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish According to expectation, this currency trading instrument was able to maintain its bearishness throughout last week, scuttling bulls’ effort to effect a protracted rally. Whenever price rallied, bears would come in to push it downwards again, thereby preserving the current bearish bias on the market. This week, the bearish bias could continue as price goes for the demand levels at 100.50 and 100.00. On the other hand, a possibility of a strong reversal exists, in case JPY gathers strength. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The movement on EURJPY was essentially flat last week, though that has not overridden the current downtrend. Price would need to consolidate further for another week or two before the bias can turn neutral, otherwise, we would witness a continuation of the southward movement or a temporary reversal that would threaten the current bearish bias. A bullish reversal may occur, but it would not last very long, because of a bearish outlook on JPY pairs, and because EUR itself is expected to be weak this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Good trading habits are an important factor in successful trading.” - Gabriel Grammatidis
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“In my experience trading takes a very important and somewhat rare personality trait which is: the ability to see the next logical step and to then get it done. If this ability is lacking you will always be behind.” – Garachen (Source: Elitetrader) Why Is Trading a Good Money-making Vehicle? It’s a level playing field. Everybody is welcome. You don’t have a boss to control you. You need only a PC and Internet connection. You can make money whether the market goes up or down. The more experience you’ve, the better you become. The starting capital is minimal. You’ve great money management flexibility. You stay in control. You choose when to trade and when not to trade. Profits come naturally when you’re away from your system. You can coach others including your family members. There Is Something Intriguing About Trading Most members of the public don’t believe they can trade successfully. They’ve been convinced that they can only give their money to professional funds managers to manage, without knowing that they can do this themselves. Your parents don’t have trading secrets to give you. Your school doesn’t have trading secrets to give you. The society don’t have the secrets to give you. While there are pros who can manage your money successfully, it’s true that when you’ve correct trading methodologies and use them faithfully, you can even do better than the so-called pros in terms of percentage returns. Forex trading is a good business, but many people don’t understand it. It’s controversial because the public opinions about it are unfair and warped. Most members of the public understand other types of business, save Forex. There are ways to make small and consistent profits on monthly basis, which become considerable on annual basis. Since most people don’t have experience and others around them don’t have the knowledge, they’re afraid to get in. The reality is; successful traders are just normal people like me and you. There are good trading systems you can use to make money, and those who use these systems aren’t smarter or better than you in any way. The only difference is that those who use good trading systems have the willingness to attain riches through discipline. Conclusion: Trading is different from investing. As a trader, you buy and sell within days or weeks, but an investor may hold a position for months or years. The greatest market speculators are faithful to strategies that give them an edge. They stick to those strategies when they work and when they don’t work. I pray that your fortitude will not be shaken in trying times. Your true trading potential lies beyond your innate gifts. The article is concluded by this quote: “Trading is not a sin, but trading without knowing what you are doing can lead to a lot of problems. Trading, in and of itself, is not considered as gambling…. However, gambling is considered to be foolish. Trading without adequate knowledge of the markets and self is foolish because, by doing so, you are gambling… There is a certain amount of self-knowledge needed to choose the proper trading method.” – Andy Jordan
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EURUSD = Sell EURCAD = Sell EURAUD = Sell EURNZD = Sell EURJPY = Sell EURCHF = Sell EURGBP = Sell NB: Every trade could be entered with a stop loss of 100 pips and a take profit of 200 pips. Only 0.5% is risked per trade. With an account balance of $20,000, a position size of 0.1 lots would be used (0.01 lots for each $2,000). The breakeven stop is set after about 70-pip profit is made. A trailing stop of 100 pips is set after over 170 pips have been gained. You need to use your technical analysis to know when to enter, since you may want to trade a pair only after your entry criteria have been met. Disclaimer: Trading signals are provided for information purposes only and shouldn’t be construed as trading advice.
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair could not sustain the bullish run it started in the last week of July 2016. Price made a faint bullish effort on Monday and Tuesday, went briefly above the resistance line at 1.1200, reached the weekly high of 1.1231, and then declined 180 pips, to close above the resistance line at 1.1050 (which was tested before the close of the market). Since the bias on the market is bearish, further decline is possible, which may take price towards the support lines at 1.1050 and 1.1000; even if there would be a brief reversal following that. For the support line at 1.1000 to be broken to the downside, there is a need for very strong bearish pressures. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish Although USDCHF has gone upwards 180 pips since last Wednesday, bears are still very active in the market. For the bias to turn bullish, there is a need for at least, another 200 pips to the upside, which would require a strong bullish pressure. Further upwards movement in the context of a short-term downward is what is anticipated this week. However, the presence of bears ought not to be ignored, for they would take advantage of any opportunity they have, to push price lower. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish On this market, the bias on the 4-hour and daily charts is bearish. The market was flat on Monday, went upwards on Tuesday, went flat again on Wednesday, and then moved south on Thursday and Friday. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and GBP is expected to be weak versus major currencies this week, with a few exceptions. While it is expected that price could go more downwards, it would encounter extremely recalcitrant accumulation territories along the way, which would challenge the current bearish outlook. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish What happened on August 2, 2016, was the only trending movement that was witnessed on USDJPY last week – the rest was consolidation. The market closed on Friday as bulls were beginning to grow impatient with the existing situation; though their impatience would do nothing more than a short-term rally, because the bias on the market is bearish and further bearish movement is anticipated. The demand levels at 101.00, 100.50 and 100.00 would be interesting to watch this week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross went south gradually last week, managing to record another decline by 200 pips. There is a clean Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the cross (and also a bearish outlook on JPY pairs), and as a result of this, price is expected to continue moving south by at least 200: either gradually or speedily. Long trades are not advised unless the market situation changes. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Instead of trying to figure out why markets moved, ignore that and look for more trading opportunities!” - Rick Wright
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WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT MASTER TRADERS – PART 14 “My advice to… both strategy creators and investors — is to always have a ‘what-if’ plan. Always know what you're going to do, when the unlikely or unexpected event occurs. You can't anticipate everything in advance, of course — not specifically — but you can generally know in advance how you will handle surprises when they occur. My advice is to be ready for surprises, because they will happen, sooner or later.” - William Gandini (Source: Collective2.com) Name: Jerry Parker Nationality: American Occupation: Trader and portfolios manager Website: Chesapeakecapital.com TRAINED TO BE A SUPER TRADER Jerry was one of the original Turtles trained by Richard Dennis. He’s also the most successful of the Turtles, given his performances in the past and recent times. He’s one of the most successful speculators in the trading industry. When he finished his stint with Richard, he founded his own funds management business, named Chesapeake Capital Corporation. According to the firm’s website, Chesapeake Capital Corporation was founded in 1988. With over 26 years of managing client capital, they are focused, consistent and single-minded in their approach. Chesapeake provides investors uncorrelated returns through consistency in approach across a broad range of global markets and variable market conditions. The firm is regulated in the U.S. by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a Commodity Trading Advisor and Commodity Pool Operator and by the Securities and Exchange Commission as an Investment Adviser. Jerry’s been interviewed on numerous occasions. What You Need to Know: 1. Intelligence alone isn’t enough for trading success. Though a trader may be brilliant, but a high IQ isn’t enough for success, otherwise big companies (like Enron) wouldn’t have crashed as a result of numerous Ivy League schools graduates that were working for them. After all, there are hugely successful companies in the world, whose founders and CEOs aren’t from top schools. It turns out that most successful CEOs attended lesser-known schools. Jerry is quoted as saying: “The Ivies and other A-league schools have a lot of prestige because they’re supposed to open doors and lead to successful careers. But parents who expect the Ivies to ensure their kids’ success are going to be disappointed. The old-boy network isn’t much good in an economy like this. It’s competence that counts.” 2. Trading success is beyond intelligence: What makes Jerry Parker to have had good performance for nearly 3 decades is more than intelligence. When he was a trainee with Dennis, some of his colleagues failed at trading and some of them succeeded at trading. For example, David Ricardo advised many, many years ago, that losses should be cut and profits should be run. This working principle, doesn’t require any intelligence, and it works till tomorrow. 3. Yes, the Turtles, including Jerry, were given trading rules. They treated trading as business. You need trading rules and you need to treat your trading as business. 4. After you get trained for trading, you’ll need to answer for yourself as to whether or not you’ve the ability to succeed on your own. You success has to do with how well you employ principles that work for you. You need to believe you’d make it, and you must be willing to do what would help you. 5. “You’d to be really smart to be hired by Dennis,” says Jerry. Dennis earned $80 million in 1986, but some people thought they couldn’t achieve that. The Turtles were lucky to be trained by a great trader. If you come across a professional who’d help, you’re lucky. 6. Trading competence is not easy to acquire, according to Jerry. He further says: “Trading for the rich, you got in at 7 a.m. and at 2 p.m. you watched the Cubs game.” But once he became a money manager for clients he’d to raise money, hire people, do research, track his performance, and trade. “The degree to which you are successful will be partly because of your buys and sells. But you’re also running a business: hiring, making sure you have good accounting and legal and marketing systems in place.” He said. 7. Jerry’s success is also made possible by other factors, apart from Richard Dennis. Part of those factors are some helpful books on trading, which Jerry cherished. This article is ended with this quote from Jerry: “An honest, humble mentor is the best thing going. Learn from other people. Do the right thing every day, focus on what you’re doing, and let the cards fall where they may.”
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AUS200Dominant bias: Bullish AUS200 moved north by over 3700 points in July 2016, as it was anticipated. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the daily and 4-hour charts, emphasizing bulls’ hegemony. In this market, the best trading approach now is to buy short-term pullbacks whenever they happen, providing that a pullback is followed by a bullish candle. This is exactly what happened on July 5, 2016, and it was followed by a nice bullish run. SPX500 Dominant bias: Bullish This market moved upwards in bullish mode between July 4 to 20 (the dip the happened on July 5 being a “buy” opportunities for latecomers). Price then consolidated from July 20 till the end of the month. The consolidation that happened in the last few days of the month has resulted in a “box” between the support line at 2157.0 and the resistance line at 2178.5; and price would need to go out of the box for the trend to continue. Since the outlook on SPX500 is currently bullish (though bears might win before the end of this year), price would continue going upwards when it leaves the box. US30 Dominant bias: Bullish Here, price reached a low of 17709.0 and a high of 18635.0, in July 2016. That was a gain of over 920 points, from trough to peak. However, price threatened to break down last week, forming a bearish signal on the 4-hour chart, while the bias on the daily chart remains bullish. In August, a movement bellow the accumulation territory at 18200.0 would result in a bearish outlook, unless price moves upwards before reaching that accumulation territory. GER30 Dominant bias: Bullish In the last prognosis, the supply level at 10470.8 was our target for last month. From the monthly low of 9301.3, price went up more than 10,500 points, to close the month at 10350.7. While the target for last month has not been reached, it would be reached in August. Price might even be able to go above it, and gain additional 500 points after the initial target has been exceeded. FRA40 Dominant bias: Bullish From July 4 to 7, FRA40 went south, but further southward movement was rejected at the demand zone of 4057.4, after which price went northward by roughly 4000 points. There is an ongoing bullish signal in the market and price is supposed to continue trending upwards in August 2016, reaching the supply zones at 4500.0, 4550.0 and 4650.0 in this month or next.
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GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bullish Gold moved upwards in the first few days of July and then began to consolidate to the downside. The downside consolidated was conspicuous from July 13 to 27. But in the last few trading days, price started moving upwards gradually – an action that saves the current bullish bias in the market. Since the bias is bullish, it is normal to expect price to continue going upwards, seeing the downside consolidation in the middle of July as an opportunity to buy. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bullish Just like Gold, Silver also started July 2016 on a bullish note, but began to correct downwards in the middle of the month (especially from July 11 to 27). Price managed to end July on a bullish note, and thus, might continue trending upwards. This is a bull market, in spite of machinations of bears. In August, dips in the market would offer good opportunities to go long at better prices, for bulls might be able to target the resistance levels at 21.0000, 22.5000 and 23.0000. BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Dominant Bias: Neutral Bitcoin has become a flat market. Price has been moving sideways for weeks, though it is volatile. This kind of volatility is has not taken the market anywhere, save transient bearish movements, alternated by transient bullish movements, which are nothing significant on higher time horizons. There is currently a struggle between bulls and bears, and price would begin to trend strongly when one group is dominated, i.e. when the market goes out of balance. That is exactly what would happen in August.
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Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair assumed a bullish journey last week, going upwards 230 pips. Price topped at 1.1195, closing above the support line at 1.1150. There is now a bullish signal in the market, which shows the possibility of price going further upwards. As forecasted in the last article, major pairs (with the exception of GBPUSD) moved more strongly than they did between July 18 to 22. As long as USD remains weak, EURUSD would continue going upwards. In August 2016, EUR would rally against most major pairs, meeting possible challenges only against JPY and (possibly JPY). USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish Contrary to expectation, USDCHF declined significantly because USD lost stamina. Although price initially went up by over 90 pips, almost reaching the resistance level at 0.9950, it later suffered a setback. From the high of 0.9949, price move south 300 pips, reaching a weekly low of 0.9635. There is now a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market: Further bearish movement is possible this week, provided USD continues its weakness. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral Cable merely went sideways last week – which means the present tight equilibrium phase remains valid. A strong breakout would occur this week or next, which would result in an end to the current equilibrium phase in the market. Normally, there ought to be a movement of 500 pips to the upside or to the downside, for the equilibrium phase to end. In August, GBP would rally versus AUD and NZD, but may experience difficulties in doing so versus JPY (and possibly USD). USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Just as it was forecasted, USDJPY went bearish, going down 450 pips last week. Bulls fought gallantly against the bearish trend that started at the beginning of last week, but they suffered ignominious defeat on Friday. Price is expected to reach the demand levels at 101.50, 101.00 and 100.50 this week, unless some opposition arises as a result of a possible stamina in USD. Selling pressure is also visible on other JPY pairs, and it is worth mentioning that the outlook on JPY pairs is strongly bearish for the month of August 2016. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Just like most other JPY pairs, this currency trading instrument went south on Monday and Tuesday, but bulls managed to halt further southward movement on Wednesday and Thursday. However, bulls gave in to bearish pressure on Friday as price nosedived by 250 pips, closing at 113.94 that day. There is a clean bearish outlook on the market and further southward journey is possible. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Develop and adhere to a system, not random and erratic acts of inconsistent trading.” – Louise Bedford
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SUPER TRADING STRATEGIES – TAPPING THE HIDDEN TREASURE IN THE MARKETS “One of the best ways to learn about anything is to read about it. Books, articles. Even just marketing pages. Find out what the pros are doing. Find out what's working for them. And then…” – James Altucher In the last few years I have written three books titled Lessons from Expert Traders (published by Harriman House, May 2013), Learn from the Generals of the Markets (published by ADVFN, May 2014) and What Super Traders Don’t Want You to Know (also published by ADVFN, March 2015). The books profile the best traders and investors in the world – dead and alive. We reveal their stories, trading/investing styles and approaches, plus other things they think and do differently to make them stand out in this extremely competitive, but lucrative industry. The books contain invaluable lessons and secrets that can be used by speculators to bolster their mindset and career in an uncertain world of trading. However, certain readers leave negative reviews (which are normal and deeply appreciated). The biggest reason for most of the negative reviews is that readers who bought the books hoped to find concrete and easy-to-use trading strategies, which are not in the books. Although the books contain tips and tricks that can be used to improve your trading, I think readers also need specific trading methods they can use to tackle the markets. Some of the best trading strategies and methods on this planet can be found in TRADERS’ magazine. I have been writing strategies for them for 6 years. In the past, I tended to ignore requests for strategies, but I have our readers’ best interests in heart, so I decided to find a way to write a book about strategies. I approached TRADERS’ and requested their permission to reproduce some of the strategies I had written for past issues of TRADERS’ magazine. This book is now available only because TRADERS’ was kind enough to allow us to reproduce some of the strategies. If you use the strategies you are expected to make average gains that are bigger than average losses over time. This book contains ten selected strategies for winning the battles on Forex markets. Some of them are also great for the stock and futures markets. You can even try some of them on simulation accounts for a few months, just to see how useful they are. I have had trainees and clients who have applied some of these trading strategies and made decent profits with them. I have personally seen students, trainees, clients and other traders who have been making decent money from the strategies in this book. You too can make decent gains by using the strategies as they were supposed to be used. Conclusion: There are short-term, swing and positions trading strategies in the book. Some are good for part-time traders and some for full-time traders. Simply study the book and choose a strategy that fits you. I would be happy to hear your testimonies as you use one of these strategies to tackle the markets victoriously. This article is ended with the quote below: “For example, think about becoming a Super Trader — and let’s say you could consistently make 2% (or more) in the market each month no matter what the market type was. Think about how that would feel.” – Dr. Van Tharp