analyst75

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair consolidated to the downside last week, moving south by only 100 pips and closing above the support line at 1.0950 on Friday. There is a “sell” signal in the market and price might test the support lines at 1.0900, 1.0850 and 1.0800 this week, because USD is expected to gain some stamina. Most major pairs did not move significantly last week, but movements in the markets this week would be stronger than the movements last week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish Last week, USDCHF was able to maintain its bullishness despite constant threats from bears. Price did not go upwards strongly but it is now above the important support level of 0.9800. There is a major obstacle to bulls, located at the resistance level of 0.9900. Bulls have carried out failed attacks into that resistance level, and they are yet to give up doing that. This week would be decisive, since bulls must breach the resistance level at 0.9900 to avoid a clear pullback in the market. One factor in their favor is the expected stamina in USD this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral Cable merely went sideways last week: An action that resulted in a neutral outlook in the short-term. This week will witness a serious battle between bulls and bears, for bulls would want to push Cable upwards, whereas USD might gain some strength of its own, thereby making the bullish movement a bit difficult. This week, there would be mixed results on GBP pairs, for GBP would be strong versus some currencies like AUD and NZD, while it might because weak versus other currencies like JPY. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This currency trading instrument went upwards by 200 pips last week, almost reaching the supply level at 107.50. Further bullish movement was rejected at that point and price got corrected lower by roughly 150 pips. Although there is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the 4-hour chart, the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week. This means USDJPY could get corrected lower and lower; while the only factor that could help bulls is a possible strength in USD. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross made some effort to push price upwards. Price topped at 118.46, and the bullish effort was paused at that point. Since JPY pairs could go south this week, the demand zones at 115.50, 115.00 and 114.50, could become potential targets for bears. In case bears are able to push the market below the demand zone at 114.00, things would have turned bearish on the market. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Don’t let your day job keep you from indulging in the lucrative market.” – Ryan Mallory

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT MASTER TRADERS – PART 13 “Writing down a trading plan and sticking to it is the winning trader's secret weapon. If you create detailed trading plans and manage risk, you will increase your chances of success. Don't think you need to trade by the seat of your pants. Take things slowly. Map out your trading plan, and follow it. You will trade more calmly, creatively, and profitably.” – Joe Ross Name: William Gann Nationality: American Date of Birth: June 6, 1878 Occupation: Trader, technical analyst and market forecaster A HIGHLY SPIRITUAL TRADER William’s dad was a cotton farmer. He started trading in 1902 when he was 24. He developed and used the technical analysis tools known as Gann angles, Square of 9, Hexagon, Circle of 360 (these are Master charts). Gann market forecasting methods are based on geometry, astronomy and astrology, and ancient mathematics. William was highly spiritual. Wikipedia says he was believed to be a religious man by nature who believed in religious as well as scientific value of Bible as the greatest book ever written. This can be repeatedly observed in his books. He was also a 33rd degree Freemason of the Scottish Rite Order, to which some have attributed his knowledge of ancient mathematics, though he was also known to have studied the ancient Greek and Egyptian cultures. You would need to do your own research to know how Gann angles work. He made profits by his own speculative efforts. He profits were real and his forecasts were accurate. William died on June 18, 1955. What You Need to Know: What you need to know about Williams was revealed by Justin Kuepper (Source: Trade2win.com) in his article of March 18, 2016. These are adapted excerpts from Justin’s article. Predicting the future is impossible, right? If William Gann were around today, he’d beg to differ. His first prophecy is believed to have happened during World War I when he predicted the November 9, 1918, abdication of the Kaiser and the end of the war. Then in 1927, he wrote a book entitled "Tunnel Through The Air," which many believe predicted the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, and the air war between the two countries. William’s financial predictions were perhaps even more profound. In early 1929, he predicted that the markets would probably continue to rally on speculation and hit new highs… until early April. In his publication, The Supply and Demand Letter, he delivered daily financial forecasts focusing on both the stock and commodity markets. As this daily financial publication gained notoriety, William published several books - most notably "Truth", which was hailed by the Wall Street Journal as his best work. Finally, he began releasing the techniques that he used to make these forecasts: the Gann studies. Did he produce any results? In 1908, William discovered what he called the "market time factor," which made him one of the pioneers of technical analysis. To test his new strategy, he opened one account with $300 and one with $150. It turned out to be wildly successful: William was able to make $25,000 profit with his $300 account in only three months; meanwhile, he made $12,000 profit with his $150 account in only 30 days! After his results were verified, he became famous on Wall Street as one of the best forecasters of all time. In his article on Trade2win.com, Justin Kuepper concludes: Is it possible to predict the future? W.D. Gann probably thought so, and seemingly proved it with his wildly successful returns. The system is relatively simple to use, but difficult to master. After all, it was Gann's uncanny ability to fine-tune his techniques that led him to enormous profits - the average investor is not likely to obtain these kinds of returns. Like many technical tools, Gann angles are best used in conjunction with other tools to predict price movements and profit. This piece is ended by the quote below: “Even though I'm young by many people's standards (28 years old this April), I feel like an old soul when it comes to trading. I've already been through many stressful high-volatility periods (9/11, the 2000-2002 market collapse, the 2008 Subprime Crisis, the Euro Crisis and the Flash Crash in 2010, the Chinese stock market crash in 2015... and many others). I think these experiences help me today to remain calm and cool-headed in difficult situations. ” - William Gandini (Source: Collective2.com)

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral This market merely went flat throughout last week; neither closing above the resistance line at 1.1150 nor going below the support line 1.1000. Price went lower on July 15, but it is unlikely that the support line at 1.1000 would be breached, for price may not be able to close below the support line, even after it tests it. This week, the probability of price going north is higher than the probability of it going south. Therefore, the resistance lines at 1.1200 and 1.1250 could be tested this week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish In spite of attacks from bears, USDCHF was able to avoid a significant decline last week. Price managed to go above the resistance level 0.9850, but it could not reach the subsequent resistance level at 0.9900 (which is a strong barrier to the bullish movement). Price underwent a shallow bearish correction on Wednesday and Thursday; while the bias remains bullish. There ought to be further bullish movement this week….. But…. There two threats against the current bullish outlook: 1). CHF could become strong any time this month. 2). USD may become weak versus other major currencies before the end of this week. Until one of these two threats materialize, USDCHF would continue trudging upwards. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Just as it was forecasted, GBPUSD pair made some conspicuous effort to rally last week, without being able to overturn the bearish outlook on it. Other GBP pairs also rallied significantly, like GBPNZD (1100 pips) and GBPJPY (1300 pips). GBPUSD went north by 550 pips, topped at 1.3480, before the current pullback began. A bullish signal has been generated in the hourly and 4-hour charts, whereas the overall bias remains bearish on higher timeframes. GBPUSD might be able to go further upwards this week; and the bias could turn bullish in case the rally is quite strong. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Contrary to expectation, USDJPY pair went upwards significantly last week (just as other JPY pairs did). Price went north 550 pips, ramming into the supply level at 106.00, before getting corrected on Friday. There is a now a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the chart, which means that further upwards movement is possible. The only possible impediment to the current bullish effort is a possible weakness in USD, which might result in a considerable selling pressure. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross underwent a bullish movement of more than 700 pips last week, enforcing a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the 4-hour chart. Although price got corrected by over 200 pips on Friday, July 15, the Bullish Confirmation Pattern remains valid. This means price might go further upwards this week, though threats from bears have not abated. Only a movement below the demand zone at 114.00 would render the bullish outlook useless. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “We believe in never trying to "take" or force the market, only "accept" what it gives you.” - Joe Ross

When new traders move into the arena of trading they face several functional difficulties such as how do markets work, what are the subtle difference between markets and most importantly how does one design and implement a system that is some way logic and effective. If someone manages to navigate this maze and become in some way successful at this game then they face another issue, one of identity. In the Western world our work defines us – the most common introductory question one is asked is – what do you do? This question whilst seemingly innocuous is actually very powerful within our society since it conveys what your background is, your education, life experience, who you might associate with and often where you might live. Even the way our names are arranged was originally a reflection of our occupation. Hereditary surnames where uncommon in the Western world until around 13th or 14th century – they were called by names and they either reflected where you were from or your occupation. This is an obvious means of distinguishing between members of a growing population and these names are still with us today. It takes very little imagination to understand the etymology of names such as Mason, Smith or Baker. It is not too much of a stretch to say that work defines us and contributes immensely to our sense of self-worth. The devastating effects on unemployment are testament to how much of purpose we derive from the notion of work. Without a sense of work or collective striving – which is largely what working in a group is we struggle with a lack of belonging. When you become a trader this traditional sense of work is lost to you as is some part of your old identity. Traders therefore have to establish a new sense of authenticity about themselves based around what they now do – not what they used to do. This also has to somehow be communicated to others, although I have often found this to be less successful than I would have hoped. Family members will often simply not understand what you do or what you are hoping to do with your life since our roles are very nontraditional. Intimately linked to this notion of work as a mechanism of generating a sense of self-worth is the allied idea of a work ethic. Various religious traditions have the notion of a work ethic. You are rewarded for the amount of effort you put into something, the notion being the harder you work the more you earn. In trading this is not true, in fact there is a lot of evidence to the contrary, the more you try and trade the less you often make. It is quite possible as a trader to work at a constant level but to see you payoff swing wildly throughout the year. It is not uncommon to work at the same rate throughout the year and to have made little or no money for 11 months and then make it all in the last month of the year. This unfortunately is part of the game – if you have a methodology that is statistically sound what you do in a simplistic sense has little to do with what you earn. This is extremely difficult for many, particularly those who are weeded to both a notion of a work ethic and a regular pay cheque. However, there is an upside in this. You can create whatever role for yourself that you want but this is difficult since many derive their sense of self from the reflection they see in others. If you can move beyond this then you can define your life as being whatever you want it to be. And like me when travelling internationally you can on immigration forms write your occupation as Rodeo Clown and no one is any the wiser. Author: Chris Tate

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair moved sideways last week, with no major bearish or bullish movement, though the overall bias remains bearish. There are support lines at 1.0000, 1.0950 and 1.0900. The support line at 1.1000 is a formidable barrier, and should price go below it, the support lines below it could be tested. On the other hand, there are resistance lines at 1.1150, 1.1200 and 1.1250, which could also be tested when bulls become strong enough to effect any short-term rally. The outlook on the market is bearish for this month; whereas that does not rule out bullish attempts this week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish USDCHF was able to move further upwards last week. Bulls achieved a feat when they pushed price above the support level at 0.9800 (which used to be an obstacle to them). Price was then pushed towards the resistance level at 0.9850, which has already been tested. There two threats against the current bullish outlook: 1). CHF could become strong any time this month. 2). USD may become weak versus other major currencies before the end of this week. Until one of these two threats materialize, USDCHF would continue trudging upwards. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This currency trading instrument is still in a major downtrend. Price dropped 460 pips last week, reaching a low of 1.2796 and closing at 1.2951. The market went sideways in the last few days of the week. This week, there is a high probability that price would trend upwards (plus this could be witnessed on some GBP pairs). GBP might gain some strength this week or next week, but it is very much unlikely that the market would reach the high of June 23 anytime soon. This means that, while there could be a rally in the market, the dominant bias would continue to be bearish. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The market went down more than 250 pips last week, to close at 100.56 on Friday. The outlook on the market, and of course, on other JPY pairs, remains bearish. Price could trend further downwards, as it goes for the demand levels at 100.00, 99.50 and 99.00. The task is to break below the demand level at 100.00 first, after which it would be easier to reach other demand levels below it. Any rallies in this market ought to be ignored. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The “sell” signal on EURJPY is still a valid thing, since there is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Price declined further by 330 pips from Monday to Wednesday, and consolidated till the end of the week. Like other JPY pairs, further decline is expected; and any rallied seen here are essentially opportunities to seek short trades. There are intriguing demand zones at 110.50, 110.00 and 109.50. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “You know those adages about smelling the roses and chasing butterflies? The markets are my butterflies and my roses.” - Bill Gross

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT MASTER TRADERS – PART 12 “If you see a strategy that has a good track record. This is not about a quick buck. It's not about one trade, or even one day. It's about putting your money into a strategy that has a track record, and sticking with it. Everyone has good days, weeks, and months... but there will be bad ones, too.” - Richard Mazur Name: Tom Steyer Date of birth: June 27, 1957 Nationality: American Occupation: Fund manager, investor, activist GREEN TRADES Born in New York City, Tom’s father was a partner in a New York law firm, and his mother was a teacher of remedial reading at the Brooklyn House of Detention. He earned a BA from Yale University and an MBA from Stanford University. Tom began his career at Morgan Stanley in 1979. From 1983 to 1985, he worked at Goldman Sachs. Wikipedia says Tom is the founder and former Co-Senior Managing Partner of Farallon Capital Management, LLC (founded in 1986), and the co-founder of Beneficial State Bank, an Oakland-based community development bank… Since 1986, he has been a partner and member of the Executive Committee at Hellman & Friedman, a San Francisco-based $8 billion private equity firm. Farallon Capital Management, LLC, manages $20 billion in capital for institutions and high-net-worth individuals. The firm’s institutional investors are primarily college endowments and foundations. In spite of inevitable negativity, Tom firm’s positions were mostly green, and he grew richer and richer over time. As of March 2014, Tom was worth $1.6 billion Tom’s married to Kathryn Ann Taylor and they’ve 4 children. He’s now very active as a philanthropist; and an environmentalist, being a democrat. He and his wife have pledged to give half their wealth to charity. What You Need to Know: After attaining some professional experience, Tom founded Farallon Capital Management, LLC, in January 1986 and co-managed its portfolios. You see, it takes time to become truly financial independent. Trading isn’t a get-rich-quick scheme, for it takes Tom 26 years to arrive where he’s today. Those who look for ways to become rich quickly are in for heavy losses and heartaches. Grow rich slowly, not quickly. Farallon, which employs about 165 people in 8 global offices, and is headquartered in San Francisco, California, has one noble goal: Absolute return investing, which is a strategy that aims to produce a positive absolute return regardless of the directions of financial markets. What a great example for traders? We want to make money regardless of the direction of the market! How does Farallon achieve their aim of making money irrespective of what the markets do? Well, they make credit investments, value investments, merger arbitrage, real estate-related investments and direct investments. They also invest in public and private debt and equity securities, and direct investments in private companies and real estate It’s a pity that too many people only have short stints at trading. They trade for a few days or a few weeks or a few months or a few years; and then quit forever. For Tom, this is different, his trading career spans more than 3 decades. When you become financially free, you can then devote your time and life to what you really like (your passions). Steyer announced in October 2012 that he would be stepping down from his position at Farallon in order to focus on political activism. What would you like to do after you become rich? Conclusion: One wise forumer says he used to get disappointed, but he learned to accept reality as part of things. Now he’s always happy because he’s no expectations and this has made his performance grow as well. He believes working without expectation is probably the best thing and makes trading so much easy to do, but of course, he remembers to set line between no expectation and being careless. He doesn’t expect much from himself as he goes with the flow of the market. This article is ended with this quote: “I believe my work right now should not be in our nation's capitol but here at home in California, and in states around the country where we can make a difference.” – Tom Steyer

USDJPY = Sell AUDJPY = Sell CADJPY = Sell CHFJPY = Sell EURJPY = Sell GBPJPY = Sell NZDJPY = Sell NB: Every trade could be entered with a stop loss of 100 pips and a take profit of 200 pips. Only 0.5% is risked per trade. With an account balance of $20,000, a position size of 0.1 lots would be used. The breakeven stop is set after about 70-pip profit is made. A trailing stop of 100 pips is set after over 170 pips have been gained. You need to use your technical analysis to know when to enter, since you may want to trade a pair only after your entry criteria have been met. Disclaimer: Trading signals are provided for information purposes only and shouldn’t be construed as trading advice.

AUS200Dominant bias: Bullish AUS200 declined last month, reaching a high of 5393.0 and a low of 5040.0. That southwards movement threatened the bullish outlook on the market, but the recovery that was witnessed in the last several days of June has upheld bulls’ domination. Price is expected to trend further northward this month, reaching the distribution territories at 5440.0, 5540.0 and 5640.0. SPX500 Dominant bias: Bullish This market moved sideways in the first half of June 2014; then it broke down on June 23 and 24, halting the bullish attempt that was witnessed before then. The bias would have turned bearish, should bears continued pushing the market southwards, but price started to recover the following week, which restored confidence to bulls. The outlook on the market is bullish, as bulls would continue to push price upwards, with only intermittent pullbacks along the way. US30 Dominant bias: Bullish The movement of this trading instrument was essentially bearish last month, but bulls were able to recover some of their losses, as price skyrocketed by 9000 points from the monthly low of 17059.0. Recovery is in progress, for this instrument may still move north by additional 4000 points (at least), this month. So the best approach might be to buy fleeting pullbacks in the market, especially when they are followed by a bullish candle in the 4-hour chart. GER30 Dominant bias: Bullish GER30 experienced a large pullback on June 23 and 24, after which bulls came in to arrest further bearish movement. Price plunged into very formidable demand zones and was forced to spring upwards – an action that was followed by a smooth bullish recovery. Price went upwards by almost 5000 points last week, but it is yet to reach the high of June 23, 2016, which was 10470.8. The high of that day is the minimum target for bulls this month, because GER30 would continue to experience gradual recovery until the target at 10470.8 is reached or exceeded. FRA40 Dominant bias: Bullish The market price reached a low of 3919.9 on June 24, and then began a journey of recovery, which remains in progress. Price closed at 4257.4 last week, on a bullish note. The targets for this month are located at the resistance lines of 4370.0, 4450.0 and 4500.0. This does not rule out possibilities of bears’ machinations, but bulls should be vividly victorious by the end of July.

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair moved upwards 150 pips last week, testing the resistance line at 1.1150, in the context of a downtrend. The outlook on EURUSD remains bearish for this week. For the outlook to turn bullish, price needs to go upwards by at least, 300 pips from here. Otherwise, the support lines at 1.1100, 1.1050 and 1.1000 would be tested this week. Those support lines were recently breached, and they would be breached again as the bearish movement continues. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish USDCHF was essentially a flat market before June 23, 2016. It was pushed upwards only by fact of the strong decline in EURUSD. Price made a faint bullish attempt last week, but it met an opposition from bears, who checked further bullish movement, and forced the price to bend downwards (in the 4-hour chart). The bullish signal on USDCHF is in a precarious situation; which means that further bearish correction could cancel the bullish signal, thus forcing price back into the neutral territory, in which it was before June 23. This week, bulls need to keep on pushing price north in order to avoid bears’ victory. There is one big roadblock ahead: CHF would soon gain a serious stamina this month and it could bring about some selling pressure on USDCHF, while having visible bearish effects on other CHF pairs (save CHFJPY). GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Cable went virtually flat last week, in the context of a downtrend. There are Bearish Confirmation Patterns on 4-hour, weekly, and monthly charts, which all signal serious weakness on Cable. Apart from this, there is a bearish expectation on Cable (and other GBP pairs); just as it was in the last two weeks. While bulls may attempt to push up price by a few hundred pips at most, bears would end up as winners. In this month, GBP pairs would experience strong movements. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish USDJPY also went flat last week, in the context of a downtrend. It would be difficult for bulls to push the pair upwards significantly because there are adamant supply levels above them, and because the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week and for this month. JPY pairs are expected to assume major bearish movements this week (which could last till early October 2016). USDJPY would trend downwards by a minimum of 200 pips before the end of this week or by early next week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish While the major bias is bearish, this cross went upward 250 pips last week. There are supply zones at 115.50 and 116.50, and while price could possibly test them this week, bears would still continue to dominate the market, putting more emphasis on the major bias, which is also visible on higher timeframes. Just like other JPY pairs, this cross could go further and further downwards in the next few months, though that does not rule out the possibility of noteworthy bullish efforts. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “About fifteen years ago, I moved to the U.S. and worked with several CTAs. This was the point in my career that I made the decision to eliminate all human emotion from my trading. I became a purely systematic trader. For me, emotion and subjectivity are the enemies. Good traders follow systems. Systems have rules.” - Francisco London (Source: Collective2.com)

GOLD (XAUUSD)Dominant Bias: Bullish Gold moved upwards by over 12400 pips last month, and price reached a high of 1358.21 that month. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in 4-hour, daily and weekly charts, so it is not advisable to open short trades in the market. Any bearish attempts the market makes ought to be short-lived, proffering opportunities to go long at better prices. Further bullish movement is possible this month, which would enable price to first breach the high of June (1358.21), and then go towards the resistance levels at 1360.00, 1380.00 and possibly, 1400.00. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bullish Recently, the bullish movement on Silver has been stronger than the bullish movement on Gold. Since the beginning of June 20016, till now, price has gone upwards by over 3200 pips, reaching a high of 19.3600 on July 1. There is a strong bullish outlook on the market – something that is supposed to continue this week. It is also possible that sales would be temporary in the context of this uptrend, as bulls target the demand levels at 19.5000, 20.0000 and 21.0000. BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Dominant Bias: Bullish Bticoin went beyond our target for last month. Price broke above the accumulation territory at 600.00, reaching a high of 775.92. The buying pressure on the market still exists, and further northward attempts would be seen this month, which may enable the market to recover the massive sell-offs it experienced within June 19 to 23. Although the presence of bears poses threats, the targets for month are located at the distribution territories at 775.00, 780.00 and 800.00.

“If you can trade like a hedge fund without investing in one, you can replicate their big wins without having to pay their huge fees.” – James Altucher In the first part of the article in this series, I mentioned that Mr. Caleb (a former trainee), who’s found his edge in his market, was interviewed. He’s interesting facts to reveal about trading, plus how he makes his money from the markets. Here we go: Analyst75: What motivated you to get trained for trading in the first place? Caleb: I was interested in trading because of its benefits. When I was introduced to a seminar, I attended it with a friend. I’ve to say that the seminar was a disaster to me, because all they could say was “you can make so-so amount of money,” “you can become financially free,” and all those marketing stuff. They didn’t show how that could be done, except to sell something they believed would work. Such was most of the seminars – useless. So I decided to explore other options. When I came across my former coach, I was encouraged again, but for a one-on-one training at that time. Analyst75: What did you learn during the training? Caleb: The training was an eye opener, because I was taught how the markets really work, plus trading principles that are useful. It was different than the get-rich-quickly stuff that sells you something and goes away. After the training, I practiced more and more and more. With some viable modification, here I am. Analyst75: How do you determine when to buy and when to sell? Caleb: I’m a systematic trader, with a large amount of discretion, however. I don’t trade flat markets, which means my candidates are usually trending markets. I follow the trend, using MACD and EMA to determine a major bias on a particular market, especially in the medium-term. I prefer hourly charts because they aren’t too big or too small in terms of time horizon. Then I use economic news/fundamental figures to pinpoint entry points. I trade mostly news that pushes the market in the direction of the dominant bias, for this comes with higher accuracy. Needless to say, some news releases don’t move the markets: I simply ignore those. On rare occasions, I trade news that pushes the market massively against the trend. This is where discretion comes in. In some cases, price action will reveal that an existing trend has reached maturity, and is getting tired. Analyst75: What do you stops and targets look like? Caleb: My stops range from 30 to 100 pips. I don’t set take profits unless I’ll be away from the markets for several days. In that case, my stop would be a minimum of 200 pips. Sometimes, I sustain small losses for weeks, but I’m happy as long as the losses are kept small. Huge moves in my favor often wipe those small losses away, giving me decent profits over time. Analyst75: How long do you hold onto an open trade? Caleb: I hold onto a trade as long as the market goes in my favor. A trend may last longer than most people think and bigger profits are present in sustained trending movements. When a trade fails to develop in the way I previously think, I’m quickly out! Sometimes, I don’t even wait for my stop to be hit before I quit a trade. This doesn’t mean I exit a trade on noises only, as mere noises would cause transient movements against my direction, this is where a little discretion helps. Analyst75: How do you feel when a trade goes against you? Caleb: It’s merely one of those normal things – as long as you keep the losses small. I see losses as part of business. Most business would have periods of losses, slow growth, etc. Why should trading be different? A losing streak is a good indicator that a winning streak is around the corner; and that helps me keep my chin up. I know that when I lose, some winning trades would soon materialize. Analyst75: How do you feel when you win a trade? Caleb: Normally I feel great. I feel satisfied whenever I’m in a winning streak. That’s part of the beauty of trading. Analyst75: What are your favorite pairs? Caleb: EURUSD, AUDUSD and USDJPY. To me, they’re easily predictable. Analyst75: Do you see yourself teaching others to become successful at trading? Caleb: Nope. I’m not good at teaching/coaching, and I don’t think I’ll ever become a coach. If there’s anybody who wants to learn trading, they’ll have to find a good coach to show them the way. Analyst75: Do you believe in trading robots? Caleb: Robots are good, but a little discretion helps good traders. Robots follow strict rules, which may bring disaster when the market conditions are at variance with the rules. Most trading systems are rubbish, and when programmed, they produce useless robots which might accelerate your bankruptcy. Artificial intelligence is garbage in, garbage out. Analyst75: Do you think you might change your trading method in future, applying some flexibility? Caleb: No-one can become a master trader overnight. Anyone can learn how to buy and sell, but trading mastery takes time. In a few days, you can learn driving, but that doesn’t make you an experienced driver. A person who’s just learned how to drive might not be able to handle some challenges that a driver has to face, like driving in all weather conditions. Trading is no different. If I discover that a particular rule might improve my trading results, I’d first try it in a simulated mode for 4 – 6 months. If the results are satisfactory, I make the rule part of my trading strategy. Analyst75: Most members of the public fear trading. They even discourage others from trading. What do you think about this issue? Caleb: People fear the unknown. Yes, they’re scared of what they don’t know, including what they think they know, but which they don’t really know. A novice may discourage other novices because they think they know somebody who lost their money in the markets, and so the losses in other areas of life would be an exception or a normal thing to them. Only a loss in trading is what they think is abnormal. I think the right mindset is to determine to succeed where most others fail, like trading. Analyst75: How do you combine your day job with trading? Caleb: I trade mostly in the evenings when I get back home from work: before I sleep. I spend less than 5 hours per week on trading. So, it’s pretty easy for me to trade while keeping my day job. Analyst75: As far as trading is concerned, what’s your plan for the future? Caleb: I want to be the best trader I can be. I want to be the best trader in my country. I like the joy of financial freedom trading brings and I’d like to live a quiet life in a natural environment, away from the city, where there’s too much noise. I’ll soon abandon my day job to become a full-time trader, living the kind of life I really want. Analyst75: Would you like one of your children to be a trader in future? Caleb: I believe each child is unique, created by the Providence to fulfill a specific destiny. This might not be trading in most cases. I’d be happy if a child of mine becomes a trader, but if they choose another course of life, I’d be happy too as long as they don’t have “I beg to apply” mentality. Becoming a trader isn’t by force; it’s by choice, although it’s a good vehicle for financial freedom. One thing I’ll surely do is that, I’ll inculcate the spirit of self-reliance and self-dependence into them as early as possible. Our parents don’t show us the way to be self-sufficient. They make a big mistake just by telling us to go to school and look for jobs, which to me, isn’t the best way of life. It’s a horrendous thing to be at the mercy of a boss. There’s a vast difference between living and existing. You’ll need to choose for yourself. Analyst 75: Do you have any advice for traders? Caleb: When it comes to Forex trading, patience is a virtue. Patience pays a lot. Traders should be optimistic and look forward to better trading results, even in the face of a current challenge. When you’re using a good system and facing a temporary period of loss, always look forward to a period of profit, which is around the corner. Analyst 75: Thank you Mr. Caleb, for this great interview. Conclusion: This interview is concluded with a poem-like advice from an astute female trader: I See You I see you. I see your focus, and I can picture what this will mean for your trading future. I see your trading scars, and I know that some of them came close to breaking your heart. I see your hope for the future, and I’m in awe of your potential. I see your struggle, and I know that, like a bird pecking out of an egg, the struggle will make you strong. I see your choices, and I recognise how you are honouring your vision. I see your joy as you courageously take one more step and learn a bit more about the markets. I see your deep desire to do more, be more and have more. I see a trader. I see you. Let's make 2016 a terrific year of triumph.” - Louise Bedford (Source: Tradinggame.com.au)

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair tested the resistance line at 1.1400, and went above it briefly. Price could not stay above that resistance line: It tumbled by 500 pips before a 200-pip bullish correction occurred on Friday. The bias is bearish, and further bearish movement is possible, but it may not be more than 300 pips downwards. Price might also journey upwards this week, owing to the fact that the extreme bearish movement that occurred on Friday could bring opportunities to buy. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish USDCHF was essentially a flat market in the context of a downtrend, before the strong bearish movement on EURUSD forced it to break out upwards. Price moved upwards 250 pips, reaching the resistance level at 0.9800, and the got corrected by 100 pips. For the bias to remain bullish, EURUSD needs to continue moving south; because the events affecting EURUSD are what would determine the movement of USDCHF (which is being currently affected by inertia on its own). GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish On Friday, June 24, 2016, Cable experienced its strongest bearish movement in recent years. Price dropped by 1700 pips, reaching the low of 1.3230. Price later performed a 500-pip bullish correction, later closing at 1.3682 that Friday. Normally, the outlook on GBP pairs is bearish, and continuous selling pressure on Cable is a possibility. However, the extreme market situation would also bring some opportunities to go long, for those who are very good at catching falling knives. The markets could open with gaps next week. While things are currently bearish on GBP pairs, recovery would gradually or smoothly return to the markets. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The Brexit votes outcome also had bearish effects on JPY pairs, and that was exactly what brought about a bearish momentum on USDJPY, which was consolidating in the context of a downtrend prior to that time. What happened to this market on Friday simply brought more emphasis on the long-term bearish trend, which is also visible on the daily and weekly charts. Although the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish, the 700-pip decline that was witnessed on Friday would bring about a rally within the next several trading days, as bulls seem to have reached the end of their tether. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This currency trading instrument dropped 1200 pips on Friday, thus forfeiting the 350-pip bullish gains it saw within Monday and Thursday. The bias on 4-hour chat, daily chart and weekly chart is bearish, but price has already encountered very formidable demand zones on Friday. While selling pressure is present in the market, we may witness some bullish attempt in the next few weeks. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: "Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it." - Warren Buffet

GBP Pairs GBPAUD = Buy GBPUSD = Buy EURGBP = Sell GBPJPY = Buy GBPCHF = Buy GBPCAD = Buy GBPNZD = Buy JPY Pairs USDJPY = Buy AUDJPY = Buy CADJPY = Buy CHFJPY = Buy EURJPY = Buy GBPJPY = Buy NZDJPY = Buy NB: Every trade could be entered with a stop loss of 200 pips and a take profit of 400 pips. Only 0.5% is risked per trade. With an account balance of $20,000, a position size of 0.1 lots would be used. The breakeven stop is set after about 70-pip profit is made. A trailing stop of 100 pips is set after over 170 pips have been gained. You need to use your technical analysis to know when to enter, since you may want to trade a pair only after your entry criteria have been met. Disclaimer: Trading signals are provided for information purposes only and shouldn’t be construed as trading advice.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT MASTER TRADERS – PART 11 “If there are people in your life who do not support your efforts to become a successful trader, avoid them. Avoid those who express negative energy on a regular basis, and vent their hostilities towards you. Wherever possible, terminate unhealthy emotional relation­ships that cannot be repaired, and if necessary, do it immediately.” - Joe Ross Name: Brevan Howard Industry: Investment management Products: Hedge funds Website: Brevanhoward.com ONE OF THE LARGEST MACRO HEDGE FUNDS Brevan hedge fund was co-founded in 2002 by 5 experienced traders, although some of the founders have left the firm. The company was headquartered in Geneva in 2010. It opened an affiliate firm in New York in July 2012, called Brevan Howard U.S. Investment Management LP. In June 2013, the company was reported to be the largest European hedge fund management firm based on its total assets under management of around $40 billion. The company manages 11 funds and it maintains so high standards for trading success, that some traders who were dismissed from Brevan Howard have become “stars” at other trading companies. Brevan Howard has donated generously to Imperial College Business School, Alan Howard Scholarships for Energy Futures, and the ARK Bentworth Primary Academy. What You Need to Know: 1. According to Wikipedia, the company received $2 billion to manage in the global macro fund from Credit Suisse Private Bank. Under the leadership of Brevan Howard's founding partner, assets grew to $10.5 billion in 2006. The company generated a 25% return in 2007 and returns from their global macro fund continued to perform well during the financial crisis of 2008. 2. Alan Howard hedge fund has had many glorious years of nice profits, but not without losing years. In some years, the returns in terms of percentage were small and in some years, the losses were small. In some years, the losses were big. However, the firm has been hugely successful overall. Such is trading. 3. What are Brevan Howard investment strategies? According to founding partner, Nagi Kawkabani, the firm's overall strategy is focusing on near-term opportunities and establishing investment positions that are maintained for one to six months. As a macro hedge fund the company wants to make gains from broad economic trends and speculates on various assets including commodities and currencies. This piece is ended with the quote below: “I suggest, though, that no matter what percentage you choose, consider keeping it the same on all of your trades, because if you don’t you in are, in effect, starting to handicap your trades. When I cover this point in my webinars some of the attendees say to me, “I risked a higher percentage of my account on Trade A then Trade B because A looked better,” to which I respond ,” Why would you enter a trade that looked less than perfect and didn’t meet all of your trade selection criteria?” The reality of trading, of course, is that we never know which of our individual trades will work out. We only know that over a series of trades we should win “X%” of the time based on our particular trade selection methodology.” - Lee Bohl (Source: Trade2win.com)