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The US dollar extended its recovery in the new quarter, at least against the majors. Is this trend real? US inflation data and the FOMC meeting minutes stand out in the second week of April. Here are the highlights for the upcoming week. The US gained only 103K jobs in March, fewer than expected. However, wage growth accelerated to 2.7%, in line with early projections. The greenback continued its recovery against its major peers, clawing back lost ground, regardless of the turbulence in stocks and the worsening tensions around trade. The only exception was the Canadian dollar, which enjoyed a strong gain in domestic jobs and also the rising chances for a deal on NAFTA. Updates: US PPI: Tuesday, 12:30. The Producer Price Index is often considered a leading indicator towards the more significant Consumer Price Index. Prices at factory gates perpetuate further. Headline PPI is expected to rise by 0.1% m/m in March, half the rate of February, while Core PPI is forecast to repeat the previous gain of 0.2%. Mario Draghi talks Wednesday, 11:00. The President of the European Central Bank will appear in front of a student conference in Frankfurt and will also take questions from the crowd. He will have an opportunity to respond to the growing signs of a slowdown in the euro-zone economies, or at least the peak of the cycle, around December. Any comments about inflation will be interesting to watch. US inflation: Wednesday, 12:30. Inflation remains the missing ingredient in the US growth story. Despite healthy gains in jobs and decent GDP growth, inflation remains stubbornly low. Core CPI remained stuck at 1.8% y/y in February with a monthly rise of 0.2%. This time, yet another 0.2% increase is expected in core CPI while headline prices are projected to remain unchanged in March. FOMC Meeting Minutes: Wednesday, 18:00. The Fed releases the minutes from the first meeting overseen by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While the FOMC raised rates and upgrade the outlook for 2019 and 2020, they did not upgrade the prospects for 2018. The meeting minutes may shed some light on the deliberations. Is the sentiment growing more hawkish and are they on the verge of a fourth hike? How worried are they on the ongoing jitters around global trade? We may get a notion of the mindset. ECB Meeting Minutes: Thursday, 11:30. These are minutes from the ECB’s meeting in March, where forecasts were hardly changed and Draghi made an effort to downplay the slightly more hawkish stance in the statement. The publication is over a month after the event, making it somewhat stale as we have received quite a few data points since then. However, the ongoing battle between the hawks and the doves about ending QE and a potential rate hike somewhere in 2019 rages on. US Consumer Confidence: Friday, 14:00. The preliminary release of the University of Michigan’s consumer confidence provides an outlook towards the retail sale sales. In March, the figure reached 101.4 points, higher than in previous months and above the round number of 100. A minor slide to 100.8 points is on the cards now. JOLTS Job Openings: Friday, 14:00. This lagging indicator for the jobs market is watched closely by the Fed and is of importance after jumping to an annualized level of 6.31 million back in January. The data for February is projected to show a dip to 6.22 million. The number of quits is also of interest as it is a measure of confidence. More quits imply people are confident to move on, and often to better jobs.

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Forex Weekly Outlook April 9-13 - Can the dollar continue higher? The US dollar extended its recovery in the new quarter, at least against the majors. Is this trend real? US inflation data and the FOMC meeting minutes stand out in the second week of April. Here are the highlights for the upcoming week. The US gained only 103K jobs in March, fewer than expected. However, wage growth accelerated to 2.7%, in line with early projections. The greenback continued its recovery against its major peers, clawing back lost ground, regardless of the turbulence in stocks and the worsening tensions around trade. The only exception was the Canadian dollar, which enjoyed a strong gain in domestic jobs and also the rising chances for a deal on NAFTA. Updates: US PPI: Tuesday, 12:30. The Producer Price Index is often considered a leading indicator towards the more significant Consumer Price Index. Prices at factory gates perpetuate further. Headline PPI is expected to rise by 0.1% m/m in March, half the rate of February, while Core PPI is forecast to repeat the previous gain of 0.2%. Mario Draghi talks Wednesday, 11:00. The President of the European Central Bank will appear in front of a student conference in Frankfurt and will also take questions from the crowd. He will have an opportunity to respond to the growing signs of a slowdown in the euro-zone economies, or at least the peak of the cycle, around December. Any comments about inflation will be interesting to watch. US inflation: Wednesday, 12:30. Inflation remains the missing ingredient in the US growth story. Despite healthy gains in jobs and decent GDP growth, inflation remains stubbornly low. Core CPI remained stuck at 1.8% y/y in February with a monthly rise of 0.2%. This time, yet another 0.2% increase is expected in core CPI while headline prices are projected to remain unchanged in March. FOMC Meeting Minutes: Wednesday, 18:00. The Fed releases the minutes from the first meeting overseen by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While the FOMC raised rates and upgrade the outlook for 2019 and 2020, they did not upgrade the prospects for 2018. The meeting minutes may shed some light on the deliberations. Is the sentiment growing more hawkish and are they on the verge of a fourth hike? How worried are they on the ongoing jitters around global trade? We may get a notion of the mindset. ECB Meeting Minutes: Thursday, 11:30. These are minutes from the ECB’s meeting in March, where forecasts were hardly changed and Draghi made an effort to downplay the slightly more hawkish stance in the statement. The publication is over a month after the event, making it somewhat stale as we have received quite a few data points since then. However, the ongoing battle between the hawks and the doves about ending QE and a potential rate hike somewhere in 2019 rages on. US Consumer Confidence: Friday, 14:00. The preliminary release of the University of Michigan’s consumer confidence provides an outlook towards the retail sale sales. In March, the figure reached 101.4 points, higher than in previous months and above the round number of 100. A minor slide to 100.8 points is on the cards now. JOLTS Job Openings: Friday, 14:00. This lagging indicator for the jobs market is watched closely by the Fed and is of importance after jumping to an annualized level of 6.31 million back in January. The data for February is projected to show a dip to 6.22 million. The number of quits is also of interest as it is a measure of confidence. More quits imply people are confident to move on, and often to better jobs. @get weekly forex analysis news

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What’s next? – USDJPY 06.04.18 The dollar was trading 0.08 percent lower vs the Japanese yen at 107.28 as of 06:35 GMT on Friday, with market players looking ahead to fresh data. The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, was trading 0.02 percent lower at 90.14 by the time of this writing. White House National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said Washington was hoping to reach an agreement with the Beijing. “Our intention is not to punish anybody. Our intention is to open markets and investments and lower barriers — that’s the deal,” Kudlow said. This posture is in strict contrast with White House Trade Adviser Peter Navarro, who had previously stated “the expectation is that at the end of 60 days there will be tariffs imposed.” Easing concerns over the trade dispute between the US and China reduces demand for safe-haven yen, opening the doors to further gains for the pair. Also prospecting an upward extension is employment data. A strong labor market builds a case for the Federal Reserve to further adjust monetary policy and interest rates. Ahead in today’s session, the trade dispute will remain in focus, but also attention will turn to a batch of fresh economic reports, including the latest employment figures in the US. The Labor Department will present its employment report for March, which includes average hourly earnings, nonfarm payrolls, participation rate and the unemployment rate. Currently, economists estimate the following results: 0.2%; 203,000; 195,000 and 4.0% respectively. #get forex analysis news

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Three varieties of Forex market analysis To begin, let’s consider 3 ways on however you’d analyze and develop ideas to trade the market. There area unit 3 basic of Forex analysis: 1. Technical analysis 2. Fundamental analysis 3. Sentiment analysis There has continuously been a relentless dialogue on that analysis is healthier, however to inform you the reality, you wish to understand all 3. It’s quite like standing on a legged stool. If one among the legs is weak, the stool can break underneath your weight and you’ll miscarry on your face. The same holds true in commerce. If your Forex analysis on any of the 3 varieties of commerce is weak and you ignore it, there’s an honest likelihood that it’ll cause you to lose out on your trade! If anybody finding forex analysis news then you should (http://www.fxdailyinfo.com/?p=forex-analysis and http://www.fxallnews.com/category/f...index.html) follow those links to get regular update. If you have any question then you feel free ask me thanks.

Global markets consolidate, but remain indecisive Investors are likely to have breathed a sigh of relief after the US stock markets’ worst start to the second quarter since the 1929 Great Depression failed to encourage a widespread selloff across the global markets, as traders returned to their desks after the annual Easter holidays. While we are still encountering quite a subdued trading atmosphere, where major stock markets are in general struggling to find their direction, we are not facing the type of selling pressure that should worry people that there is some serious distress in the equity markets. It does remain difficult to pinpoint whether trade war concerns, or the recent selloff in stocks like Amazon, are driving the market volatility but there is some room to side with the latter. Another tweet from President Trump reinforcing his negative view on Amazon sent the US stock markets on another volatile ride overnight. It does not appear that trade tensions between the US and China are driving the price action this week. The general consensus is that a trade war will be of no benefit to anyone, which indicates why investors are not reacting that sensitively to the ongoing headlines between Beijing and Washington. Beijing has, as you would expect, condemned the news that the United States published a list of over 1000 Chinese products that it plans to hit with a 25% tariff, but it has not created much of a reaction in the financial markets as it stands. There has been just as muted of a reaction in the currency markets, where it can be said that many currencies are not reacting as heavily to the ongoing shifts in sentiment for the equity markets as you would usually expect in a period of higher volatility. This can be seen as another reason to suggest that trade war concerns are not driving the direction of the markets, and that it is the selloff in corporations like Amazon that is behind the erratic behaviour in stock markets. If investors were significantly concerned that there was a risk of a trade war, currencies like the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc would be performing much stronger than they have over recent trading sessions. Emerging market currencies like the Malaysian Ringgit, Thai Baht, Indonesian Rupiah and even the Chinese Yuan itself are, on the other hand, outperforming what you would expect if there were fears that a trade war is upon us. Rand showing signs of weakness The South African Rand has outperformed expectations given that trade war concerns are dominating the news flow. While South Africa might appear to be heavily isolated from the ongoing diplomatic tensions over trade between the US and China, the Rand would be at risk to weakness if the trade tensions between China and the United States intensify and investor attraction towards higher-risk assets takes a hit. We have seen some weakness in the Rand over the Easter holiday, although the catalyst behind the fluctuation is likely to be last week’s comments from the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) that the local currency is overvalued. GBPUSD attempting 4 days of consecutive gains The British Pound appears to be attempting its fourth day of gains against the US Dollar during early Wednesday trading, with the Sterling receiving support after the UK manufacturing survey for March exceeded expectations yesterday. As long as the GBPUSD maintains its ground above 1.40, there is potential for the Pound to trade higher this month. We have noticed in recent weeks that investors are potentially using the 1.40 level in the GBPUSD as a possible pivot level, before deciding what direction the Pound could trade next; therefore, I will continue to monitor the 1.40 level in this pair. If the GBPUSD manages to slip back below 1.40, it would put the Cable at risk to concluding its current run of gains. See directly all forex analysis news

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S&P 500 breaks 200 day moving average Easter Monday is normally characterised by light trading, but today was anything but out the ordinary, as the US equity markets swung lower sharply on the back of the announcements of tariffs from China on the US. This is quite serious as the 200 day moving average has been broken, and this held back bearish movements previously. With the last line of defence now gone, it could be a case of the bears looking to push their control. This in theory has not been helped by President Trumps attacks on Amazon which have sent tech stocks down as he looks for a target. If the market sentiment is anything to go by then I would be deeply concerned for the bulls, as many have long thought of the share market being overbought, and this could be the start of some serious bearish pressure. With the 200 day moving average being broken I would expect to see some bullish pressure to see what the market is made of. In this instance I believe any push-back up higher would likely treat the 200 day moving average as dynamic resistance in this instance. The target now for any bears looking for lower lows will be of course the 2532 resistance level, closely followed up by the 2508 level. This area will be the key to see if the S&P 500 has the legs to go even lower, and the bulls and bears will battle it out around here. In the event the bulls cane reassert control, then as mentioned before the 200 day moving average will be a hard task to beat with such a huge extension lower. All in all market sentiment is bearish now, and it will be hard to beat. But it's also worth noting that this is no 2008 scenario, the American economy is still doing strong and it's mainly politics which is driving the lower lows. In reality we could just end up with the market correction we've anticipated for some time. Crude oil has been one of the big movers today as well, but this should come as no surprise after the recent economic woes on equity markets have spooked bulls, and as the USD lifted strongly against most of the major pairs. Many market commentators have been quick to point that over $70.00 a barrel seems unlikely as demand stays static and they expect a range of 50-70 dollars in the short to medium term. Then again time and time again we've seen commentators be wrong and oil can swing quite wildly. On the charts the fall lower has so far been stopped by the 20 day moving average. This shows reluctance from the bears to test the technical's, so this looks more like a test the waters sort of move today. However, the ceiling at 66.05 has held for some time and is not looking like it may face much pressure. As a result this could just be trending sideways for the short term and levels will be key for traders looking to take profits. In particular support levels at 62.64, 61.00 and 58.88. With the long term daily bullish trend line to also take into consideration. #source forex analysis update

Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 2 - 6, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD The market went upwards last week, to test resistance line at 1.2450; a level from which a bearish correction was experienced. Price came down to test the support line at 1.2300, and then closed just above it. While the current bias on the market is neutral, it is expected that a rise in momentum will happen before the end of this week, which would most probably favor bearish, because the outlook on EUR pairs is strong bearish for the week. USDCHF This bias on this pair is bullish – but it is currently not a strong bias. Since testing the support level at 0.9200 (February 16), price has managed to gain about 360 pips. Last week, it managed to stay briefly above the resistance level at 0.9550, after which it closed below it again. A rise in the market is expected this week, which would also be fueled by weakness in EURUSD. The resistance levels at 0.9550, 0.9600 and 0.9650 could be reached before the end of the week. GBPUSD GBPUSD is bearish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. Last week, price nearly reached the distribution territory at 1.4250, after which it dived towards the accumulation territory at 1.4000. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week. However it is strongly bullish for April. While the general movement is expected to be upside in April, some selling pressure would be witnessed this week, which could propel price towards the accumulation territories at 1.4000, 1.3950 and 1.3900. USDJPY The trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, at least on a short-term basis. Price rose 220 pips last week, to test the supply level at 107.00, and then retraced below the supply level at 106.50. The supply level at 107.00 has thus become a major barrier for any bullish effort, as price goes downwards towards the demand levels at 106.00, 105.50 and 105.00. EURJPY This cross is bearish in the long-term, and rather neutral in the short-term. Price is currently choppy as things are now in a range. There is a supply zone at 132.00 and a demand zone at 130.00. As long as price saunters between these two zones, the short-term neutrality will hold. There is a higher probability that price will go southwards (in agreement with the long-term outlook) when a breakout does occur. GBPJPY The market is choppy and without direction, although the long-term bias is bearish. In March, what generally happened could be called a rally in a context of a downtrend, as price moved from the demand zone at 145.00, to reach the supply zone at 150.50. The outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week, and for this month, which means long trades are not recommended (except in a very short-term context). There will be great volatility on JPY pairs, which would most probably favor bears. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “It’s not about the system, it’s about the trader’s ability to execute the system.” - Curtis Faith Source: https://www.fxdailyinfo.com/?p=forex-analysis &id=5573

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Attention turns back to data this week Asian equities kicked off Q2 on a positive note, taking their cue from Wall Street’s rally on Thursday. The gains came despite China imposing retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports and Manufacturing PMI data falling short of economists’ forecasts. So far China’s response has only been on the aluminum and steel tariffs, announced by the White House last month, and not on the proposed $60 billion in annual tariffs against Chinese products. This shows Beijing is unwilling to enter a trade war with the U.S., knowing that it has more to lose than to win. However, trade dispute will continue to dominate investors’ decisions heading into Q2. Many traders remain away from their desks on Monday to spend time with their friends and family, so barring an unexpected announcement from the White House, expect markets to stay calm. Macro data will be back in focus Manufacturing and Service PMIs from Europe, UK, and the U.S. will be closely scrutinized by investors this week. In March, the euro area private sector expanded at its weakest pace since 2017, raising questions on whether the robust economic performance in the Eurozone during 2017 has come close to an end. Another slip in these leading indicators may well reinforce the belief that the global synchronized growth is losing momentum. This will also justify the under performance in European equities, where the DAX, CAC and IBEX fell 6.35%, 2.73% and 4.4% YTD respectively. Eurozone inflation Euro traders will have to give a special attention to the Eurozone preliminary CPI release for March on Wednesday. In February the harmonized inflation came at 1.1%, a 0.2% fall from January’s reading and slipping further away from European Central Bank’s target of just under 2%. Another disappointment on this front will raise the voices within the ECB members, advising against tightening monetary policy which is likely to add further pressure on the EURUSD after falling by more than 1.3% from last week’s highs. U.S. NFP, the main event of the week Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls release is undoubtedly the key event of the week. The U.S. is expected to have added 198,000 jobs in March versus 313,000 in February. Meanwhile, unemployment is expected to drop by 0.1% to 4%, the level last seen 18 years ago. However, wage growth remains to be the key market moving piece, after showing an unexpected fall from 2.8% to 2.6% last month. Given that one of the main arguments in markets today is whether the Fed will raise rates by another 2 or 3 times in 2018, this figure will play an important role in pricing interest rates expectations, and thus the dollar’s direction. #get forex analysis update

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Do you trade for money or emotional satisfaction? DO YOU WANT TO BE ENTERTAINED OR RICH?…IT’S YOUR CHOICE I came across this excellent chart the other day. It shows those times in history when the S&P 500 doubled over a ten year period and the trajectory that this doubling took. Much commentary that followed on twitter related to the steady low volatility climb that characterised the latest run and how boring this was. One of the interesting thing about markets and money in general is that people betray their true desires and personality. Markets are the true window into the soul and in this instance what traders were actually saying is that they wanted to be entertained and not rich. The constant current moaning about the lack of volatility is little more than the plaintiff cries of children who bedevil their parents every school holidays with cries of …I’m bored. This lay observation tallies with what others have found. The seminal work in this field of trader immaturity is An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators by W.B. Canoles, S.R. Thompson, S.H. Irwin, and V.G. France. I have summarised their findings below and have added my own emphasis. “The typical trader assumes a good deal of risk in most phases of his life. He is both an aggressive investor and an active gambler. [He] does not consider preservation of capital to be a very high trading priority. As a result, he rarely uses stop loss orders. He wins more frequently than he loses (over 51% of the time) but is an overall net loser in dollar terms. In spite of recurring trading losses, he has never made any substantial change in his basic trading style. To this trader, whether he won or lost on a particular trade is more important than the size of the win or loss. Thus he consistently cuts his profits short while letting his losses run. He also worries more about missing a move in the market by being on the sidelines than about losing by being on the wrong side of a market move; i.e., being in the action is more important than the financial consequences. Participating brokers confirmed that for the majority of the speculators studied, the primary motivation for continuous trading is the recreational utility derived largely from having a market position. Numerous indications in our survey indicate that they are not trading solely or even primarily for profit, but may be maximizing excitement or the number of winning trades.” So we come back to the original question. Do you want to rich or be entertained as the choice is entirely yours. Author: Chris Tate Article reproduced with kind permission of Tradinggame.com.au. The article is concluded by the quotes below: “It's in your best interest to focus on building your trading skills rather than on achieving a huge profit every month.” – Joe Ross “No matter how good you may think you are, nobody is bigger than the market and it will beat you to your knees if you don't treat it with the respect it deserves.” - Adrian Alberts “Trading does not have to be very difficult — what can be difficult is finding the right path early on and properly understanding #forex analysis

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Ripple, Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash Daily Analysis - 30/03/18 Bitcoin Cash looking to make a name for itself early on, as it bucks the trend of yet another slide through the early part of the day, adding further pressure on the cryptomarket, with the talk of bubbles likely to do its rounds. Bitcoin Cash Breaks the Mould Bitcoin Cash investors will be feeling a little bruised this morning, following Thursday’s 17.36% tumble to an end of day $710.1, marking a 4th consecutive day of decline in what has become quite a bearish run for Bitcoin Cash and the broader cryptomarket. There were hopes of a possible reversal of the bearish trend formed back on 21st March in the early part of the day, with Bitcoin Cash managing to move into positive territory to hit an early intraday high $868. Falling short of the day’s first major resistance level of $888.53 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $904 ultimately led to another sell-off through the 2nd half of the day, pulling Bitcoin Cash down to an intraday low $694, which tumbled through the day’s 3 support levels with relative ease. It’s all about regulation and, while the unknown continues to drag down the majors, some of the regulatory upheaval will actually be a positive, with many investors having steered clear of the Wild West due to the lack of regulatory oversight and lack of investor protection. That’s for another day however, with regs likely to be fed through until July’s anticipated major globally coordinated roll out. Investors waking up in the early hours to look at the direction of the markets will have been somewhat shocked to see heavy declines once more, though there was some good news for Bitcoin Cash investors, with Bitcoin Cash up 3.02% to $731.4 at the time of writing. This morning’s moves are certainly not in line with the broader market, with the love hate relationship between Bitcoin and Bitcoin cash in evidence and favouring Bitcoin Cash that recovered from an early morning low $680. While managing to avoid the day’s first major support level of $646.7, the negative sentiment across the broader market is unlikely to do Bitcoin Cash any favours today, any gains likely to lead to investors locking in profits ahead of any tumble later in the day. Barring a material shift in investor sentiment, we would expect the day’s first major resistance level of $820.73 to remain untested, while a move back through the morning’s $738.8 high would support a run at the day’s 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $786. That bearish trend has been going on for a while and the lack of a rally last weekend was certainly an early warning signal of the lack of investor appetite in the current cryptomarket environment. Get Into Bitcoin Cash Trading Today Litecoin Facing the Prospect of Sub-$100 Litecoin had a slightly better day than Bitcoin Cash on Thursday, falling 12.84% to end the day at $114.79, with Litecoin also down for a 4th consecutive day. An intraday high $132.54 in the early part of the day followed a common theme across the cryptomarkets, with Litecoin taking a tumble through the 2nd half of the day, hitting an intraday low $112 before a partial recovery to $114 levels by the day’s end. Litecoin not only tumbled through the day’s 3 support levels, but also closed out the day sitting on the day’s 3rd support level of $114.17, supporting further pain for investors through the early part of this morning. Unsurprisingly, the day’s $132.54 high fell well short of the first major resistance level of $137.75 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $140.82, affirming the continuing bearish trend formed from a swing hi $175.5 struck on 21st March. For the day ahead, investors will need to be patient, with a move back through to today’s opening $114.4 likely to support a run at the day’s 23.6% FIB Retracement Level and first major resistance level of $127, though for any moves beyond a material shift in market sentiment would be needed and that looks unlikely this morning. Failure to make a move through to $120 levels would certainly add further selling pressure on Litecoin, with the day’s first major support level of $107.01 and 2nd support level of $99.24 certainly in play later in the day. At the time of writing, Litecoin was down 1.98% to $112.26. Buy & Sell Cryptocurrency Instantly Ripple Makes the Wrong Kind of Splash Following Wednesday’s 0.62% gain that broke the broader market trend, moves through the early part of Thursday, saw Ripple’s XRP continue to head north to hit an intraday high $0.57645. In stark contrast to its peers, Ripple’s XRP came within touching distance of the day’s first major resistance level of $0.5895 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.5953, with the talk of more banks exploring Ripple’s cross border payment platform providing much needed support. In the end, the broader market sentiment laid claim to Ripple’s XRP, which tumbled to an intraday low $0.49014 in the 2nd half of the day, brushing aside the day’s 3 major support levels on its way down. Ending the day below the 3rd support level of $0.5086, with a 12.2% slide to $0.50332, was certainly bearish for the day ahead, supporting Ripple XRP’s 4.93% fall to $0.4785 at the time of writing. This morning’s $0.46331 low fell through the day’s first major support level of $0.4701 before support kicked in to avoid a further slide to the day’s 2nd support level of $0.4370, though the move may well be on the cards later today if investors are unable to break out of the current tail spin. A move through to the day’s high $0.516 would certainly provide support, any hint of a relief rally likely to see Ripple’s XRP make significant ground, but when considering all of the factors that have contributed to this year’s collapse, key resistance levels are unlikely to be in range through the remainder of the day, selling pressure at the day’s 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.5464 anticipated to be on the higher side. #forex analysis

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What’s next? – USDJPY 29.03.18 The dollar was trading 0.16 percent lower vs the Japanese yen at 106.67 as of 08:50 GMT on Thursday, as the dollar eased in early hours. Overnight, the US dollar index added more than 0.80 percent to trade around 89.71, a five-day peak, with upbeat economic data offering support, as well as an improving market sentiment. The US Commerce Department said the gross domestic product (GDP) rose to an annual growth rate of 2.9 percent, above a prior revision of 2.5 percent and a 2.7 percent rate seen. The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, was trading 0.01 percent lower at 89.61 by the time of this writing. Also, reports indicating that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un pledged to denuclearize the Korean peninsula contributed to the dollar’s rally. Xinhua news agency said an unofficial meeting between President Xi Jinping and Kim took place in Beijing. President Donald Trump, who is expected to meet Kim in the near future, recognized that positive steps are being taken in order to guarantee a full denuclearization of the region. “Received message last night from Xi Jinping of China that his meeting with Kim Jong Un went very well and that Kim looks forward to his meeting with me,” Trump tweeted. The USDJPY is perceived as a risk on/ risk off pair, in which the dollar represents demand for risk and the yen for safe havens. At the time, the balance is turning to the dollar, but it is still too early to define a sustainable trend. Next week’s employment reports will probably help with it. On the data front, Fed’s favorite inflation measure - the core PCE price index - is scheduled for release at 12:30 GMT. Data will come along with personal spending for February. Michigan University will release consumer expectations and sentiment surveys for March at 14:00 GMT. Moving closer to midnight, Japan’s jobs/applications ratio for February will be available at 23:30 GMT. Tokyo’s core CPI for March will be out at the same time. Twenty minutes later, market players will count on February’s industrial production, with a 4.2 percent reduction seen. #forex analysis

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