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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (January 8 - 12, 2018)

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Here’s the market outlook for the week:



Dominant bias: Bullish

The market essentially consolidated throughout last week – in the context of an uptrend.  Although price did not go seriously upwards or downwards last week, that stance is going to change this week (for price would assume a directional movement). It is much more likely that price would continue going upwards, owing to bullish expectations on EUR pairs. So at least 150 pips may be gained this week.   



Dominant bias: Bearish

This pair was caught in an equilibrium movement last week (although the overall bias on the market is bearish). Unlike the equilibrium phase of last week, there is going to be a strong breakout this week, which would, nonetheless, respect the ongoing bearish bias. This is because there would be selling pressures on USDCHF, except EURUSD drops sharply. At least, a southwards movement of 100 pips is expected from here, reaching the support levels at 0.9700 and 0.9650. 



Dominant bias: Bullish  

This trading instrument went upwards last week, to test the distribution territory at 1.3600, before dropping lower. So far, the drop has been shallow and that has not overridden the bullish bias on the market, unless the accumulation territory at 1.3400 is breached to the downside, which would require a heavy selling pressure. The distribution territory at 1.3600 could be tested again. It could even be breached to the upside.  



Dominant bias: Bullish

Last week, USDJPY rejected further bearish effort as it went upwards by 110 pips, thereby generating a short-term “buy” signal. Price managed to close above the demand level at 113.00 on Friday, thus making further northwards movement a possibility. This means the supply levels at 113.50 and 114.00 could be reached this week. Nevertheless, there is a present risk of a large pullback on JPY pairs.  



Dominant bias: Bullish    

This cross went upwards last week, reached the supply zone at 136.50 and ended the week in a bearish correction. Since December 15, 2017, price has gained over 400 pips; plus it would be somewhat difficult for a lasting bearish movement to occur in the market, as long EUR is strong. The targets for this week are located at the supply zones of 136.50, 137.00 and 137.50.  There are demand zones at 135.00 and 134.50.



Dominant bias: Bullish

GBPJPY experienced a strong bullish movement last week, moving from the demand zone at 152.00, to reach the supply zone at 153.50. It is possible that price would gain another 200 pips this week, as price goes further northwards. However, the more the market goes upwards, the more the chances of a bearish correction, which may be significant enough to challenge the ongoing bullish outlook. That is expected to happen anytime this month.   


This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“…We need a strategy that produces profits on a consistent basis, the self-discipline that executes that strategy and the focus to achieve our goals.” - Gabe Velazquez  


Source: www.tallinex.com



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The EUR/USD broke above 1.2400 during Asia trade but European Central Bank President Draghi brought it right back down at the start of the European session. Given his dovish comments at the last ECB meeting, his cautious comments were no surprise. He said policy must be patient and persistent because underlying inflation remains subdued and inflation needs to rise to end Quantitative Easing. He also added that the euro’s strength could weigh on inflation, which implies that the stronger the euro rises, the less inclined they will be to taper asset purchases. 

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