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How to choose technology and industrial stocks

 

The common denominator for everyone who invests in stocks is to make predictions on the price evolution in order to capitalise on market movements and consequently make money.  But how they go about it is dependent on how risk averse they are, and the time frame over which they want to realise profits.

 

Investing in the stock market is both an intellectual challenge and a reflection of your own character. Before you decide which stocks to pick you need to understand what kind of investor you are.

 

Growth investors tend to focus on a company’s potential for future profits, and whose earnings are rising the fastest. Since growth-oriented investors are interested in big future earnings, they are often willing to pay a high price for a stock relative to what it earns right now. The metric used to value stocks here is the price-to-earnings ratio (commonly referred to as the P/E).

 

Value investors hone in on the current value of a company’s assets (factoring in its debts), and look for stocks that are cheap compared to those assets. Optimistic forecasts for profits are less important for them so they end up buying stocks with lower P/E ratios.

 

Taking the value approach sounds like a more conservative approach, but there is the risk that these stocks go out of style for long periods of time.

 

What may have initially looked like a bargain may turn out to a bad investment which other investors avoided because they identified serious problems with the business.

 

That’s why solid research is critical when buying stocks, and the most common advice you’ll read about investing in stocks is to diversify.

 

Investing in stocks in a business sector about which you already have knowledge will usually result in better results than taking a punt on company based on a tip you’ve read about, but about which you know next to nothing.

 

The industrial sector is filled with companies whose names are familiar and whose products you may well own. They’re in construction, manufacturing, agriculture and transportation and include aerospace, defence and industrial machinery.

 

When picking a stock in this sector look for a company with a history of sustained profitability. If it has come through a recession and maintained profitability that’s a big plus.

 

Study the behaviour of the Board of Directors. If they’ve been able (and willing) to return excess capital to owners through dividends and share repurchases then they are worth considering.

 

Also, look out for companies with a competitive advantage, it usually means it’s harder for their competition to attack their market share.

 

For many the technology sector is a huge investment opportunity. It is the largest single segment of the market, eclipsing both the financial and industrial sector. But it is also the toughest to predict with any degree of long term certainty because it is the most highly competitive, where technological breakthroughs can render a product redundant and cause a stock to plummet.

 

Today’s game-changing innovation can quickly become yesterday’s obsolescence. It wasn’t so long ago that 640K of RAM was considered leading edge for personal computers and mobile phones the size of bricks were only seen in the hands of city slickers.

 

Since being founded in 1975 Microsoft has been written off as a force on numerous occasions. But a combination of diversification and technological advancement has seen it continue to dominate the market. Similarly, Apple’s obituary was penned in the 1990s, but they returned with a product that has arguably had the biggest effect on our lives in recent years.

 

Many investors simply avoid technology stocks entirely. The unpredictability makes it too risky a proposition. However, this cuts them off from one of the most dynamic engines to modern economies.

 

Compromise is the key, and finding a balance in your stock ownership to meet your needs.

 

Once you’ve picked your list of companies you’ll need their latest performance figures before making a decision on which to invest. Every major corporation is obliged by law to publicly declare their accounts – the information provided in their balance sheets and profit and loss accounts will provide critical information on whether it is the right time to invest in them.

 

To help your research there’s an excellent tool on FXB Trading which will help you find out the publication dates for this critical data (https://fxbtrading.com/ex-dividends-dates).

 

The ideal situation is to amass a collection of businesses that produce sufficient dividends to use to enjoy life. Some stocks you will buy at one price and quickly sell at another, in the hope of realising a decent profit. These will more often, but not always, be from the technology sector. Others are better owned for years as the underlying earnings per share continue to grow even while the stock price itself is volatile. Stocks like these are more often in the industrial sector, but again, they can be found elsewhere.

 

Avoiding a commitment to one single industry or company ensures that the risk is spread and that in the long-term your portfolio is able to ride the inevitable waves of volatility while still remaining a solid investment.

 

For advice on how to take advantage of price movements in technology and industrial shares, or on how to trade shares or currencies in general, talk to the experts at FXB Trading. Our platform makes it easy to start earning a second income with only a small investment in time and funds needed.

 

The FXB Trading team are on hand to teach its members any aspect of trading that they are interested in, and reveal how they make their living trading the world’s markets.

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It’s the morning after the Vegas shooting. Over 50 innocent lives lost in another act of random violence that has shocked every decent person to their core.

 

Everyone except the markets, it seems, despite it being the deadliest shooting in modern US history.

 

Predictably, gun stocks have soared while the value of MGM shares (the company that own the hotel chain that was the scene of the massacre) have plummeted.

 

But for Wall Street and the other markets it’s almost like it never happened.

 

But imagine yourself, if you can, in America’s playground today. What would you be doing?

 

How many people are out and about enjoying what makes Vegas what it is?

 

How many have decided to end their visit early and go home?

 

How many others have decided to cancel their trip to Sin City?

 

How much money that would have been spent in Vegas today and in the coming weeks is going to stay at home. Probably billions, but that disturbance to the economy is being treated like a scraped knee.

 

In Catalunya, violence during the referendum for independence from Spain saw 850 people injured. It also had a direct effect on the value of the Euro. It’s likely to have an ongoing influence on Euro/Dollar trading as the aftermath and implications of the Catalan vote are factored in.

 

It could be argued that the two events shouldn’t be compared. It’s a valid argument until the memory is cast back to how the markets reacted to the 9/11 attacks.

 

Every event that has a direct effect on the flow of a significant amount of money has an effect on the markets. It’s like taking some of the oxygen out of the air – it’s going to get harder to breathe.

 

Vegas is one of the US’s biggest tourist destinations. Over 250,000 people work in hotels, restaurants, bars and casinos in the area. An additional 100,000 jobs rely on tourism by providing services to the industry.

 

And yet CNBC decided a history of gun stocks value rising after shootings is the most significant aspect of the massacre to focus on.

 

The Wall Street Journal didn’t mention it at all on the front page of their website, but found space for effect of hurricane Maria on insurance.

 

CNN lead with the charitable donations big business were offering the grieving.

 

Las Vegas is going to be affected by this shooting because it relies on tourist arrivals. Last year 43 million people visited the city and they spent $35.5 billion. $1.4 billion of that is collected by state and local government in gaming and rooming taxes every year. But Reuters’ main finance story on the shooting was a video interview of New York University hospitality professor, Richie Karaburun, saying that there would be no impact on international travel to the city and only a very slight impact on the number of visitors who will go this weekend to Vegas.

 

Sometimes the news will help a trader make trades, on others, like today it doesn’t.

 

But you can be sure that the experts at FXB Trading have already factored in the effect of the tragic event that took place in Las Vegas on Sunday evening into their immediate trading strategy.

 

Seasoned traders don’t need a news report to tell them which way the markets are going to go, they create their own analysis and draw their own conclusions to events in order to stay profitable.

 

For advice on how to take advantage of price movements in shares, or on how to trade shares or currencies in general, talk to the experts at FXB Trading. Our platform makes it easy to start earning a second income with only a small investment in time and funds needed.

 

The FXB Trading team are on hand to teach its members any aspect of trading that they are interested in, and reveal how they make their living trading the world’s markets.

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Traders cashing in on PayPal success

 

In his note to clients Faucette noted that the market may have been overly concerned about a potentially negative impact of renegotiation of its contract with eBay, and that PayPal is maintaining its massive acceptance as an e-commerce website over other digital wallets and that it is expected to benefit significantly from e-commerce tailwinds.

 

It looks like a great time for traders to start getting friendly with PayPal (PYPL) shares after Morgan Stanley’s James Faucette upped his price target to 76 from 62 along with a number of other analysts who are equally enthusiastic about the online payment service provider.

 

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The above chart plots the increase in share value which has grown steadily from the beginning the year, and which is expected to continue after the third quarter earnings report is released.

 

In his note to clients Faucette noted that the market may have been overly concerned about a potentially negative impact of renegotiation of its contract with eBay, and that PayPal is maintaining its massive acceptance as an e-commerce website over other digital wallets and that it is expected to benefit significantly from e-commerce tailwinds.

 

What PayPal has over its competitors is consumer trust. It feels like it has been around for a long time, and that’s a priceless commodity in the e-commerce age.

 

Since its spin-off from former parent company eBay in 2015 PayPal has expanded into a payments service provider, incorporating mobile payments into its operations. It has also reaped the benefits of giving consumers more options at checkout by using credit cards following its online checkout deals with Visa and Mastercard in 2016.

 

Bernstein’s Lisa Ellis sees PayPal grabbing an even greater portion of the market over the next three years and her positive prognosis has been echoed by analysts at BTIG, Merrill Lynch and Barclays.

 

One area where more growth is possible for PayPal is by forming partnerships with retailers who are looking for ways to better compete with Amazon.

 

Deutsche Bank have described PayPal’s social payment app Venmo as its “crown jewel” which they believe will accelerate revenue growth in the coming months and years.

 

Buckingham Research initiated Paypal’s stock at buy, proclaiming that “nowhere are the prospects higher” in the payments arena – a ringing endorsement.

 

Many experts also see the contract renegotiation with eBay in 2020 as unlikely to have any significant impact on PayPal’s earnings. A continuation of their ongoing relationship as eBay’s preferred payment provider is highly likely as both companies benefit from each other, and even if the terms are less favourable, the American P2P market is predicted to triple in size by then which suggests PayPal will become far less reliant on eBay.

 

PayPal’s third quarter earnings report is just around the corner, making this a great opportunity for traders to take a position. This is no flash in the pan. PayPal has reported strong double-digit top-line growth for several years now, with a slight blip in earnings reported in the third quarter of 2015.

 

For advice on how to take advantage of PayPal’s share price movement, or on how to trade shares in general, talk to the experts at FXB Trading. Our platform makes it easy to start earning a second income with only a small investment in time and funds needed.

 

The FXB Trading team are on hand to teach its members any aspect of trading that they are interested in, and reveal how they make their living trading the world’s markets.

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Buckle up the Tesla ride is going to be bumpy

 

This looks likethe time for traders to bet against Tesla (TSLA) shares in the short term as the market reacts to reports that Model 3 electric vehicle (EV) deliveries are going to be delayed with news stories about escalating production costs, production line issues and lay-offs throwing doubt on the company’s ability to turn a significant profit on its new model.

 

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The chart above shows that after steep rise of 68% throughout the year the share price is showing signs of volatility.

 

Barclays were among the first to advise their clients to short Tesla with their analyst Brian Johnson suggesting a $210 price target – well below the $340 consensus on Wall Street.

 

Barclays feel Tesla’s November 19 announcement about truck production will be decisive in swaying investor confidence in the company.

 

Tesla are projecting production targets of several million per year in the near future as well as significant progress in other business opportunities like battery storage.

 

On the back of these projections some analysts have been uber-bullish about Tesla with Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas – who is widely followed on Wall Street – raising his 12-month price target from $317 to $379.

 


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Patience may pay off for General Electric traders
 
Many analysts expect General Electric (GE) to exceed their profit expectations when they post their third quarter earnings report on October 20, as it has done in eight of the last nine quarters. However, there is also a high expectation that its share price will fall as it has done for the past seven quarters after earnings results are released.
 
Fears over a dividend cut have eased since last week – which would have led to an investor exodus and a serious drop in share value – but there still seems to be a lot of work to do for recently appointed CEO John Flannery who is overseeing restructuring and reorganising efforts.
 
“A dividend cut could crush the stock as retail investors flee, but maintaining it gives GE little or no excess cash to grow,” Jeffrey Sprague, an analyst at Vertical Research Partners, said last week. “GE has continued to shrink the company but it has not proportionally shrunk the dividend.”
 
Moody’s Investors Service credit analyst Rene Lipsch told Reuters that GE’s options would narrow next year when it no longer receives billions from asset sales at GE Capital. Adding that, long term, the dividend “depends on Flannery’s ability to increase cash flow from the businesses.”
 
Flannery’s appointment has been followed by the announcements that its CFO was leaving the company along with news that two vice chairs were retiring which have been taken as a bad sign by analysts.
 
JPMorgan are one that hasn’t been impressed by the new appointments or restructuring at GE.
 
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Boeing share price soaring, but turbulence lies ahead

 

Boeing’s (BA) share price has risen an impressive 66% compared to this time last year, boosted by enthusiasm in the airline and defence markets. Increased travelling has had a positive effect on airline traffic, while rising international tensions have prompted countries to increase spending on defence.

 

But there is turbulence ahead for Boeing in the shape of increased competition in its biggest operating segment, airline business, which has yielded $65 billion of the company’s $95 billion total revenue over the last two years.

 

While this is unlikely to send Boeing’s share price into a tailspin, it might be expected to move sideways for the foreseeable future.

 

Airbus, Boeing’s main rival in the airline business, have traditionally made bigger planes and hadn’t been able to benefit from the recent downsizing trend in the airline industry and increased demand for smaller, more fuel-efficient planes.

 

However, now Airbus has taken a majority stake in Bombadier’s C series jet programme, and in an instant, has added a high-performing, smaller sized aeroplane to its range without incurring any acquisition costs.

 


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Virtual trading and the global economy

 

We have seen the rise of the virtual world in the twenty first century, which is a world that exists entirely on the internet. The currency that is used  is known as bitcoin, but it does not possess any physical form. Bitcoin has now become a widely used currency, especially in China, the economic powerhouse. However, the lack of physical form makes bitcoin completely different to what money should be.

 

A long time ago, the value of money was exactly what it was made of. Gold coins were made, and their value depended on the amount of gold in circulation. Nowadays, most money is printed on paper, which does not have that much value. Therefore, the government can print as much money as it wants as long as it has the cheap materials needed to print the money.

 

Bitcoin is the next step in this worrying trend regarding the creation money. Bitcoins have no physical form, and they cost almost nothing to create. However, using bitcoin is very convenient as online transactions can be carried out  using a currency which is suitable for  expediting simple financial transactions.

 




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Microsoft flying high on wings of Cloud business

 

Over the last few years Microsoft (MSFT) has dramatically changed direction as a company to generate new sources of revenue and in doing so altered consumer perception of the brand and impressed a number of Wall Street analysts who are eagerly awaiting the company’s quarterly earnings report (October 26) which they hope will confirm their selection astheir top large cap pick.

 

Under CEO Satya Nadella the company is now well-placed to enjoy a period of sustained growth with growing revenue derived from its Cloud offering (which is well on target to reach the $20 billion annually predicted by Nadella by 2018) and increased revenues from new ventures as well as revitalization of revenue from its existing portfolio of products.

 

Former CEO Steve Ballmer took the initial decision to move into Cloud services and turn Office into a subscription based product. However, when Nadella picked up the baton in February 2014, he ditched many of the business practices that had been in place when the company dominated the marketplace with its Windows operating system.

 

Back when Microsoft lead the PC market it sold copies of Office or parts of it (Word, Excel, PowerPoint etc.) to run on them, but then smartphones and tablets ate away at its market by giving users computing power in the palm of their hands which also created a perception that the PC giant was now behind the curve.

 


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Introducing Skrill at FXB Trading

 

FXB trading have introduced Skrill as a payment method for funding and withdrawing from your account. If you already have a Skrill account, you’ll be aware that Skrill is an international electronic wallet that you can maintain in your local currency and fund by transferring funds from your bank account, cheque, credit/debit cards or via alternative payment methods available in your country.

 

You can use Skrill for secure online purchases without worrying about disclosing your credit card information. It’s a safe and efficient online payment method that does not require its users to send payment information every time they make a transaction.

 

The option to use Skrill is just one of many trusted, international payment service providers that are available to traders at FXB Trading.

 

How do I fund the Skrill account?

 

Please see Skrill’s fees for the list of funding methods available in your country as well as respective fees.

 

How can I make a purchase using Skrill?

 

Skrill is fully integrated via the ‘Deposit Methods’ screen. While in the members area, click on ‘Deposit Funds’, you will see an option to use Skrill. Please click on the ‘Select’ button located on the Skrill payment method.

 


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Who should you trust with your money?

 

How many of you reading this have or had a bank account with HSBC? My guess is that more of you have banked with them than any other major bank. And why shouldn’t you. After all, they were known for being the world’s local bank and are amongst the biggest in the world.

 

They’ve been around so long and are so big that trusting them is implicit. You don’t even bother looking at the library of licences they hold for the myriad of financial services they offer.

 

But have they earned your trust?

 

Cairn Energy trusted HSBC to carry out a $3.5 billion foreign exchange deal for them in 2011.

 

The Financial Times reported recently that US prosecutors have accused HSBC of turning an illicit profit from the exchange by exploiting the confidential information they had of Cairn’s sizeable order.

 

It’s a practice also referred to as scalping and authorities claim it earned HSBC over $8 million at Cairn’s expense.

 

It’s far from an isolated incident.

 

Reuters reported in December 2012 that HSBC agreed to pay a record $1.92 billion in fines to US authorities for allowing itself to be used to launder drug money flowing out of Mexico and terrorist organisations as well as other offences which were loosely described as banking lapses.

 

HSBC benefited from a deferred prosecution agreement from the Justice Department and Chief Executive Stuart Gulliver said at the time of the judgement: “We accept responsibility for our past mistakes. We have said we are profoundly sorry for them, and we do so again. The HSBC of today is a fundamentally different organization from the one that made those mistakes.

 


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Bitcoin takes a big stride away from fringes of finance

 

CME Group’s announcement on Tuesday (October 31) that it intends to offer futures on Bitcoin this month sent the cryptocurrency surging past $6,400 for the first time; the group’s move has been viewed as bringing Bitcoin a step closer to acceptance within mainstream finance by placing it alongside the CME’s stable of futures on interest rates, stock indices, commodities and currencies.

 

Bitcoin’s price has soared from $966 at the start of the year, breaking through the $5,000 mark for the first time on October 11 before settling at $6,362.65 in afternoon trading on October 31, up by 4% for the day.

 

Futures are derivatives contracts that investors and companies typically use to speculate on prices or hedge risk against turns in the market. Other major markets like stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies all have derivatives based on them. CME’s futures option would allow investors to hedge bets that the price of bitcoin will rise, something that is difficult at present.

 

CME Group, the world’s largest derivatives exchange, explained that the futures will be cash-settled and based on the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, a Bitcoin price index it launched last year.

 

The news comes as a surprise because in September CME president Bryan Durkin told Bloomberg: “I really don’t see us going forward with a futures contract in the very near future.”

 


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Starbucks might be about to surprise Wall Street


 

For years Starbucks Corporation’s (SBUX) shares have mirrored their phenomenal success, but recently the coffee giant has come under attack from the likes of McDonalds and other fast food giants as well as indie coffee shops which has been reflected in the value of their share price.

 

After reaching a peak price of $64.87 in June, Starbucks shares are down 1.41% overall this year. However, Starbucks has expanded into new territories and brought greater convenience to its clients with the use of innovation which has prompted some analysts to predict that the coffee-making giant will surprise Wall Street when it releases its fourth quarter earnings on November 2.

 

Starbucks experienced tremendous growth between 2011 and 2016 with sales growth above 5%. It all changed in the third quarter of 2016 when sales growth was just 4% while for the first time transaction growth was flat. For the next quarter, sales growth remained below 5% while transaction growth was negative (-1%).

 

Starbucks’ growth has been affected by competition from indie coffee shops and traditional fast food giants who have widened their menus to capture some of the coffee drinking market.

 

Indie coffee shops are opening everywhere and have taken away the trend-focused millennials market, while the price-focused crowd is now going to McDonalds for their coffee.

 

Changing consumer preferences have had a big influence on Starbuck’s recent performance. The competition has expanded their menu options and physical store locations to better reach a wider customer base which has drawn consumers away from Starbucks and resulted in the slow down of sales growth.

 


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Alibaba’s global perspective sends share price soaring


Alibaba’s (BABA) ongoing experimentation with new ways to lure shoppers into spending their money, diversification and expansion into new territories has earned widespread approval in the markets, pushing its share price to record highs of $192.12 ahead of their quarterly earnings report (November 2). 

 

The Chinese e-commerce giant’s shares have more than doubled in value this year (see chart) with much of Alibaba’s growth being fueled by the internet retailing boom in China. The move into cloud computing is currently loss-making, but with the number of users almost doubling to 1 million in a year and expansion into Malaysia and India it is expected to turn that around. Also, Alibaba’s diversification into groceries, digital entertainment and financial services are showing potential for future growth. 

 

Alibaba’s goal is to reach 2 billion customers around the world within 20 years. In some cases, it has begun with digital payments, as in India. In others it has invested in e-commerce sites, as with Lazada, in South-East Asia. But it intends to build a broad range of services within each market, including payments, e-commerce and travel services, and then link local platforms with Alibaba’s in China.   

 

Alibaba’s recent success has, in part, been helped by Beijing’s severe restrictions on foreign internet companies which has allowed them to benefit from the boom in e-commerce while only contending with domestic competition. 

 

However, at the core of Alibaba’s success has been innovation. Sales events like its ‘11.11 Global Shopping Festival’ have been phenomenally successful and provide a platform upon which Alibaba experiment with new forms of retail and customer engagement which rely extensively on interactivity, technology and consumer analytics. 

 


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Australia’s economy is going down and under

 

Australia recently recorded its 104th consecutive quarter of growth without a recession, an achievement which breaks the record set by the Netherlands. It prompted Australia’s federal Treasurer Scott Morrison to claim that the economy was in “surprisingly good shape”. His statement is reminiscent of that old joke. How can you tell if a politician is lying? His lips are moving.

 

Australia’s economy is not in good shape. Its growth has been built on demand for commodities like coal and steel from China and investment in an over-inflated property market that has been fuelled by years of cheap credit. These dual dependencies are about to be brutally exposed.

 

The exact timing and full impact of Australia’s economic tailspin is unknown. However, a precise date and exact knowledge of its magnitude are unnecessary in order to take advantage of the collapse as a trader. The circumstances that make an economic crash inevitable are already in place and it is far better to be five months early rather than five minutes late for an opportunity like this.

 

The inevitability of Australia’s financial meltdown is in part due to an external factor which it has no control over: China.

 

Societe Generale’s China economist Wei Yao recently said: “Chinese banks are looking down the barrel of a staggering $1.7 trillion worth of losses”. Hyaman Capital’s Kyle Bass calls China a “$34 trillion experiment” which is “exploding”, where Chinese bank losses “could exceed 400% of the US banking losses incurred during the sub-prime crisis”.

 


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The warning signs that a market crash is looming are becoming louder and more frequent. Despite this, most market participants are behaving like it can never happen. In fact, bullish trading is pushing the markets to new highs on an almost daily basis. The warnings are seen, heard and then ignored.

 

Join the few who will take advantage of what’s about to happen. The same few who profited handsomely when billions were lost in the last global economic crisis almost a decade ago rather than those who simply follow the herd.

 

For most people these warnings are like the graphic images printed on today’s packets of cigarettes, they spell out the dangers and yet all the same people are still smoking.

 

Warnings about an impending market crash are being made by people who predicted with considerable accuracy in 2006 and 2007 what was ahead when the US sub-prime mortgage market collapsed and triggered the global financial crisis.

 

The one thing these analysts can’t predict is an exact time and place for when the crash will happen. It’s the same reason people continue to smoke; nobody can say with certainty the number of cigarettes required to kill a person.

 

So, trading continues regardless until the day the sudden dramatic drop in prices exceeds the 10 per cent threshold that officially marks the point that the crash has arrived.

 


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Grow with us


FXB Trading is reaching out to money managers and introducing brokers (IB) in online trading with a partnership opportunity that will take your revenue to the next level, and which can expand your business beyond the scope of its current limits.  

 

Our highly successful business model also accommodates affiliate managers and investors who are looking for a vehicle that will provide a new revenue stream without the need for any hands-on involvement in online trading itself. 

 

FXB Trading’s rise in the online trading industry has been a qualified success with exceptional growth achieved in this highly competitive $5 trillion industry over a relatively short period of time. Our success has been underpinned by a formula that combines unbeatable spread prices and industry leading commission rates combined with a support package that is more than a match for anyone in the industry. 

 

Part of our growth has been as a result of partnering with individuals who are looking to grow their networks but need someone who can provide the expertise, tools and incentives necessary to accelerate their own growth. 

 

At FXB Trading, our business model is broad enough to accommodate simple ‘Refer a Friend’ partnerships (which yield $250 per referral) to fully established white labels that have reached their potential in their current guise and are now ready to benefit from new support and marketing services. 

 

FXB is able to provide partners with branded education programmes encompassing webinars, seminars, workshops and events which will maximise your existing traders’ volume and attract new clients. 

 


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Bitcoin mania: Join the rush or beware the bubble?


When the Wall Street Journal runs a headline that reads Bitcoin: Even Grandma Wants In On The Action, you’re simply compelled to find out more about the stand-out cryptocurrency that is grabbing all the attention. 

 

For months now, Bitcoin’s rapid price swings have been prompting volatility-starved investors to join the biggest speculative boom since the dotcom fever in the 1990s. 

 

In the space of 24 hours this week, Bitcoin rallied to an all-time high of $11,434 before sinking as much as 21% to $9,009, having started 2017 at $968.23, according research site CoinDesk. 

 

The temptation to join the rush is tempered by the fear that its value is being driven purely on speculation and that the bubble is about to burst. Then John McAfee – founder of the eponymously named software – doubled down on his previous prediction and claimed this week: “I’ll eat my own d**k on national TV if Bitcoin doesn’t surpass $1 million by 2020.” 

 

More and more investors have chosen to set aside Bitcoin’s questionable past, for instance its use by criminal elements, and focused on the potential that it could replace gold as an investment to hold when faith ebbs in fiat currencies. 

 


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Safe as houses? Not if you live in Australia


According to Jonathan Tepper, one of the world’s experts in housing bubbles, Australia is experiencing the biggest property bubble in history. It has lasted 55 years and seen prices increase 6556% since 1961. “It is the only country we know of where middle-class houses are auctioned like paintings,” he observed recently. 

 

When it crashes it’s likely to bring Australia’s economy crashing down with it, as it’s the only sector which has driven GDP growth of late. It’s one of those rare opportunities traders relish because the volatility in the market will be big and significantly increases the chance of being able to make a huge gain from an investment. 

 

You can thank State and Federal governments for this opportunity. They have done everything they can to fuel the housing market in an effort to boost Australia’s economy and offset the decline in the value and volume of its chief exports iron ore and coal. The growth of the economy has provided governments with a source of tax revenue and proof to voters that their policies result in economic success. 

 

The Australian media has also been complicit in the perpetuation of the property bubble. Objective reporting on property has disappeared because the Murdoch and Fairfax duopoly, which controls media output in the country, have been protecting their only major growth profit centres realestate.com.au and Domain the country’s two largest real estate portals. 

 

Headlines celebrating a 26-year-old train driver who services the debt on five million dollars worth of property with his salary and rental income have become commonplace, with hordes of others being similarly celebrated for their achievements. 

 

The formula for success which has enabled individuals on modest incomes to gain ownership of seven figure property portfolios comes through the black magic of cross-collateralised residential mortgages, where Australian banks allow the unrealised capital gain of one property to secure financing to purchase another property. 

 


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A step-by-step guide on how to start trading


Trading can be an exciting way to earn an additional income. However, before you start trading you need to learn a few things. Knowing what to expect, what tools you need, and a few techniques will help prepare you so your entry into trading is as smooth as possible. The following things need to be considered before you start trading:

 

1. Getting to know the market

 

Traders can trade within many different markets which include the stock market, forex market, options market, and Contract for Difference (CFD) markets.

 

The stock market involves buying/selling shares of a company. The forex market is the largest market in the world and involves the exchange of one currency for another. The options market allows participants to undertake positions in the derivative of an asset, so the option is not ownership of an underlying asset. The contract for difference (CFD) market allows traders to speculate on the rising or falling prices of instruments such as currencies, shares, indices, and commodities.

 

When a market is moving downwards, it’s called a bear market. You can take advantage of this through ’short selling’ which involves selling assets or (derivative) you do not own in the hope of buying them back at a lower price in the future. The difference is your profit.

 

Short selling can be very risky as your losses are unlimited and you could lose more money than you actually have in your trading account. This is because the shares could rise so you would have to cover the difference. Therefore, short selling is not advisable for novice traders.

 


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The financial advice you wish you’d received at 18


Good financial advice is priceless, and the sooner you get it and apply it the better off in life you’ll be.

 

Today’s 18-year-olds who are preparing to go to university do so knowing that they are going to rack up a sizeable amount of debt by the time they graduate.

 

Has anyone sat down with them and fully explained the impact debt has on their life?

 

Advice about the benefits of getting a good education are echoed everywhere but strangely enough young people get little formal advice about financial planning through regular education channels. Aside from what they hear from their parents, who aren’t always the best at giving guidance on money management, they learn by experience.

 

The internet offers lots of financial advice in return for a few keystrokes and a couple of clicks but there’s so much out there and much of it is confusing and contradictory.

 

The financial challenges faced today make being engaged with the world of money more important than ever. Job security is something we reference in history books, banks are a very different entity to what they once were and the world is evolving at a far greater pace than it has ever done in the past and these changes are impacting more people, more quickly than ever before.

 


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So, you’ve got the trading bug. You’ve made your first profits – albeit modest – by making safe trades. 

 

There are riskier trading strategies that can earn bigger profits. You know about them, you’ve been warned about them, and you’re not interested because the downside is too great. 

 

So how do top traders end up making so much more money? 

 

It’s not by taking bigger risks. 

 

Profitable traders earn more because they’re better at predicting and understanding how markets react to news and economic data. They read between the lines of the constant stream of information that is available on trading platforms to make more profitable judgements. 

 

The best traders use information to make a trade before the trend becomes visible to others. 

 

For profitable traders, breaking news stories and economic data is information to be deciphered into factors that can affect the market. 

 

It’s not easy. If it was everyone would do it. But it’s far from impossible, and can be learned. 

 

Understanding economic performance and what affects it is an area that profitable traders excel. 

 


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Cryptocurrencies and gold: You need to take a position

 

Any trader looking to make money on the markets needs to invest time researching before taking a position.

 

If you do a search on cryptocurrencies it won’t be long before you’ll see an article that compares their merits against gold.

 

Should you invest your hard-earned money in gold or cryptocurrencies? They ask, and variations on that theme.

 

The number of these articles implies that they are somehow in competition with each other.

 

But it’s a phoney war, as they both have a different role to play in the world of finance and in your portfolio.

 

One of the reasons gold has stood the test of time is the stability it offers against the unpredictability of currencies and the sudden collapses that have taken place throughout history that can wipe out fortunes in an instant.

 

Gold is the perfect way to hedge against risk, impervious to natural, financial or political disasters.

 

Cryptocurrencies also offer a viable alternative to traditional currencies because they are decentralised, meaning no central authority can take it away from you. 

 


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Wise Trading Words from Pro Traders

 

Ever wonder how professional traders deal with the ups and downs of forex trading? Here’s a glimpse …

The most successful traders view forex trading as a game of possibilities. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose. In fact, there are occasions in every trader’s career when a losing streak can seem to go on forever. Losses happen, but what sets successful traders apart is the way they deal with the ups and downs of the markets!

 

If you are at the point in your trading career where you just feel like quitting, take heart … All successful traders went through what you are feeling, but overcame their doubts to become seasoned traders. They still lose some trades, but they understand that losses go with the territory and all that matters at the end of the day is that your profits far outweigh any losses you make.


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Strategies for Successful Trading Decisions Going Short or Long

 

The Forex market is quickly becoming the focus of attention for millions of new entrants as a result of its unique advantages. A large number of people have learnt how to make clever investment choices in order to take advantage of the market. Two strategies in Forex are going long and going short – once you understand these two strategies you will be able to make important decisions in order to be profitable. The two main strategies will be examined below.

 

Going Short

 

This trading strategy is when the base currency is sold in order to buy it at a later stage when the price begins to fall, resulting in a return from the transaction. For example, if the current GBP/USD is 1.5345 meaning we pay 1.5345 Dollars for one Pound Sterling, and we have $1000 dollars, we would sell the Dollars in order to purchase the Pound Sterling. This is carried out when the cost is expected to fall again in a short period of time. When the price GBP/USD falls to 1.5350, this means that more Dollars can be purchased with the same amount of Pounds that were obtained at the start. The additional dollars can be kept as profit which were earned by considering the dollar as the base currency.

 

Risk in Short Position

 

As with all financial markets, forex involves the same amount of risk. If the prices go in the exact opposite direction than originally expected, there will be a loss instead of a profit. For example, if the GBP/USD goes to 1.5340, you would not even get the same amount of Dollars that you sold initially. This strategy is only profitable if prices drop.

 


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Is this the best time to get into cryptocurrency?


The financial news has been filled with headlines about cryptocurrency for over a year now and this has undoubtedly played a part in the huge increase in value the likes of Bitcoin and the rest have experienced.

 

While plenty acted quickly and got in on cryptocurrency, many other potential investors who have been cautiously considering making a move have held back fearing that the opportunity had gone when Bitcoin reached $20,000 and others like Ethereum and Ripple started making big gains.

 

Warnings about bubbles, regardless of who was making them, have largely gone unheeded. New price records have been set then broken on a regular basis. However, a market correction was always going to happen.

 

It’s been nothing like the drastic fall some commentators have predicted (remember Bitcoin was valued at around $900 in December 2016). However, on January 17 Bitcoin has tumbled to around $10,000 after reports that a ban on trading of cryptocurrencies in South Korea was possible. The fears of a regulatory crackdown sparked a domino effect on the broader cryptocurrency market with Ethereum dropping 23 per cent and Ripple 33 per cent on the same day.

 

While some may view this as the beginning of the end of cryptocurrency trading, it’s more likely to be the breather this market will take while the new financial instruments that are growing up around cryptocurrencies settle in and the authorities firm up their decisions on how virtual coins will be regulated.

 


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