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EUR/USD: correction started

10/20/2016

 

2010eurusdh4.png

 

The price has been falling down since an “Engulfing” was formed at the local high. However, we’ve got a “Doji” and an “Inverted Hammer” at the last low, but these patterns haven’t been confirmed yet. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest Moving Averages in the short term. If a pullback from these lines happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have another decline. As we can see on the Daily chart, it’s likely that bulls will try to reach the nearest resistance line, which could be a departure point to a new bearish rally.

 

2010eurusdh1.png

 

We’ve got a “High Wave” and a “Tweezers” at the last lows, which both have been confirmed. Therefore, bulls are likely going to achieve the 55 Moving Average during the day. At the same time, there’s an option to have another decline afterwards.

 

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USD/JPY: "High Wave" led to bullish correction

10/20/2016

 

2010usdjpyH4.png

 

We’ve got a “Belt Hold” at the local low, which has been confirmed, so the market is likely going to reach the nearest “Window” in the short term. As we can see on the Daily chart, there’s a resistance by the upper “Window”. Also, we’ve got a confirmed “Dark Cloud” pattern. In this case, bears are likely going to push the market lower soon.

 

2010usdjpyH1.png

 

There’s a “High Wave” pattern, which has a confirmation. Meanwhile, the nearest Moving Averages are acting as a support. So, bulls are likely going to reach the closest resistance level during the day.

 

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EUR/USD: diagonal triangle

10/20/2016

 

Image20161020150555001.png

 

Wave is likely going to end soon, because we’ve got a diagonal triangle in wave (v). So, there’s an opportunity to have wave [ii] in the short term. The main intraday target is 5/8 Murrey Math Level (P=200).

 

Image20161020150555002.png

 

As we can see on the one-hour chart, wave iv of the diagonal triangle is going to end. Therefore, bears will probably try to deliver a new local low shortly. At the same time, there’s an option to have an upward correction later on.

 

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Recap on the BOC rate statement + forecast for USD/CAD

10/20/2016

 

Yesterday the Bank of Canada announced that it holds rate at 0.5%. Governor Stephen Poloz in his speech delivered later that day noted that the board discussed the possibility of adding stimulus to the staggering economy, but ruled in favor of not changing its monetary stance. The policy makers decided that it would be better not to take any radical measures because of the increasing number of uncertainties related to the effects of the new mortgages rules, the path of exports, the effect of the U.S. election on business confidence and national economy. The bank has already cut interest rates twice this year striving to spur the stubbornly stagnating economic growth. The current interest rates seem to be appropriate for the period of heightened uncertainty, according the BOC’s members.

 

Loonie initially rose after the BOC’s announcement, but Poloz’s comments at the press conference skewed the market bullish sentiment, and the currency slipped a little again. Now the quotes are hovering around the 1.318 level, having broken the resistance line at 1.317 plotted against the 50-day MA. Stochastic stepped in overbought area on the 4H timeframe, so, we may expect USD/CAD to fall down the 1.315 mark (50% Fibonacci retracement level) and the support line at 1.318 in the near-term (also note, that the 50-day MA is almost crossed the 100-day MA, technically, it is considered be a rather good selling signal). Overall sentiment in relation to this currency pair remains bullish, especially if today’s update on the Philly Fed’s regional index and unemployment claims come in ahead of expectations.

 

USDCADH4(14).png

 

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Oil prices down again

10/20/2016

 

Oil prices were rising during the last consecutive trading sessions. Energy Information Administration figures released on Wednesday were in line with expectations. The EIA’s data showed a significant decrease in the US crude inventories by almost 469 mln barrels. This offered additional support to the oil prices.

 

Today oil fell on profit-taking after the last trading session. Brent crude slipped down the $51.63 mark. Despite this drop, sentiment remains upbeat on hopes that OPEC will freeze oil production at its meeting in Vienna on November 30.

 

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said that Saudi Arabia is planning not only to freeze, but also to curb the current production volumes pursuing the target of oil glut reduction. However, we should consider the fact that usually in summer Saudis increase oil output substantially, while in autumn it normally decreases. Saudis will try to bluff everybody into believing that their seasonal reduction of oil output is their attempt to fulfill their obligations under the oil freeze deal. Another thing to beware of it that the OPEC members are going to cut their production of oil only for a period of 6 months or year. Then, they might try to catch up and increase their market share. So, the reduction of global oil glut followed by significant rise in prices on this fuel is more like a pipe dream, than reality in a long perspective.  

 

Baker Hughes rig count figures are due out Friday. Higher prices could encourage an increase in U.S. shale activity.

 

The dollar index is higher today. A stronger dollar may also depress demand for oil and force quotes to fall down the key support at $50 level. 

 

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30 Pips A Day Forex Trading Strategy

10/20/2016

 

Today I am going to tell you a story of a guy named Fred who managed to earn $1,000,000 with just 40 trades. Very impressive, I agree. Here is one of the strategies he suggests. It’s called a 30 pips a day forex trading strategy. You know that GBP/JPY is rather volatile currency pair that can make big swings (from 100-200 pips). So, our aim is not to capture all this price margin in the course of a trading session, but just 30 pips. Once we are done with embellishment of a story, we can proceed to real things – the description of the strategy.

 

“Key ingredients”:

 

Choose GBP/JPY currency pair

Switch to the 5 minutes’ screen

Add some indicators to your chart: 10 and 26 exponential moving averages (EMA)

How to trade:

 

If 10 EMA intersects 26 EMA and goes up, we are facing with an uptrend. If 10 EMA intersects 26 EMA and goes down, there is a downtrend. After we found the EMA’s crosses, we should identify traders’ action zone (a reversal zone, a zone of buying or selling depending or what the market main trend is). It occurs at the end of the minor rally in the dominant bullish trend

 

Imagine that the market main trend is down, there could be some minor rally in a downtrend market. That price rally (short-term upward price move) usually ends in a traders’ action zone when the price starts falling in the direction of the main trend again. A similar in logic, but opposite situation also happens if the market is bullish.

 

Your actions in the case of a downtrend:

 

You notice that 10 EMA crosses 26 EMA and goes down.

 

You don’t sell immediately after the formation of the cross; you should wait for a retrace.

 

Then, you sell immediately when a candlestick gets into the traders’ action zone halfway between the 10 EMA and 26 EMA.

 

You place stop loss at 15-20 pips

 

Your take profit target is 30 pips

 

Your actions in the case of an uptrend:

 

You notice that 10 EMA crosses 26 EMA and goes down.

 

You don’t buy immediately after the formation of the cross; you should wait for a retrace.

 

Then, you buy immediately when a candlestick gets into the traders’ action zone halfway between the 10 EMA and 26 EMA.

 

You should place stop loss at 15-20 pips

 

Your take profit target is 30-40 pips

 

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USD/CHF: bulls brought the situation under control

10/21/2016

 

On the USD/CHF daily chart, quotes move towards target 127.2% located at 1,007 in the "Ideal butterfly" inverted pattern. The "bulls" managed to push quotes out of the consolidation range of 0,985-0,992. If there is a retest of the support at 0.992, it will be a signal for opening long positions.

 

Screenshot_2016_10_21_08_12_36.png

 

On the USD/CHF hourly chart, there are great risks of realization of the target 261.8% located at the 1.0015 level in the AB = CD pattern. There is the upper limit of the upward trading channel.

 

Screenshot_2016_10_21_08_12_54.png

 

Recommendation: BUY 0,992 SL 0,9865 TP1 1,0015 TP2 1,007.

 

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USD/JPY: bears are setting a trap

10/21/2016

 

On the USD/JPY daily chart, "bulls" are trying to regain the initiative in their hands. If there is a test of the resistance line located at 104.45, it could open the way towards the target 78.6% (105.8) in the "Hartley" inverted pattern. The support line lies near the 103.5 mark.

 

Screenshot_2016_10_21_08_18_54.png

 

On the USD/JPY hourly chart, if "bulls" fail to break the resistance line at 104.55, it will be a signal of their weakness. If it happens, the quotes may roll back towards the support at 103.5, followed by patterning of the expanding wedge.

 

Screenshot_2016_10_21_08_19_09.png

 

Recommendation: SELL 104,55 SL 105,10 TP 103,5

 

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Morning brief for October 21

10/21/2016

 

Euro fell down the 1.0892 level as the ECB left its ultra-loose monetary policy unchanged on Thursday, but kept the door wide open for the more stimulus to boost staggering Eurozone economic growth. The ECB president Mario Draghi doused the recent paper hoax that the bank is going to taper its 1.7 trillion euro asset-buying program. So, in the near-term we may expect further broad USD strengthening across the trading desk.

 

US dollar, having taken dope from the ECB press conference, rose in relation to yen and franc in the course of last trading session. Today the yen managed to get its own back after BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the bank may slow its bond purchases, if 10-year government bond yields fall well below its target of around 0%. BOJ once again had to push back the timing for reaching its 2% inflation target.

 

Sterling slipped down the 1.2234 level on the USD strengthening and on the comments from D. Tusk (president of the European Council) that Theresa May had confirmed to trigger Brexit talks by end March 2017. Aussie dropped significantly over the last trading sessions, but now it has finally started to show the revival signs as quotes failed to reach the support at 0.7615 level (50-day MA).

 

On the gold chart, a new downtrend is showing up. Gold lost a few dollars since yesterday.

 

There are no any significant events scheduled for today. We will keep an eye on the Canadian inflation data coming soon. Also, there will be EU Economic Summit, but it shouldn’t bring volatility to technical charts. 

 

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EUR/USD: time for correction

10/21/2016

 

21-10-2016-EUR-H4.png

 

The last consolidation was finally ended the yesterday’s bearish rally. The price faced a support at 1.0896, but the market is likely going to reach the next support at 1.0847. If a pullback from this level happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have a local upward correction. 

 

21-10-2016-EUR-H1.png

 

We’ve got a “Thorn” pattern, which led to the current decline. Considering a support at 1.0896, bulls are likely going to achieve the nearest resistance at 1.0929 – 1.0951 during the day. However, if a pullback from this area be on the table, bears will probably try to reach a support at 1.0896 – 1.0847.

 

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GBP/USD: angry bears ready to move on

10/21/2016

 

21-10-2016-GBP-H4.png

 

There’s a consolidation, which is taking place under the closest resistance at 1.2323. So, bears are likely going to achieve a support at 1.2226 – 1.2089 in the short term. Meanwhile, if we see a pullback from these levels, bulls will have an opportunity to test the 34 Moving Average.

 

21-10-2016-GBP-H1.png

 

The price is moving up and down between the levels 1.2330 – 1.2226. In this case, the pair is likely going to reach the nearest support at 1.2132 during the day. However, there’s an option to have a local bullish correction afterwards.

 

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Forecasts for EUR/USD from CITI bank

10/21/2016

 

CITI is short EUR/USD from 1.1080 with target at 1.0525. The bank traced the formation of the Head and shoulders” pattern on the EUR/USD daily timeframe indicating a possible downfall in the upcoming days.  The first major support is located in the 1.0822 – 1.0826 area. Below these levels the losses may extend towards the next support lines located at 1.0458 and 1.0524 levels accordingly.

 

Fundamentally, there are several reasons that could confirm the technical picture described above.

 

While the Fed is considering the rate hike in the near-term, the ECB will unlikely make any moves towards tightening being overwhelmed with concerns about the efficacy of the low interest rates.  

Inflation expectations in American continent are much more elevated than in the world of Grand Dame Europe.

The European yields compare poorly with their American homologues. American yields provide more profits with lesser risks, whereas Europe offers very lower spreads with high risks.

Brexit creates an uncertainty for the European Union as well as the UK

The recent scandal with Deutsche Bank showed the fragility of the European baking system and raised some concerns about capitalization of European banks.

Italian referendum scheduled for December 4 weights on the future of the Eurozone.

Immigration crisis + high risk of political instability is hovering in the air.

 

EURUSDDaily(23).png

 

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GBP/USD ahead of BoE's Carney speech: Coming up next, dovish words?

10/25/2016

 

Today at 14:35 GMT we expect a speech from the Bank of England’s Governor Mark Carney, as he’ll testify at the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee in London, United Kingdom. Because of the overall Sterling’s bearish bias, any dovish words by Carney should add pressure on the British currency and eventually, such moves can open the doors to test flash crash’s lows across the board.

 

The technical overview for GBP/USD at H1 chart is still bearish, as the Cable is forming a lower triangle. However, The pair is attempting to consolidate above the 200 SMA and one breakout above the 1.2242 level can send it to test the 1.2300 handle. If Carney has some bearish words present during his testimony, then we should expect a lower breakout of the 1.2175 level, in order to test the 1.2144 price zone.

 

GBPUSDH1(7).png

 

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GBP/USD: bears are not active

10/25/2016

 

Technical levels: support – 1.2170, 1.2200; resistance – 1.2230/50.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Sell — 1.2230; SL — 1.2250; TP1 — 1.2130; TP2 — 1.2100.

 

2. Buy — 1.2260; SL — 1.2240; TP1 — 1.2330; TP2 — 1.2360.

 

Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud and horizontal Senkou Span A and B; dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but lines are horizontal; the prices are under a Cloud.

 

02-gbpusdh4(32).png

 

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AUD/USD: volatility in a Cloud

10/25/2016

 

Technical levels: support – 0.7610; resistance – 0.7670.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Buy — 0.7620; SL — 0.7600; TP1 — 0.7670; TP2 — 0.7710.

 

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud; a correctional dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; a strong support of a Cloud.

 

03-audusdh4(40).png

 

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USD/JPY: bulls have won

10/25/2016

 

Technical levels: support – 104.20, 104.00; resistance – 105.20, 105.70.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Buy — 104.20; SL — 104.00; TP1 — 105.20; TP2 — 105.70.

 

Reason: a bullish Ichimoku Cloud and rising lines Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.

 

04-usdjpyh4(48).png

 

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EUR/USD: bears took a break

10/25/2016

 

On the EUR/USD daily chart, quotes failed to fulfill the target at 1,084 on short positions. The euro got into the convergence zone located within 1,0836-1,0896 levels. Its boundaries correspond to the Targets 113% and 127.2% of the "Crab" pattern. If there is a break of the resistance line, there could be a rebound towards the 1,095 level. If there is a successful test of support, the quotes will continue to fall towards the 1.0692 mark.

 

Screenshot_2016_10_25_08_34_54.png

 

On the EUR/USD hourly chart, if "bulls" once again attack the 1.09 level, the "Bat" inverted pattern will be activated. It could lead to the correction in the direction of 1,093 and 1,095 levels. In the "bearish" market, the rollbacks should be used for opening short positions.  

 

Screenshot_2016_10_25_08_36_29.png

 

Recommendations:

 

SELL 1,093 SL 1,0985 TP1 1,0835 TP2 1,07

 

SELL 1,095 TP1 1,0835 TP2 1,07.  

 

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GBP/USD: pound stayed too long in the consolidation zone

10/25/2016

 

On the GBP/USD daily chart, the quotes continue to stay in the consolidation zone at 1.2109 - 1.2317. Its boundaries correspond to the targets 224% of the "Deep-water crab" pattern and AB=CD pattern. Breakout of the resistance line will increase the risks of rebound towards the 1.248 mark and higher. In contrast, successful test of the support line will contribute to the restoration of the downward trend. 

 

Screenshot_2016_10_25_08_39_00.png

 

On the GBP/USD hourly chart, there is a "Spike and ledge" pattern based on the 1-2-3. The boundaries of the ledge are located at 1,214 and 1.2315 levels. Traders should bid for a breakout of one of these boundaries. If they are broken successfully, traders will be able to open long positions towards 1.24 and 1,257 marks or short positions.

 

Screenshot_2016_10_25_08_39_14.png

 

Recommendations:

 

BUY 1,2315 SL 1,226 TP1 1,24 TP2 1,257

 

SELL 1,214 SL 1,2175 TP1 1,204 TP2 1,188. 

 

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Morning brief for October 25, 2016

10/25/2016

 

CAD was the mover of the last trading session having dropped after Bank Canada Governor Stephen Poloz announced that the bank is going to keep rates on hold for another 18 months. Then, Canadian dollar rebounded from its seventh-month low (1.3280) after Poloz clarified its statement saying that he mentioned the need to wait 18 months referring to the time period over which the output gap should be closed.

 

The GBP/USD slipped additional points in the course of the last session; now it continues its sideward movement along the 50-day MA (1.224) on the 4H timeframe. Today we will keep in focus the BOE’s Governor Mark Carney speaking at the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee in London at 14:35 GMT. If he is in favor of doves, the pound may slide down further from its present positions.

 

Aussie lost some ground for a while, but then it got some momentum from the rise in Dalian iron ore futures +coal prices ticked the new peaks. What can you do, AUD is a commodity currency. Kiwi also experienced an uplift; not it continues its rally towards the resistance line located at 0.7186.

 

There are small changes in the position of USD/JPY. There was a modest move higher from 104.20 to 104.41 or so.

 

Overnight, U.S. oil dropped on Monday, after Iraq said it wanted to be exempt from any output cut deal by the OPEC. Then, the market managed to digest this news and recovered from its $50.48 drop. Now Brent oil futures are trading at $51.41 per barrel. Next significant moves we may expect from the tomorrow’s data on the US crude oil inventories.

 

The USD got some strengths from the better-than-expected US manufacturing PMI sending the euro to its February lows. Today at 3:30 GMT we will hear the ECB President Draghi speaking once again, but no worries, it seems that this time there shouldn’t be last Thursday’s toing and froing followed by the euro’s tremendous drop. Also, today we will keep an eye on the monthly update of the CB consumer confidence index. 

 

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Key option levels for Tuesday, October 25th

10/25/2016

 

EUR/USD

 

EURUSD(53).png

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Neutral Bearish

Changes in the open interest + 112 834 ? - 8 530 ?

Closest resistance levels 1.0917; 1.0941; 1.0961; 1.0988

Closest support levels 1.0863; 1.0840; 1.0811; 1.0775

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Short EUR/USD below 1.0863, with target points at 1.0840 and 1.0811

Alternative scenario Moving above 1.0917 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 1.0941 and 1.0961

 

GBP/USD

 

GBPUSD(51).png

 

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bearish Bearish

Changes in the open interest + 1 024 ? + 1 643 ?

Closest resistance levels 1.2275; 1.2303; 1.2323; 1.2346

Closest support levels 1.2214; 1.2195; 1.2162; 1.2139

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Short GBP/USD below 1.2214, with target points at 1.2195 and 1.2162

Alternative scenario Moving above 1.2275 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 1.2303 and 1.2323

 

USD/JPY

 

USDJPY(49).png

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Neutral Neutral

Changes in the open interest + 452 ? + 1 059 ?

Closest resistance levels 104.58; 104.82; 105.14; 105.53

Closest support levels 103.90; 103.63; 103.40; 103.10

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Long USD/JPY above 104.58, with the target points at 104.82 and 105.14

Alternative scenario Moving below 103.90 can be considered as a signal to sell the pair, with target at 103.63 and  103.40

 

USD/CAD

 

USDCAD(45).png

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bullish Bullish

Changes in the open interest + 318 ? + 140 ?

Closest resistance levels 1.3373; 1.3389; 1.3407; 1.3439

Closest support levels 1.3333; 1.3307; 1.3266; 1.3210

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Long USD/CAD above 1.3373, with the target points at 1.3389 and 1.3407

Alternative scenario Moving below 1.3333 can be considered as a signal to sell the pair, with target at 1.3307 and 1.3266

 

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Beware of the UK High Court decision on Brexit legality

10/25/2016

 

According to Deutsche Bank, the UK High Court should decide this week whether the government has the authority to trigger the legal process of leaving the European Union without a parliamentary vote or not.

 

What decision to expect?

 

If the High Court decides in favor of the government, and this is upheld by the Supreme Court, the government will proceed with its current plan to trigger Article 50 pf Lisbon treaty by the end of March 2017.

 

If the High Court rules in favor of the claimant (Gina Miller, an investment manager, and anti-Brexit campaigner), the outcome is less predictable. The claimants’ litigation concerns the legality of the Brexit process, but the judges of the High Court may feel that prescribing next steps is out of the area of the court’s jurisdiction, and leave interpretation to the Supreme Court. If the Supreme Court rules against the government, it would increase the probability of a parliamentary vote on the triggering of the Brexit process.

 

How markets can react?

 

The market is likely to react positively to a decision against the government because it would eliminate the probability of “hard Brexit”. Although the majority of forecasts assume a vote in favor of the government, we would recommend to take precautions and shield yourself from risks of trading short on the pound.

 

The result of this case is likely to meaningfully increase political uncertainty in the UK and potentially burst into the constitutional crisis followed by a new general election. The prospect of denial of June’s decision remains very slim.

 

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EUR/USD: bearish "Flag"

10/25/2016

 

25-10-2016-EUR-H4.png

 

The price faced a support at 1.0847, which led to the current consolidation. Also, we’ve got a “Flag” pattern, so the market is likely going to reach the nearest support at 1.0821. If a pullback from this level happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have another upward movement.

 

25-10-2016-EUR-H1.png

 

There’s a consolidation, which is taking place between the 34 Moving Average and the closest support at 1.0847. Considering the bearish “Flag”, which hasn’t finished yet, the price is likely going to rise towards the next resistance at 1.0896 – 1.0911 during the day. If we have a pullback from this area, bears will probably try to test a support at 1.0821.

 

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GBP/USD: flat inside "Wedge"

10/25/2016

 

25-10-2016-GBP-H4.png

 

The price is consolidating under the 34 Moving Average. There’s a possible “Rising Wedge” pattern, so bears are likely going to reach a support at 1.2089 in the short term. If any bullish pattern arrives afterwards, there’ll be an opportunity to have an upward correction.

 

25-10-2016-GBP-H1.png

 

There’s the 89 Moving Average, which is likely going to act as a resistance soon. At the same time, if a pullback from this line happens, bears will probably try to deliver a new local low.

 

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Forecasts for AUD/USD ahead of the Australian CPI release

10/25/2016

 

Aussie surged today on the rising commodity prices having broken the resistance line at 0.7603. Now it paves its way towards the cherished resistance line at 0.7737. Tomorrow we will be waiting for the Australian Consumer Price Index quarterly update. The index measures the change in the consumer prices of goods and services. It is believed that it could seriously affect the AUD/USD movement.

 

If the data come within the market expectations, AUD/USD could show some fluctuation, but remain in range. If the data are worse-than-expected, the pair could slide down to the support located at 0.7582.

 

Analysts from Australian National Bank (NAB) recommend getting short anywhere above the 0.77 mark with a stop loss above the 0.7835 level and target at 0.75. The greenback remains strong with anticipation of December Fed’s rate hike and positive economic data coming from the US, while the overall sentiment towards Aussie remains bearish. The NAB supports its recommendations with technical chart analysis and some observations. Last week we got a rather mixed data on Australian labor market. The unemployment rate improved slightly, but the market lost 9.8K jobs; the latter data dragged the Aussie from its high (from the 0.7735 mark) to its present positions. The NAB analysts note that there was the identical situation on 8 September when the pair made almost the same high, but then traded down over the 3 consecutive days to a low of 0.7442. So, they believe that there should be a “history repeating”.

 

Meanwhile, today’s sentiment towards this currency pair is rather bullish. So, our analysts recommend you to trade AUD/USD long in a short-term.

 

AUDUSDDaily(19).png

 

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NZD/CAD rising inside impulse waves 3 and (3)

10/25/2016

 

NZD/CAD rising inside impulse waves 3 and (3)                   

Next buy target - 0.9640

NZD/CAD has been rising steadily in the last few trading sessions inside the active minor impulse wave 3, which started earlier – when the pair reversed up from the support zone lying between the pivotal support level 0.9300 (low of wave (ii)), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp upward impulse from the end of April. The active impulse wave 3 belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3).

 

NZD/CAD is expected to continue to rise in the active impulse waves 3 and (3) toward the next buy target at the strong resistance level 0.9640 (which reversed the price multiple times in September).

 


 

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