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Date: November 13, 2025. US Shutdown Ends, Fed Split on Rate Cuts, and UK Data Weighs on the Pound The longest government shutdown in the history of the US has officially come to an end. However, even with the shutdown over, today's inflation report may still be postponed. According to Goldman Sachs, the Bureau of Labor statistics will likely schedule the NFP Employment Change for early next week. Economists and analysts continue to expect the inflation rate to remain at 3%, with employment continuing to weaken. As a result, the stock market continues to rise, while the US Dollar remains unchanged. The price movement is largely due to its impact on interest rates. However, two members of the Federal Reserve officially came out opposing a rate cut in December. As a result, the possibilities of a rate cut fell from 66% to 52% according to the Chicago Exchange. Although many economists continue to advise that the Federal Reserve is still likely to cut rates in December. GBPUSD - Poor Economic Data Continues For the UK The British Pound continues to decline for a third consecutive day, with downward momentum gaining due to further poor data. The UK's employment data was originally triggering the downward price movement of the week. This includes the UK's Unemployment Rate rising to 5% and salary earnings falling 0.2% below expectations. However, today's UK Gross Domestic Product further increases the downward momentum. The UK's Gross Domestic Product fell from 0.0% to -0.1% and below previous expectations. The GDP expectations, which are also made public by the Office For National Statistics, also fell from 0.3% to 0.1%. Since the announcement at 07:00 (GMT), the price of the Pound fell 0.17%, but has since seen up-and-down volatility. A positive factor for the Pound is Health Minister Wes Streeting de-escalating the latest political tensions. Sources within the Labor Party also reported a possible leadership change, with Health Minister Wes Streeting emerging as a potential candidate. However, Mr Streeting has since advised he has no desire to oust the current UK Prime Minister. The British Pound is the worst performing currency of the week along with the Japanese Yen. The best performing currency remains the Swiss Franc and Australian Dollar. NASDAQ - Cisco Beat Earnings Expectations, But Fed Members Oppose a December Cut The NASDAQ and S&P 500 saw a day marked by contrasting performances between the first and second halves of the day. The NASDAQ rose in value during the Asian and US Sessions but fell during the US session. The decline was largely due to the comments made by two members of the Federal Reserve. Two Federal Reserve officials voiced opposition to another interest rate cut at the December meeting, adding uncertainty to the Fed's policy outlook. Previously, members had taken a neutral stance or advised that a cut was not certain. However, in recent weeks this is the first time members have outright opposed a rate cut. Comments from Susan Collins, President of the Boston Fed, and Raphael Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed, indicate the rate-setting committee may be shifting away from what was previously expected to be a third consecutive rate reduction next month. If the Federal Reserve does not cut in December, the NASDAQ could decline between 4-7% according to JP Morgan's Strategists. NASDAQ (USA100) 30-Minute Chart A positive factor for the NASDAQ is the end of the US shutdown officially coming to an end as well as the latest positive earnings reports. Last night, Cisco Systems made public their earnings for the 3rd quarter. The company's revenue beat expectations by $11 million and earnings beat expectations by $0.02. In addition to this, an important factor for shareholders is the company's forward-guidance figures were significantly higher than previous data. Cisco stocks rose 3.14% on Wednesday and a further 7% after the announcement of the company's earnings. On Wednesday, 58% of the most influential stocks (weight above 0.50%) rose in value with AMD stocks witnessing the strongest gains (+9.00%). NASDAQ Component Performance - 12th Nov NASDAQ - Technical Analysis Even with the decline during yesterday's Asian session the price of the NASDAQ remains above most Moving Averages. The price is also trading slightly above the RSI's neutral level on the 30-minute timeframe. The NASDAQ continues to form higher highs and lows, but has not broken above the resistance level at $25,793.00. The price is almost forming a 'head and shoulders' price pattern, which would indicate a downward trend. This is something investors will continue to monitor, and if the price falls below $25,570.00, the 'head and shoulders' pattern will become more visible. However, if the price rises above $25,662.20, the pattern and bearish signal will fade, and buy signals will strengthen. Key Takeaway Points: US government shutdown ends, but key economic reports such as inflation and employment data may still face delays. Rate-cut expectations fell from 66% to 52% after two Fed officials publicly opposed a December reduction. Economists and analysts continue to expect the inflation rate to remain at 3%, with employment continuing to weaken. UK economic data disappoints, with GDP contracting by 0.1% and unemployment rising, pressuring the British Pound further. Cisco released its Q3 earnings, beating revenue estimates by $11 million and EPS by $0.02, with stronger forward guidance. Cisco's stocks rose 7.00%. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyze the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Those who had gold always write the rules so i agree with the part that realizing our own skills and standing up for that can be the first step towards success.
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AUDUSD H4 Chart Analysis Bearish Channel Holds Firm The AUD/USD, commonly known as the "Aussie," is a popular forex currency pair that reflects the strength of the Australian economy relative to the US economy. Traders frequently analyze this pair for insights into global commodity prices and overall risk sentiment. Today’s fundamental outlook is significantly influenced by Australia's employment data, with expectations of strong job growth potentially supporting the Australian dollar. A positive employment report, characterized by increased employment numbers and a stable or reduced unemployment rate, could boost AUD due to anticipated consumer spending and economic activity. Meanwhile, several speeches from Federal Reserve members today could impact USD sentiment; a more hawkish stance by these members regarding monetary policy tightening would support a stronger US dollar, potentially offsetting gains by AUD. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Technically, examining the AUD/USD H4 chart, despite the previous bullish price action, the pair is currently trading within a bearish channel aligning with its long-term downtrend. Although recent candles have shown a breakout from the upper boundary of the bearish channel, early signs of red candles suggest a possible reversal back within the channel. Indicators further support a bearish outlook; the 9-period moving average stands at 0.65373, closely above the 22-period moving average at 0.65278, indicating possible weakening bullish momentum. The MACD (0.00020, 0.00085, 0.00065) indicates fading bullish momentum, and the RSI at 65.08 signals the pair might soon approach overbought conditions, supporting the expectation of a bearish reversal soon. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore
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Hi folks, Norway checking in! I tried a structured plan—20 spins, breathe, 20 spins—watching for expanding symbols to do their thing. The first cycle just teased; the second lined up a clean run of wilds and a retrigger that erased the early drips. I’m a sucker for tidy math, so I paused to review my notes and, mid-session, revisited spino gambino to confirm symbol values. Five careful spins later, I hit my stop-win and called it. Rewarded myself with a cinnamon bun instead of chasing.
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mirco replied to Dronsearch's topic in Web Hosting Discussion
From Germany I treated the session like a mini experiment: log hit rate, track bonus intervals, and refuse knee-jerk stake hikes. Variance poked a few holes at the start, but the base game kept the balance stable while I sipped coffee. Then the free-spin ladder finally climbed in a sensible arc and the graph flipped. In the middle of weighing greed vs. plan, I opened spin granny for a short, measured block—picked up a quiet top-up, withdrew, and left the desk feeling tidy rather than hyped. -
Hi Guys, I'm looking for a web hosting provider
mirco replied to Goodmood's topic in Web Hosting Discussion
In Ireland I stumbled on a short YouTube review about “granny” free-spin ladders that pay in waves. I mapped a coffee-money budget, tracked hit rate, and resisted bumping bets during cold spells. After two near misses, a respin chain finally connected and multipliers behaved sensibly. While the adrenaline settled, I reopened spin granny to confirm values and planned a tiny cooldown cycle. One more micro win landed, I withdrew, and grabbed a sandwich—small profit, steady pulse, Irish drizzle outside, all good.
