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Date: 22nd August 2025. The Fed’s Cut For September is Dimming, Pressuring Stocks! US stocks continue to decline as the possibility of the Federal Reserve adjusting rates in September is becoming less likely. Inflation continues to be a concern for the FOMC, while the latest economic data indicates growth for the US economy. The US Purchasing Managers’ Index is the latest economic data made public, but the US significantly beat projections. The market now turns its attention to the Jackson Hole Symposium and the Fed Chairman’s speech at 14:00 GMT. Global Economy Obtains Boost From Latest Data The Purchasing Managers’ Index from around the globe was generally positive, with most countries beating previous expectations. However, the US PMI data was surprisingly significantly higher than economists were expecting. Services PMI Data - 55.4 Vs 54.2 Projections Manufacturing PMI Data - 53.3 vs 49.7 Projections (highest in 2 years) Positive economic data is usually observed to create a bullish trend within the stock market. However, under the current market conditions, where investors are looking for certainty over the Federal Reserve’s next move, the positive data is fueling the downward momentum. Currently, the economic data and comments from members of the Federal Open Market Committee are raising doubts over a September rate cut. The Fed Bank of Chicago President, Austan Goolsbee, is the latest member to speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium. He told journalists that inflation is lower than expected, but there is data which is a concern for the regulator. ‘The last inflation report that came in, where you saw services inflation, which is probably not driven by the tariffs, ’ significantly increased, as has producer inflation. However, most members of the FOMC are also concerned about the employment sector, which is cooling down and why investors are keen for interest rates to start falling. The possibility of an interest rate cut in September has now fallen from 85.5% to 73.0% which means a cut is still a likely outcome. The market is likely to obtain further clarity on the matter as the Federal Reserve Chairman is due to speak at 14:00 GMT. The NASDAQ and SNP500 are likely to experience high volatility during this time. NASDAQ Performance and Technical Analysis The NASDAQ has not risen in value since August 12th and is currently trading 3.70% lower than its recent high. Currently, all global indices are trading lower, the VIX index edges higher, and the put/call order ratio rises to the 0.70 mark. These factors currently provide a bearish bias for the NASDAQ and point to further downward price movement. The price will depend on the Fed speech this afternoon and NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings report on the 27th. The report has a consensus Earnings Per Share forecast of $0.94 (Zacks, 14 analysts), up from $0.60 a year ago. If higher than expectations, the price of the most influential stock for the NASDAQ potentially may see significant gains in the upcoming weeks. NASDAQ 30-Minute Chart The price of the NASDAQ continues to remain below the 75-bar EMA, below the day’s VWAP and the 50.00 level on the RSI. This points to a continued bearish trend for the upcoming sessions, as do the bearish crossovers on the smaller timeframes. Based on signals from price action momentum, if the price remains below 23,104.42, sell signals are likely to remain intact. Key Takeaway Points: Strong US PMI data has reduced expectations of a September rate cut, with odds falling from 85.5% to 73%. The uncertainty continues to pressure stocks. While inflation is easing, services and producer prices remain elevated, adding pressure on the Fed. Investors await Fed Chair Powell’s speech at 14:00 GMT, which could drive volatility in the NASDAQ and S&P 500. The NASDAQ is 3.7% off recent highs, trading below key technical levels, with sentiment bearish unless NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings surprise to the upside. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Operation ID:2829887 Operation Date: 22.08.2025 Status: Proceed Immediately Sender's Account: ePayCore E029772 Amount: $14.99 USD Note: Withdrawal to HyipsClub from Crypto Botics Limited

Operation ID:2829887 Operation Date: 22.08.2025 Status: Proceed Immediately Sender's Account: ePayCore E029772 Amount: $14.99 USD Note: Withdrawal to HyipsClub from Crypto Botics Limited

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