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Date:16th January 2026. USDJPY: Intervention On The Table With US Support. Japan's finance minister tells journalists that the Japanese government is considering currency intervention to support the Japanese Yen. The Japanese Yen Index has already fallen more than 1.00% in the first 2 weeks of 2026. Though, the main concern for the Japanese Federal Government is the decline against the US Dollar, which at one point was almost at a 2% decline. The Japanese Yen is currently the second best performing currency during this morning’s Asian session, after the New Zealand Dollar. Will the Japanese Government Boost the Currency? Analysts cannot advise that a currency intervention is certain without any doubt. However, over the past week, the Japanese government has told journalists that they will support the currency. When asked about direct currency intervention, the finance minister said the option remains on the table. For this reason, many traders do believe the government will boost the currency with an intervention, or if they opt not to intervene directly, they will explore other options. It is important to note that the Bank of Japan is not likely to adjust interest rates without the snap elections ending first: the BOJ is due to announce their decision on Japan’s monetary policy next Friday, however, the snap election will most likely not take place until mid-February. Previously the government's interventions have not been successful other than a short-lived spike. However, according to Japan’s finance minister, on this occasion the move would be supported by the US. Will the Bank of Japan Increase Interest Rates? Some economists argue that with Japan’s new expansionary fiscal policy vision, the BOJ is more easily able to increase rates. Although, with the BOJ it's never that simple and they are traditionally known to move slowly. Market participants are reviewing December’s wholesale inflation data. Monthly inflation slowed from 0.3% to 0.1%, while annual inflation eased from 2.7% to 2.4%, mainly due to lower fuel prices. However, inflation remains above the Bank of Japan’s 2.0% target, which supports the case for maintaining a hawkish policy stance. According to a Reuters survey of leading economists, most expect the Bank of Japan to pause until July before raising interest rates again. Whereas, other economists believe the cut could come as early as April. The Bank of Japan will most likely raise rates by 0.25% and at most rise to 1.25% by the end of the year. If the Bank of Japan does not raise rates, the government will struggle to support the Japanese Yen in 2026. The Fed and Economic Data Support the US Dollar The US Dollar is trading lower this morning, but has been one of the best performing currencies of the week. The US Dollar Index has risen to its highest price since December 9th. Inflation has read more or less as per expectations, but economic data has been significantly higher. The Weekly Unemployment Claims fell to 198,000, the lowest in 6 weeks and lower than expectations. The US Retail Sales, Empire State Manufacturing Index and Philly Index have also all risen above expectations. Due to this, the market is expecting the Federal Reserve to pause in January and March unless data deteriorates. According to the Chicago Exchange, there is a 78% chance of no rate cuts in the first quarter of 2026. By the end of the year there is a 32% chance of 2 rate cuts, a 27% chance of 1 rate cut and a 21% chance of 3 rate cuts this year. However, the Federal Reserve’s hawkishness for the first quarter is supporting the US Dollar. USDJPY - Technical Analysis HFM - USDJPY 15-Minute Chart When it comes to government interventions, spreads tend to widen during the sudden spike in volatility and the price movement happens relatively quickly. Therefore, traders may consider an earlier entry with a medium-term view. On a 2-hour chart, the USDJPY has retraced back to the 75-bar Exponential Moving Average which can act as a support level. However, if this level is broken, sell signals may materialise on this timeframe. The MACD and RSI on the 2-hour chart are indicating downward price movement. On the 5-Minute timeframe the 200-bar Simple Moving Average and VWAP are indicating a bearish bias. According to the 200-bar EMA, sell signals are likely to remain as long as the price remains below 158.400. The main support level can be seen at 157.760. Key Takeaways: Japan’s finance minister says currency intervention remains an option as the Yen weakens against the US Dollar. Traders expect government support, but the Bank of Japan is unlikely to change interest rates until after the snap election. Economists see limited rate hikes in 2026, with policy rates likely peaking near 1.25%. Strong US economic data and a hawkish Federal Reserve continue to support the US Dollar. Technical indicators suggest downside risk for USDJPY unless prices move back above key resistance levels. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Date:15th January 2026. From ETFs to Technicals: What’s Fuelling Silver’s 2026 Rally. The best-performing asset in 2026 so far is Silver. Silver paused during the Asian session this morning after rising for four consecutive days. However, technical analysis is not yet indicating a prolonged downturn. So, why is Silver the best-performing asset of 2026, and what are analysts predicting for 2026? Factors driving Silver’s Bullish Momentum The increase that Silver is experiencing is largely due to demand from institutional investors rather than physical demand. According to the latest reports and projections, demand for physical Silver is likely to slightly decrease over the next 12 months. Institutions are buying Silver for similar reasons to Gold, however, Silver is much more volatile and cheaper to purchase. The slightly lower inflation readings from this week, projections for more frequent interest rate cuts, and questions over Fed independence are increasing demand. Economists are not expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this month, nor in March 2026. For this reason, the US Dollar has slightly risen while stocks have fallen. However, economists do believe that in the second and third quarters of the year, the Fed will need to make frequent rate cuts. On average, economists believe the Fed will need to cut by 0.75% by the end of the year. This would take the Federal Fund Rate to 3.00%, the lowest since the summer of 2022. For this reason, investors expect the Federal Reserve to delay cuts in the first quarter but eventually cut rates later in the year. At the same time, investors are incorporating political risks into their strategy, which is resulting in a need for Gold and Silver. These include the Federal Reserve’s independence and US global intentions such as within Greenland. In addition, investors are also treading cautiously as the US Midterms will take place later in the year. Investors Buying Silver ETFs Market participants are reviewing the Silver Institute’s early 2025 outlook, which expects global industrial silver demand to fall 2% to 665 million ounces. The decline reflects trade policy uncertainty and reduced use in electronics and photochemical applications. Demand for physical bars and coins is also expected to drop to a seven-year low, down 4% from 2024. However, strong investment inflows into Silver ETFs rose 18%, with net inflows of 187 million ounces. This is likely to offset weaker physical demand and help support prices, particularly as investors seek protection from inflation and currency volatility. On the CME, Silver trading activity spiked on 7 January, with volumes reaching 195,000 contracts, well above the early-month average. XAGUSD - Technical Analysis HFM - 15-Minute Chart Due to the bullish price movement, indicators and price action are understandably pointing towards Silver’s trend continuing. Even with the current retracement, the price fell to the previous low and did not necessarily form significant breakouts. When looking at the 2-hour timeframe, the price of the metal remains above the key Moving Average, above the neutral area of the RSI, and the MACD. For this reason, indicators continue to point towards buyers maintaining control. Fundamental analysis also indicates this, with inflation reading slightly lower. The main risk for Silver and Gold is the rise in the US Dollar. If the US Dollar declines, Silver can potentially strengthen further. The only indicators currently pointing towards a downward price movement are the 200-bar Moving Average on the 5-minute timeframe. The price currently remains below this level, giving a bearish bias. However, the price is currently rising and trading close to this level. If the price forms a bullish breakout at $90.185, the bearish bias is likely to fade. Key Takeaways: Silver leads 2026 performance. It’s the top-performing asset so far, despite a brief pause after four consecutive days of gains. Institutional demand drives momentum. Growth is fuelled by ETFs and institutional buying rather than physical silver demand. Fed rate expectations influence buying. Investors anticipate rate cuts later in 2026, boosting silver and gold as hedges. Physical demand is declining. Industrial use and coins/bars are projected to drop, but ETF inflows (up 18%) support prices. Technical indicators remain bullish. Silver’s price is holding above key moving averages and RSI/MACD signals, suggesting buyers remain in control. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

+ 0.1 USDT - Jan-14-2026 16:27 PM UTC *0xb23E7CFc7C458* 0x94cd8356aeef31c3ef4eaeef03a0a87c3887fbafa9ce7b7c1e0379bcbe8681fc Бонус за активность в боте

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