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Date: 5th November 2025. Tech Sell-off and Bitcoin Crash: Is Market Euphoria Finally Cooling? The global rally in stocks and cryptocurrencies is facing its first serious test in months. Sharp declines in major technology shares and a wave of Bitcoin liquidations have shaken investor confidence, prompting questions over whether markets are simply taking a breather, or signalling something deeper. Tech Stocks Lead the Market Pullback Asian and US markets turned lower this week as technology-heavy indices erased part of their 2025 gains. Seoul and Tokyo exchanges fell nearly 5% from Tuesday’s peaks, while the Nasdaq dropped 2%, with futures pointing to further weakness. The hardest-hit names were those that had led the artificial intelligence boom. Nvidia, once crowned the world’s most valuable company, slid 4%, extending its decline to 7% below last month’s record. Meanwhile, Palantir Technologies dropped 8% despite strong earnings, highlighting just how stretched valuations have become. Fund managers suggest the downturn reflects profit-taking rather than panic, a typical pattern as investors lock in gains ahead of year-end. As Angus McGeoch from Barrenjoey noted, ‘Managers don’t want to give up too much, but if the market rebounds, they’ll be quick to re-enter.’ Even after the decline, the Nasdaq remains over 50% higher since April, suggesting that the broader uptrend is still intact. AI Stocks: Reset or Reality Check? The correction has reignited the debate over whether the AI-driven stock rally has overheated. Wall Street executives, including those from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have warned of potential pullbacks after a year of rapid gains. Adding to the caution, South Korea’s regulator issued a standard warning on SK Hynix, which has tripled in a year but has now lost 6% in two days. Saxo Bank’s Charu Chanana called the move ‘healthy,’ adding that a short-term reset is preferable to a larger market unwind later. Bitcoin Mirrors the Market’s Mood The cryptocurrency market has followed a similar pattern. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped over 20% from its October record above $126,000, briefly dipping below the $100,000 mark for the first time since June. Long-term holders have liquidated an estimated $41.6 billion in BTC, marking one of the largest sell-offs in recent memory. This wave of selling has been accompanied by mounting pressure on miners, whose profitability has hit its lowest point in months due to rising energy costs and falling rewards. Over $1.3 billion in crypto positions were liquidated in just 24 hours, underscoring the severity of the correction. However, some contrarian investors have stepped in to buy the dip, showing that long-term confidence in Bitcoin remains resilient. Macro Developments: Trade Relief Meets Policy Uncertainty Interestingly, the Bitcoin sell-off coincides with a positive geopolitical development. China’s decision to suspend additional tariffs on US goods for one year has eased trade tensions, removing a major source of market anxiety. However, optimism is tempered by domestic political instability in the US, including a prolonged government shutdown and ongoing uncertainty around future digital asset regulations. These factors have combined to create a highly volatile environment for both equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin and Stock Market Technical Outlook On the charts, Bitcoin’s 50-week simple moving average (SMA) around $102,900 remains a key support level. Historically, this line has acted as a springboard for previous recoveries. A decisive break below $100,000 could open the door towards $94,000 or even $85,000, according to InvestingHaven and Sevens Report analysts. For equities, investors are watching whether the tech sector can stabilise and reassert leadership. If so, the pullback could quickly prove to be a buying opportunity rather than the start of a bear trend. The Bottom Line: A Healthy Pause in an Overheated Market Both the stock and crypto markets are experiencing their first meaningful correction after months of relentless gains. For now, analysts view this as a healthy reset, not a crisis. While uncertainty around regulation, earnings, and policy remains, easing trade tensions and robust long-term trends in AI and blockchain continue to support the broader bullish narrative. In other words, this may not be the end of the rally, just the market catching its breath. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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US 500 Index Technical and Fundamental Update The US 500 Index, widely known as the S&P 500 or “the barometer of the US economy,” tracks 500 leading US companies and reflects the overall market and economic performance. From a fundamental perspective, today’s focus is on the ADP Employment Report, ISM Services PMI, S&P Global Services PMI, EIA Crude Oil Inventories, and remarks from President Trump at the America Business Forum. Strong employment and PMI data could boost the USD and pressure equities as investors anticipate tighter monetary policy, while weaker data may support risk assets by increasing expectations for easing. The EIA report could also sway sentiment through its impact on inflation outlooks, and Trump’s comments may add volatility depending on his economic tone. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the US 500 H4 chart, the market remains broadly bullish, though several bearish corrections have formed lower lows. The candles have corrected up to the 0.382 Fibonacci level and are struggling to break lower levels. The 0.236 Fibonacci at 6849.93 could be the next resistance, while the 6770–6760 area provides short-term support. Williams %R at -99.67 signals oversold conditions, hinting at a possible rebound. The MACD (-11.83, -22.93, -11.11) confirms bearish momentum, though it’s beginning to flatten. Ichimoku readings (6834.18, 6865.09, 6777.61, 6761.56) show price below the cloud, reinforcing a bearish tone. A drop below 6760 could open the way toward 6700 (0.618 Fibonacci), while a close above 6849 might trigger a short-term bullish reversal. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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