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NZD/CAD Daily Analytics

14:34 06.02.2018

NZD/CAD reversed from the support area

Next buy target - 0.9200

NZD/CAD recently reversed up from the support area lying between the key support level 0.9030 (former resistance level from December) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp upward impulse 1 from the middle of November. NZD/CAD is expected to rise further toward the next buy target at the next resistance level 0.9200 (former strong support level from July and the top of the earlier impulse wave 1).

 

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AUD/NZD Daily Analytics

14:37 06.02.2018

AUD/NZD broke support zone

Next sell target - 1.0700

AUD/NZD recently broke through the support zone lying between the key support level 1.0860 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of September) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous intermediate impulse wave © from June. This price zone is acting as resistance area after it was broken.  AUD/NZD is expected to fall further to the next sell target at the next support level 1.0700.

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

06:42 07.02.2018

The 55 Moving Average has acted as support, so there's a "Harami" pattern. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance area.

 

1517985493-deae538e0ae2e48af624aff42e40b

 

We've got a bullish "Hammer", which has been formed on the 89 Moving Average. Therefore, the pair is likely going to test the upper "Window".

 

1517985547-f30fcc7024149c09bc3c628e70822

 

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics

06:49 07.02.2018

The price reached the 34 MA, but there isn't any reversal pattern so far. Therefore, bulls are likely going to test the next upper "Window".

 

1517985808-63543397f6ae01e43dc7cfeddd557

 

There's a bullish "High Wave", which has been confirmed. In this case, the market is likely going to continue moving up in the short term.

 

1517985795-23fdcd7a6a0e3cf99814c3926cdb2

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

06:54 07.02.2018

The trend is still bullish, but the price is consolidating. Also, there's a "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed, so the pair tested the 55 Moving Average. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.2456. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the next support at 1.2334 - 1.2294.

 

1517986314-09b2f8803f0d1eb83a640bd7b5037

 

All the Moving Averages acted as resistance, so there's a "V-Top" pattern. Therefore, the pair is likely going to test the closest support area at 1.2350 - 1.2334. Meanwhile, if we see a pullback from these levels, there'll be a moment to have another upward price movement.

 

1517986300-719e757d16cb7fd085daf36c09fa3

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

07:05 07.02.2018

There's a "V-Bottom" pattern, which has been formed on the 89 Moving Average. In this case, the price is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.4011 - 1.4082. This area could be a departure point for a decline in the direction of another support at 1.3834 - 1.3741.

 

1517987030-845859bd9aaf476364168d8983c83

 

The last "V-Bottom" pattern led to a local bullish price movement. It's likely to have an intraday downward correction, but bulls are going to test the 89 Moving Average afterward.

 

1517986920-1a46322b59228b2427f64eacb16c7

 

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USD/CHF Daily Analytics

07:30 07.02.2018

Recommendations:

 

BUY 0.9395 SL 0.934 TP1 0.948 TP2 0.96

 

SELL 0.929 SL 0.9345 TP1 0.919 TP2 0.905

 

On the daily chart, USD/CHF reached the interim target at 113% of the “Crab” pattern: bulls are trying to counterattack. To develop correction, they need to overcome resistance at 0.9410 and 0.9485-0.9505.

 

1517988515-a5903a7f3cf43bc4f33886526fd84

 

On H1, a break of the upper border of the 0.929-0.9395 consolidation range will increase the odds of its getting to 88.6% of the inverted “Shark” pattern. On the other hand, a decline below the support at 0.9290 will lead to the resumption of the downtrend.

 

1517988536-351a015a31e5fdb2fee97b43bc66a

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

08:26 07.02.2018

Recommendation:

 

BUY 1.4005

 

SL 1.3950

 

TP1 1.4105 TP2 1.425 TP3 1.46

 

On the daily chart, GBP/USD bull managed to defend support at 1.3830-1.3835. As a result, the pair formed a pinbar. A successful test of its high will allow the pound to count on the uptrend’s resumption.  

 

1517991798-b6b56ed02b1869ac79ae2067aff9c

 

On H1, GBP/USD keeps forming 1-2-3 and “Spike with reversal and acceleration”. To break the uptrend, bears need to pull the pair out of the trading channel and reach 88.6% target of the “Bat”. The odds of this scenario are not high.

 

1517991815-2cf183d9aa99dd882e50bd88c66a5

 

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GBP/USD IS WELCOMING A PINBAR

08:26 07.02.2018

 

Recommendation:

 

BUY 1.4005

 

SL 1.3950

 

TP1 1.4105 TP2 1.425 TP3 1.46

 

On the daily chart, GBP/USD bull managed to defend support at 1.3830-1.3835. As a result, the pair formed a pinbar. A successful test of its high will allow the pound to count on the uptrend’s resumption.  

 

Fnte2Wv.png

 

On H1, GBP/USD keeps forming 1-2-3 and “Spike with reversal and acceleration”. To break the uptrend, bears need to pull the pair out of the trading channel and reach 88.6% target of the “Bat”. The odds of this scenario are not high.

 

9Oc0TE7.png

 

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USD/CHF HAS LITTLE SPACE IN THE CORRIDOR

07:30 07.02.2018

 

Recommendations:

 

BUY 0.9395 SL 0.934 TP1 0.948 TP2 0.96

 

SELL 0.929 SL 0.9345 TP1 0.919 TP2 0.905

 

On the daily chart, USD/CHF reached the interim target at 113% of the “Crab” pattern: bulls are trying to counterattack. To develop correction, they need to overcome resistance at 0.9410 and 0.9485-0.9505.

 

qTF5rnM.png

 

On H1, a break of the upper border of the 0.929-0.9395 consolidation range will increase the odds of its getting to 88.6% of the inverted “Shark” pattern. On the other hand, a decline below the support at 0.9290 will lead to the resumption of the downtrend.

 

GAO0nNd.png

 

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TECHNICAL INDICATORS EVERY TRADER SHOULD KNOW

 

What Trading Indicators do you use?

 

Technical indicators won’t automatically lead you to profit, but they will do a lot of work for you. There are no doubts that a skillful and experienced trader can achieve profit without indicators, but they can still help a lot.

 

Success comes from knowledge – this is true for most things in life and especially Forex trading. To become successful, a trader needs to learn technical analysis. Technical indicators are a big part of technical analysis. 

 

FBS would like to share with you three of the most useful trading Indicators. Read more here https://goo.gl/6DMi7r

 

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Know the inspirational story of the Dreams Come True Contest winner of november

 

Mr. Fanny Setia from Indonesia!  – he asked for a limb prosthesis to start a new life.

Back in 2009, he got into a motorcycle accident and lost his leg, and it changed everything. Mr. Setia couldn’t afford a limb prosthesis since it was way too expensive, but he wanted his life back, so he addressed his wish to FBS.

 

Watch the video with all the details https://goo.gl/hUzVbu

 

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WILL BITCOIN STOP FALLING?

13:40 07.02.2018

On Tuesday, Bitcoin traded below $6000, the lowest price since November 2017, however, soon it changed the direction and increased in 23% in a day. It seems like it is not going to stop plunging.

 

What caused such fall? Will it stop?

 

Analysts give several reasons for such dramatic drop of the cryptocurrency.

 

Experts see the main reason for speculations on the Bitcoin futures market. After Bitcoin futures trading began on CBOE exchange in Chicago, the price of Bitcoin increased immediately. The price was rising until investors did not stop purchasing futures. When cryptoinvestors saw the slowdown in Bitcoin’s price, they started to reduce their positions, it led to the cut of the market capitalization.

 

Also, experts suppose that the opportunity to play in the fall of cryptocurrency led to a huge number of sellers on the market and collapse in prices.

 

Volatility is the next factor. Cryptocurrencies are naturally volatile. However, additional attention from the US and Asian regulators makes them even more so. For example, the most recent leg down happened because of the news from Bloomberg. The agency reported that two US controlling companies are going to ask the Congress to consider federal supervision for digital-currency trading platforms.

 

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Nowadays, more and more countries talk about tightening policy, trying to restrict cryptocurrency activity. For example, China has already banned ICOs and domestic exchange, soon the country is going to block users from accessing websites with cryptocurrency trading services or ICOs.

 

Huge hacks harmed reliability of Bitcoin as well. Cryptocurrency exchange Coincheck, one of Japan’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, lost about $500 million worth of digital coins in January.

 

Looking at reasons above, we can say that the fall of Bitcoin was caused by speculations around it. The reliability of the cryptocurrency is damaged on purpose, that is why the Bitcoin is falling.

 

So what about the future of Bitcoin?

 

As usual, there are two opposite views. Can you guess which?

 

There is an unusual theory that well-known cryptocurrencies will be replaced by national cryptocurrencies. The founder of Universa Blockchain Alexandr Borodich said in Davos that governments are highly interested in launching their own cryptocurrencies. They will be secured by commodities.

 

It is a possible scenario because as we can see now, governments are trying to control cryptocurrency market and mining more and more. New restrictions crash the market and it is supposed to be done on purpose. 

 

However, despite doubts about the future of Bitcoin, most experts are sure that it will exist and will be widely used.

 

First of all, blockchain will be used worldwide in the near future. So Bitcoin will be used within it.

 

Secondly, there are demand and supply still. People continue to buy Bitcoin, despite its fall. A conception of FOMO - fear of missing out - works here. Mostly, people regret that they did not invest in Bitcoin before, so they will do it no matter what.

 

The third reason is that Bitcoin is supposed to have a good store value, said Ran Neu Ner, ONchain Capital founder. He supposes that Bitcoin has a future as the digital gold that is more convenient to use than real gold.

 

All these factors are anticipated to support Bitcoin.

 

So what about the price forecast?

 

There is an interesting opinion that the price of Bitcoin will fix at $5000. The explanation is simple: $5000 is a cost of mining. This amount of money is enough for a miner to produce tokens and get profit. Later the price will rise because of the increase in the mining cost. When all tokens are produced, the price will depend on the role of Bitcoin in the blockchain.

 

Someone is even over-optimistic about Bitcoin. For example, Mr. McAfee (the founder of the software company McAfee.Inc) said that he will eat his own man meat if one bitcoin isn’t priced at $1 million by 2020.

 

However, if we look at the situation more rationally, it is more likely that Bitcoin will be at the level of $10000 – the half of its greatest price, that was increased speculative.

 

To sum up, it is quite difficult to predict the future of Bitcoin now because it is highly volatile. As Bitcoin has declined with such an incredible speed, it will not be a surprise, if it starts rising fast in one week. We can see that nowadays cryptocurrency market is highly speculated. It seems like the speculative news is created with a purpose to crash Bitcoin. However, most of the experts forecast the positive future of Bitcoin.

 

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SUPER THURSDAY

15:19 07.02.2018

On Thursday, February 8, the Bank of England will release a huge amount of data. BOE inflation report, MPC official bank rate votes, monetary policy summary and official bank rate will be delivered tomorrow at 14:00 MT time.

 

In the end of January Cable achieved its highest level since the Brexit vote. Sterling has jumped 4.5% this year against the US dollar. Such increase was supported by the optimism over Brexit talks and the UK prices growth.

 

1518016579-19dda06215037e098a5fb4cc55818

 

However, now we can see the decline of the pound because Brexit still causes many problems and analysts still think that it will hurt Britain. So what will the central bank do in such situation?

 

Some predictions

 

Despite the fact that Britain’s economy is recovering after the financial crisis, showing good figures, analysts suppose that the BOE will hold interest rates unchanged because figures are still not incredible compared to other strong economies and there are doubts about the Brexit.

 

However, most of the experts forecast two interest rates hikes this year because of the recent upbeat speech of the BOE Governor Mr. Carney. He claimed that the wage growth is increasing and the focus of the central bank policy is returning to fight above-target inflation.

 

So, for example, Fabrice Montagne, head UK economist at Barclays said that they consider upbeat talks this Thursday because of positive data of the UK economy, however, they see the next hike in November 2018.

 

Bank of America Merrill Lynch sees the hike in May or August, but they do not expect any comments from the BOE now.

 

Citi expects a hike in August 2018. They predict new forecasts with stronger growth and higher inflation rates, however, the Bank more likely will be careful because of the Brexit deal.

 

The EY ITEM Club forecasts two hikes this year: from 0.5% to 0.75% in May and from 0.75% to 1% in November.

 

Making a conclusion, we can say that the BOE is more likely will not change the interest rates this time, but experts predict soon hikes later this year. However, the situation will depend on a deal between the UK and the EU, that creates a volatility of the pound and affects the UK economic growth.  

 

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USD/CHF Daily Analytics

08:47 08.02.2018

USD/CHF rising inside minor corrective wave (ii)

Next buy target - 0.9500

USD/CHF continues to rise inside the minor corrective wave (ii), which started earlier from the support zone lying between the key support level 0.9240 and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The active corrective wave (ii) belongs to the minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of December. USD/CHF is expected to rise further toward the next buy target at the next resistance level 0.9500 (target price for the completion of wave (ii)).

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

08:48 08.02.2018

Technical levels: support – 1.2260, 1.2320; resistance – 1.2400.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 1.2230/40; SL — 1.2210; TP1 — 1.2340; TP2 — 1.2370

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A, but rising Senkou Span B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with falling lines; the prices are on the strong support of Senkou Span B.

 

1518079669-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

 

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CHF/JPY Daily Analytics

08:48 08.02.2018

CHF/JPY falling minor impulse wave 1

Next sell target - 115.00

 CHF/JPY continues to fall inside the minor impulse wave 1, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave © from the start of February. The price earlier reversed down sharply from the powerful resistance zone lying between the major resistance level 118.50 (which also reversed the previous sharp uptrend in the middle of July) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.  CHF/JPY is expected to fall further toward the next sell target at the next support level 115.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 1).

 

H6FcdsU.png

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

08:49 08.02.2018

Technical levels: support – 1.3850; resistance – 1.3950.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 1.3900/20; SL — 1.3880; TP1 — 1.4050; TP2 — 1.4100.

Sell — 1.3880; SL — 1.3900; TP1 — 1.3750; TP2 — 1.3680.

Reason: narrowing bullish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are on Senkou Span B’s support, but the Bears have a strength.

 

1518079769-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

 

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EUR/JPY Daily Analytics

09:10 08.02.2018

Recommendation:

 

SELL 133.80

 

SL 134.35

 

TP1 132.8 TP2 131.8 TP3 131.5

 

On the daily chart, EUR/JPY returned to the lower border of the medium-term uptrend channel. In case of its successful test, the risks of the pair’s decline to 88.6% of the “Shark” pattern will increase. On the other hand, a pullback will be in favor of the resumption of the long-term uptrend.  

 

1518080614-8afba167b3e7c15d0d5d28d0f3c7b

 

Renews February low, it will open the way down to 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern at 131.50.

 

1518080651-cd38927ea0f956dcaeee884bec774

 

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USD/JPY: YEN IS IN THE LIMBO

09:19 08.02.2018

Recommendation:

 

SELL 108.30 SL 108.85 TP 107.3 TP2 106.3 TP3 105.3

 

BUY 110.25 SL 109.7 TP 111.25 TP2 111.6 TP3 111.8

 

On the daily chart, USD/JPY formed an Inside bar. To continue the decline, bears need to pull the pair below support at 108.90 and 108.30. On the other hand, a break of resistance at 109.9-110.15 with the following triggering of the “Bat” pattern will increase the risks of a pullback.   

 

1518081503-3297c54597baddc0779dab87f7356

 

On H1, USD/JPY went outside of a triangle. This increases the odds of formation of the “Crab” pattern with the target at 161.8%. The condition needed to resume the downtrend is the decline below support at 108.90.

 

1518081520-1f50b4d918123f905c31c70a9dfda

 

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EUR/JPY Daily Analytics

09:10 08.02.2018

Recommendation:

 

SELL 133.80

 

SL 134.35

 

TP1 132.8 TP2 131.8 TP3 131.5

 

On the daily chart, EUR/JPY returned to the lower border of the medium-term uptrend channel. In case of its successful test, the risks of the pair’s decline to 88.6% of the “Shark” pattern will increase. On the other hand, a pullback will be in favor of the resumption of the long-term uptrend.  

 

1518080614-8afba167b3e7c15d0d5d28d0f3c7b

 

Renews February low, it will open the way down to 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern at 131.50.

 

1518080651-cd38927ea0f956dcaeee884bec774

 

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GBP/USD IS HEADING TOWARDS SUPPORT

11:22 08.02.2018

The price is testing the 89 Moving Average. The main intraday target is the nearest support at 1.3741. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have an upward price movement towards the 89 Moving Average.

 

1518088800-6b6ac7fb5725b6d3f30896e30fda2

 

There's a "Pennant" pattern, so the market is likely going to achieve the closest support at 1.3804 - 1.3741. However, if a pullback from this area is on the table, bulls will probably try to reach the next resistance at 1.3834 - 1.3895.

 

1518088779-69f31a5ad47f59ce0fbc714c6f884

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

11:51 08.02.2018

1518090150-f8ec69b48733f2cffe27bffbc2767

 

There's a bearish "Three Methods" pattern, which has been formed under the Moving Averages. So, the market is likely going to continue moving down in the short term.

 

1518090150-95ded07685fc9fd142b9238d7c0da

 

The upper "Window" has acted as resistance, so there's a "Shooting Star" pattern. In this case, the pair is likely going to test the nearest support area pretty soon.

 

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