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BITCOIN (BTC/USD)

00:19 26.12.2017

 

The main news in the last days around the cryptocurrencies has been the massive take-profiting action of the Bitcoin after having found resistance around the important psychological level of 19,000. The price has lost about 20% and although it has managed to have a recovery, it seems that the bears want to retake the reins of the pair in the short term.

 

At the fundamental level, we have observed that more hedge funds have been betting on the BTC and countries are increasingly resigned to accept companies that trade with cryptocurrency. An example of this is Belarus, whose country has taken measures of tax cuts for those companies that are in the cryptocurrency’s trading.

 

Technically, the BTC/USD has broken a bullish trend line, although it tries to stay above the 200-hour moving average, although the Parabolic SAR still does not show that the bulls have resumed the pair's trend. The price remains below the 50-hour moving average, which could serve as a dynamic resistance.

 

What do we expect?

 

Due to the nature of the sustained decline from the psychological mark of the 19,000, we could be ahead of a doubling of a cycle started from that fall to the lows of last week. This is reinforced by the idea that Bitcoin has fractured an uptrend line. If it breaks below the 200-hour moving average, we could see a break in the support level at 11,588 and then go to the Fibonacci extension of 100% at 5,754. On the upside, if the BTC bounces above the 200-hour moving average, the next target would be the 19,000 milestone.

 

1514247554-f6f1917cd7f94b1941b5c83a26139

 

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EUR/GBP

00:21 26.12.2017

 

EUR/GBP is following a bullish sequence from December 18th lows, at which gained momentum in order to establish a Fibonacci retracement idea across the board. According to the theory, the pair has made a correction of 50% and it made a rebound that could put the focus towards the -23.6% Fibo level at 0.8911. To the downside, if it manages to break below the 200 SMA at H1 chart, the next target should be the December 18th lows at 0.8791.

 

RSI indicator remains in the positive territory, favoring to the bulls.

 

1514247640-e40df0baa98a8d8ed93d2446c4d42

 

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USD/CAD Daily Analytics

07:19 26.12.2017

 

Recommendation:

 

SELL 1.2660

 

SL 1.2715

 

TP1 1.2590 TP2 1.2490 TP3 1.2390

 

On the daily chart, USD/CAD keeps consolidating within a short-term trend. A break of its upper border near 1.2895 will create grounds for reaching 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern. On the other hand, a decline below support at 1.2670 will increase the risks of the medium-term downtrend’s resumption.

 

1514272675-1430b06b52ccdf0a9e951da313446

 

On H1, USD/CAD can trigger a “Widening wedge”. To do this, bears need to settle below 1.2715 and then pull the pair below 1.2660 and 1.2625.

 

1514272688-5c726ce87bf89e31cdcfbd4c37b26

 

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AUD/USD Daily Analytics

07:31 26.12.2017

Recommendation:

 

BUY 0.7650

 

SL 0.7595

 

TP1 0.7750 TP2 0.7810

 

On the daily chart, AUD/USD reached an interim high at 88.6% of the junior “Shark” pattern. There may be a pullback to the lower border of the uptrend channel. On the other hand, an advance of resistance at 0.7735-0.7750 will increase the odds of continuation towards 0.7765 (113% target of the junior “Shark” pattern) and 0.7810 (50% of the wave CD of the senior “Shark” pattern).

 

1514273398-1db64c049cc9775b27418fd0e6b08

 

On H1, AUD/USD formed a “Widening wedge”. Pullbacks to supports at 0.7680 and 0.7650 may be used for buying.

 

1514273412-ef00342837a633bda01cab6a3fe3e

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

09:43 26.12.2017

Technical levels: support – 1.1830; resistance – 1.1900.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 1.1850; SL — 1.1830; TP1 — 1.1900; TP2 – 1.1930

Reason: narrow bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising Kijun-sen; the prices are corrected to SSB and supported on 1.1830.

 

1514281397-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

09:44 26.12.2017

Technical levels: support – 1.3340; resistance – 1.3400.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Sell — 1.3330; SL — 1.3350; TP1 — 1.3270; TP2 — 1.3210.

Buy — 1.3370; SL — 1.3350; TP1 — 1.3470; TP2 — 1.3510.

Reason: narrow bearish Ichimoku Cloud, horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, with horizontal lines; the prices are returned to negative area and now in consolidation below the Cloud.

 

1514281397-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

12:31 26.12.2017

 

1514291426-bd790906f715283a1fc11fd1ae771

 

There's a "Double Bottom" pattern, which has been formed above the 34 Moving Average. The main intraday target is the next resistance at 1.1901 - 1.1919. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the nearest support at 1.1859 - 1.1833.

 

1514291426-8e9b641c3490ee7ff3fd66d345c04

 

We've got a "Flag" pattern, so the pair is likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.1914 - 1.1941 in the coming hours. If a pullback from these levels forms little later on, there'll be a moment to have another downward price movement in the direction of the 34 Moving Average.

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

12:34 26.12.2017

 

1514291427-4726953c16b653e8bf7d88d17b7f6

 

The price is still consolidating along the Moving Averages. Also, there's a "Triangle", so the market is likely going to achieve the closest resistance at 1.3419 - 1.3445. If we have a pullback from this area, bears will probably try to reach the nearest support at 1.3336 - 1.3319.

 

1514291427-f14e308a792960f8f207bb481a274

 

There's a consolidation, which is taking place under the Moving Averages. The main intraday target is the next resistance at 1.3417 - 1.3419. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards another support at 1.3369 - 1.3350.

 

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EUR/USD Daily analytics

12:38 26.12.2017

 

1514291840-9d159f1c4c9ae4a9499ef6f856d44

 

The upper "Window" has acted as resistance, so the price is consolidating. Also, we've got a "Tower" pattern here. If the 55 Moving Average acts as support, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement.

 

1514291840-0d27b3bd2c213b06e69c2cdaa8a5f

 

It's likely to have an "Evening Star". So, the market is likely going to test the 89 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement.

 

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics

12:41 26.12.2017

 

1514291840-93aa5fdb8194c70e7b1379b34f540

 

We've got a "Shooting Star", which has been confirmed enough. In this case, we should keep an eye on the 55 Moving Average as the next intraday target.

 

1514291841-2cef83fcf65f491262c785c922c88

 

The 34 Moving Average is acting as support. Considering that there's a "Three Methods" pattern, the market is likely going to reach the 144 Moving Average in the coming hours.

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

05:04 27.12.2017

 

1514350956-633b003f182cf7443dba55ce1066b

 

The price is still trading above 6/8 MM Level, so wave [iii] is likely going to move on. The main intraday target is +2/8 MM Level, which could be a departure point for wave [iv].

 

1514350956-eb590a6eeaf25f5b5d0f87342225f

 

4/8 MM Level has acted as support, so there's a leading diagonal in wave [1]. Considering that wave [2] is likely ended, there's an opportunity to have a bullish impulse in wave [3] of iii of ©.

 

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XAU/USD Daily Analytics

06:47 27.12.2017

Recommendation:

 

SELL $1275

 

SL $1290

 

TP1 $1245 TP2 $1221

 

On the daily chart, XAU/USD pulled back after reaching 78.6% target of the “Gartley” pattern. Gold returned inside the previous consolidation range of $1266-1300 an ounce. As a result, the prices formed “Shakeout-Fakeout” pattern. This increases the risks of the rally’s continuation. Many things will depend on gold’s ability to settle above the important level of $1281.

 

1514357106-3c3c5205e2350e553c87bfb24c322

 

On H1, as long as XAU/USD is above support at $1275, bulls remain in control of the situation.

 

1514357148-ccae822ec07d68fa61b1c2713a582

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

06:56 27.12.2017

Recommendation:

 

BUY 1.3445

 

SL 1.3390

 

TP1 1.3515 TP2 1.3545 TP3 1.384

 

On the daily chart, GBP/USD changed consolidation range from 1.3045-1.3320 to 1.3320-1.3525. If the pound exits the current corridor, the odds of triggering AB=CD pattern with a target at 127.2% will increase. On the other hand, a break of support at 1.3320 and the pair’s exit from the uptrend channel will allow bears to expect the pound to go to 88.6% of the “Bat” pattern. 

 

1514357707-b6b56ed02b1869ac79ae2067aff9c

 

On H1, a successful test of resistance at 1.3445 and 1.3515 will increase the odds of the uptrend’s resumption.

 

1514357725-2cf183d9aa99dd882e50bd88c66a5

 

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AUD/USD Daily Analytics

08:11 27.12.2017

Technical levels: support – 0.7680; resistance – 0.7760

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Sell — 0.7760; SL — 0.7780; TP1 — 0.7680; TP2 — 0.7630.

Reason: narrowing bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising lines; the prices are entered into the cloudy zone, but there is a strong main resistance on 0.7760.

 

1514362301-42a68b4bfa2f0515dfbaa054e9dba

 

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics

08:12 27.12.2017

Technical levels: support – 113.00, 112.80; resistance – 113.60.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 113.00; SL — 112.80; TP1 — 113.60; TP2 — 114.00.

Reason: narrow bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the Bulls can’t breaking out the resistance of upper border of the Cloud and the market may return to 113.00.

 

1514362301-3dcc4d3b0e9d38341d309e86e7227

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

13:13 27.12.2017

 

1514380277-3b222a496c9d43c738f35cfc581b0

 

The price is consolidating near the 34 Moving Average. The main intraday target is the next support at 1.1833 - 1.1816. If a pullback from these levels arrives, we could have an upward price movement towards another resistance at 1.1901 - 1.1919.

 

1514380277-b14adba9a31512c32ad729029486f

 

There's a consolidation, which is taking place between the levels 1.1871 - 1.1890. It's likely that the pair is going to achieve the next support at 1.1833 - 1.1816. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to see a bullish price movement in the direction of the closest resistance at 1.1901 - 1.1941.

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

13:15 27.12.2017

 

1514380277-92589ea76759f110153f68a4bf652

 

The price is still consolidating in a range of the triangle. The main intraday target is the next resistance at 1.3419 - 1.3445. This area could be a departure point for a decline towards the closest support at 1.3336 - 1.3319.

 

1514380277-7730f50e4a3cf3580b60b3fe2bfa2

 

All the Moving Averages have been broken, so bulls are likely going to test the next resistance at 1.3419 - 1.3430. If we have a pullback from these levels, there'll be a moment to have a decline towards the closest support at 1.3369 - 1.3350.

 

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics

13:18 27.12.2017

 

1514380614-085f09a7e3daf62e9ae60ea9d16d3

 

There's a "Hammer" pattern, which has been formed on the 21 Moving Average. So, the market is likely going to test the upper "Window" in the coming hours.

 

1514380614-77f78d9292fa2c1bdff978bc87d1a

 

The 55 Moving Average acted as support, so we've got a "Harami" pattern on this line. Therefore, there's an opportunity to have a new local high in the short term.

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

13:21 27.12.2017

 

1514380614-5ac7cafd70eed6efabf336f186921

 

There's still no any reversal pattern so far, cause all the last candles are bullish. Therefore, the price is likely going to test the next upward "Window".

 

1514380614-1264a32a028be68420b4f4ff357c8

 

The 34 Moving Average has acted as support, so we've got an "Engulfing" pattern on this line. In this case, the pair is likely going to continue moving up.

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

07:29 28.12.2017

Technical levels: support – 1.1900; resistance – 1.1960.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Sell — 1.1950; SL — 1.1970; TP1 — 1.1900

Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising lines, but the market is on the 5W-highs and expected a correction.

 

1514446163-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

07:30 28.12.2017

Technical levels: support – 1.3400; resistance – 1.3460, 1.3510.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Sell — 1.3450; SL — 1.3470; TP1 — 1.3400; TP2 — 1.3340.

Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud, horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, with horizontal lines; the prices are under strong resistance of 1.3460.

 

1514446163-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

 

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USD/JPY Daily analytics

07:47 28.12.2017

Recommendation:

 

BUY 113.65

 

SL 113.10

 

TP1 114.65 TP2 115.3 TP3 116.2

 

On the daily chart, the inability of bulls to hold the pair above important support at 112.95-113 will point at their weakness. On the other hand, successful test of resistance at 113.70 will increase the odds of advance to 113% of the senior “Shark” pattern.

 

1514447039-3297c54597baddc0779dab87f7356

 

On H1, USD/JPY keeps forming a 5-0 pattern. A break of resistance at 113.65 will create grounds for the continuation of the rally. A decline below the diagonal support will increase the risks of triggering “Head and Shoulders” pattern.

 

1514447056-1f50b4d918123f905c31c70a9dfda

 

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USD/CHF Daily Analytics

07:54 28.12.2017

Recommendation:

 

BUY 0.9930

 

 SL 0.9875

 

TP1 1.003 TP2 1.0145

 

On H1, bears prepare to pull USD/CHF below the diagonal support in the form of the uptrend’s lower border. To break the medium-term bullish trend the pair has to get beyond the triangle and then trigger the “Bat” pattern. On the other hand, a pullback from support will create grounds for a recovery to 200% target of AB=CD.

 

1514447559-a5903a7f3cf43bc4f33886526fd84

 

On H1, USD/CHF is consolidating within “Spike and ledge” and 5-0. A break of resistance at 0.9930 will increase the probability of the rally’s continuation.

 

1514447582-351a015a31e5fdb2fee97b43bc66a

 

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics

11:14 28.12.2017

 

1514459584-3e94656927d73a6d5b5e2a612cf44

 

There's a consolidation, which is taking place above the 34 Moving Average. The main intraday target is the next resistance at 1.1975 - 1.2003. If a pullback from this area happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the nearest support at 1.1919 - 1.1901.

 

1514459584-9082e4973ec2f228261b6bd3e5700

 

The price went through the resistance area at 1.1914 - 1.1941. However, it's likely to have a correction towards the nearest support at 1.1914. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have an upward price movement towards another resistance at 1.1975 - 1.2003.

 

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics

11:17 28.12.2017

 

1514459584-96d8da081347502f4b299555bd494

 

The trend is still bullish. The main intraday target is the next resistance at 1.3465 - 1.3519. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline in the direction of the closest support at 1.3445 - 1.3419.

 

1514459584-6353d6f55b96fcc6a95bf2eea9abb

 

The last "Triangle" has been broken, so the price is rising. At the same time, we could have a bearish correction towards the nearest support area at 1.3430, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally.

 

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