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EUR/USD: CONSOLIDATION IN A TINY RANGE

14:44 09.08.2017

 

1502279004-8758f0fbaf7a1184e03e71b9dce0a

 

There's a bearish correction, which is taking place on the four-hours chart. The last bullish "High Wave" pattern hasn't been confirmed yet, so the market is likely going to test the 55 Moving Average in the short term.

 

1502279004-c799a89421c18bda8a7091536a829

 

 

The price is still consolidating in a tiny range of bullish and bearish patterns. If the 34 Moving Average acts as resistance, we're likely going to have a new local low shortly.

 

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USD/JPY: BROKEN "WINDOW"

14:47 09.08.2017

 

1502279004-67e60e08182cbf836ee2e6fe3b822

 

We've got a new local low, but there isn't any reversal pattern so far. So, bears are likely going to test the "Window's" lower side. If any bullish pattern arrives afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish price movement towards the Moving Averages.

 

1502279004-a262574ba3ec22a74c8af2e4d9872

 

The nearest "Window" has been broken, so the pair is still declining. The last bearish patterns haven't been confirmed, so we could have the price even lower during the day.

 

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EUR/USD: "THORN" PATTERN

10:31 10.08.2017

 

1502350215-106e12a9ab22f611f101dcf83591f

 

The pair is consolidating near the 55 Moving Average. It's likely that the price is going to test the nearest support at 1.1649 in the short term. If a pullback from this level happens afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish price movement towards the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1801.

 

1502350215-d204994f06aec19f5ce876c88f6ab

 

Bears faced support at 1.1683, so there's a "Thorn" pattern, which pushed the price higher. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1776. However, if we see a pullback from this area, bears will probably try to reach another support at 1.1649.

 

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GBP/USD: BEARISH "FLAG"

10:34 10.08.2017

 

1502350215-c833c2f7f5458f511a541d42c6a57

 

There's a consolidation, which is taking place near the 89 Moving Average. Also, there's a possible developing "Flag" pattern, so bears are likely going to reach the nearest support at 1.2932 soon. If a pullback from this level arrives little later on, there'll be an option to have a bullish price movement towards the closest resistance at 1.2982 - 1.2997.

 

1502350215-a71586ac42ee2d09907d464f6c3f7

 

We've got a bearish "Flag", so the market is likely going to test the upper side of this pattern. If a pullback from the nearest resistance at 1.2997 - 1.3013 happens afterwards, we should keep an eye on the next support at 1.2958 - 1.2932 as an intraday target.

 

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GOLD: BULLS PUSH PRICES UP

11:10 10.08.2017

 

Recommendation:

 

SELL $1270, SL $1278, TP1 $1250, TP2 $1230

 

On the daily chart, bulls made a second attempt during the 2 weeks to return the prices inside the previous rising channel. If it succeeds, the odds of an increase at least towards $1295 an ounce will sharply increase. On the other hand, recoil down from $1277-1279 will make gold consolidate.

 

1502352560-7a4e8cb363b805a9ce4bb46cd9d7f

 

On H1, the inability of bulls to hold the prices above $1270 ?an ounce will show their weakness. As a result, risks of reversal patterns Anti-Turtles and “Widening wedge” will increase.

 

1502352583-e12a637cc937326a9c7981d6dfc46

 

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USD/CHF: BEARS PREPARE TO ATTACK

11:30 10.08.2017

 

Recommendation:

 

BUY 0.9740 SL 0.9685 TP1 0.9840 TP2 0.9890

 

On the daily chart, USD/CHF reached the target of “Wolfe waves” pattern. After this, there was a correction to the short-term uptrend. A recoil from the lower border of the bullish trend channel and the pair’s settling above 0.9650 will return the initiative to buyers.

 

1502353735-083795b321e38920c618c02f6224a

 

On H1, there are senior and junior “Shark” patterns. The most likely scenarios are: decline to the recent low and continuation of the fall towards 0.9470 or correction to the wave CD. Think about bullish positions if USD/CHF breaks above 0.9740 and 0.9755.

 

1502353749-351a015a31e5fdb2fee97b43bc66a

 

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EUR/USD: BEARISH "SHOOTING STAR"

16:04 10.08.2017

 

1502370194-949e591f1e132341d9075a4191d6b

 

The 55 Moving Average has acted as support, but there isn't any bullish pattern so far. So, we could have a new local low soon. If we have another pullback from the 55 MA, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement.

 

1502370194-81c1d94a81e67d6384fafbcba0c42

 

The price is still consolidating. We've got a bearish "Shooting Star", so bears are likely going to break the last low soon. If any bullish pattern arrives later on, bulls will probably try to test the Moving Averages.

 

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USD/JPY: "ENGULFING" AND "DOJI"

16:07 10.08.2017

 

1502370194-03577102710bf864f460b0d85d84b

 

There's a bearish "High Wave", which has been confirmed. So, the price is likely going to continue moving down towards the lower "Window", which could be a departure point for a bullish correction.

 

1502370194-ce0372b5eb73a8ee67b0c880fe99d

 

We've got bearish patterns such an "Engulfing" and a "Doji", which both have been confirmed. In this case, the pair is going to decline in the direction of the closest support level.

 

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GBP/USD: POUND IS IN CONSOLIDATION UNDER CLOUD

08:22 11.08.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 1.2980; resistance – 1.3000, 1.3090.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Sell — 1.2980; SL — 1.3000; TP1 — 1.2910; TP2 — 1.2870.

Buy — 1.3010; SL — 1.2090; TP1 — 1.3090; TP2 — 1.3140.

Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal borders; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the narrow channel of the lines; the bears can’t breaking down the support of 1.2980.

 

1502428928-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

 

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AUD/USD: AUSSIE TESTED SSB’S SUPPORT

08:23 11.08.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 0.7820/30; resistance – 0.7910.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 0.7850/60; SL — 0.7830; TP1 — 0.7910; TP3 — 0.7950.

Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud, but rising Senkou Span B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are tested the support of Senkou Span B and can bounce off to SSA.

 

1502428928-42a68b4bfa2f0515dfbaa054e9dba

 

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GBP/USD: WEDGE HELPED BULLS

10:26 11.08.2017

 

Recommendation:

 

BUY 1.3025 SL 1.2970 TP1 1.3150 TP2 1.3250

 

SELL 1.2960 SL 1.3015 TP 1.2850

 

On the daily chart, GBP/USD formed junior and senior “3 Indians”. As a result, the pair declined to support at 1/2965. The break will strengthen the risks of a pullback towards the lower border of an uptrend channel.

 

1502436311-7bbf95a209d207fae4f63ac496b4f

 

On H1, GBP/USD is consolidating in the 1.2960-1.3025 area. A successful test of its lower border will allow expecting a continuation of correction towards 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern. On the contrary, if there’s a “widening wedge”, the odds of the uptrend’s resumption will increase.

 

1502436337-2cf183d9aa99dd882e50bd88c66a5

 

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EUR/JPY: BEARS PREPARE A DECLINE

10:41 11.08.2017

 

On the daily chart, EUR/JPY the break of diagonal support (lower border of the uptrend channel) was a signal for correction towards 88.06% target of the “Shark” pattern. However, bears have to meet 2 conditions. Firstly, hold the pair below 128.50. Secondly, pull it below support at 127.50.

 

1502437255-3297c54597baddc0779dab87f7356

 

H1, EUR/JPY is moving towards 224% and 88.6% targets of “Shark” pattern. They correspond to 127 and 123.40. To resume the uptrend, bulls have to return the euro above 129.50.

 

1502437275-1f50b4d918123f905c31c70a9dfda

 

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EUR/USD: PRICE BROKE THE "WEDGE"

11:20 11.08.2017

 

1502439528-e8ffecaef88ee038a676cab5a3529

 

The price has broken the upper side of a "Wedge" pattern. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.1846 - 1.1875 in the coming hours. If a pullback from these levels happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the 34 Moving Average.

 

1502439528-9be29033c2206f32231eae68788fc

 

All the Moving Averages lines have been broken, so the price is consolidating. It seems like we've got a developing "Flag" pattern. In this case, we should keep an eye on the next resistance at 1.1823 - 1.1845 as an intraday bullish target.

 

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GBP/USD: DEVELOPING "TRIANGLE"

11:22 11.08.2017

 

1502439528-4f0e85d1ba3d58e0e97d4cc52ee04

 

The price is consolidating near the 89 Moving Average. Also, there are two bullish "Thorn" patterns in a row, so the pair is likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.3032 - 1.3047 in the coming hours. If a pullback from these levels happens little later on, there'll be an option to have a downward price movement towards the next support at 1.2982 - 1.2951.

 

1502439528-4bb684e4a27c20156707204cff713

 

We've got a "Triangle", so the price is likely going to test the lower side of this pattern in the short term. If a pullback from this level is on the table, bulls will probably try to achieve the nearest resistance at 1.3032 - 1.3047 shortly.

 

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EUR/USD: BEARISH "SHOOTING STAR" AND "DOJI"

15:16 11.08.2017

 

1502453764-6a9c10e59b499767febe19e048f96

 

The 55 Moving Average has been tested once again, so we've got a bearish "Tower", but this pattern remains unconfirmed. So, the pair is likely going to continue declining until any bullish pattern forms.

 

1502453764-4e9cd65c0b63f8599a236053c01cd

 

There're bearish patterns such a "Shooting Star" and a "Doji", which both have been confirmed. However, we've got a bullish "Inverted Hammer", so there's an opportunity to have a local upward correction. Anyway, bears are likely going to test the next support afterwards.

 

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USD/JPY: BULLISH "DOJI"

15:19 11.08.2017

 

1502453764-f0fd8d4687fa661cfb57b41bed650

 

The "Window" has been broken, but there's a bullish "Doji", which hasn't been confirmed yet. It's likely that the pair is going to test the nearest resistance. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have just another decline.

 

1502453764-f44d6ccfcf2b2dbd403bd88abb42c

 

We've got a "Harami" and a "Tweezers" patterns. In this case, the pair is likely going to test the Moving Averages in the short term. However, if a pullback from these lines arrives afterwards, there'll be an option to have a decline in the direction of the nearest support.

 

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EUR/USD RISING INSIDE MINOR (B)-WAVE

19:57 11.08.2017

 

EUR/USD rising inside minor (B)-wave

Next buy target - 85.70

EUR/USD continues to rise inside the minor (B)-wave which started earlier – when the pair reversed up from the combined support zone lying between the support level 1.1700 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp upward impulse from the start of July. EUR/USD is expected to rise further to next buy target at the next resistance level 85.70 (high of the impulse wave (i) and the target price calculated for the completion of the active wave (B)).

 

GFboINy.png

 

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EUR/GBP REACHED BUY TARGET 0.9100

19:59 11.08.2017

 

EUR/GBP reached buy target 0.9100

Next buy target - 0.9200

EUR/GBP continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave (iii), which earlier reversed up from the round support level 0.9000 (former strong resistance level which stopped the previous minor impulse wave (i) in the middle of July, as can be seen from the daily EUR/GBP chart below). The price today reached the resistance level 0.9100 (which was set as the buy target in our previous forecast for this pair). EUR/GBP is expected rise to next buy target at the next resistance level 0.9200.

 

GFbpcQr.png

 

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GOLD (XAU/USD): $1300 AS THE NEXT TARGET?

03:31 14.08.2017

 

The precious metal has been strong across the Forex market and it’s consolidating gains well above the $1290 level. So far, according to the H1 chart, a bullish crossover is happening with the 50 and 200 SMA, which reinforces the bullish idea in the gold. However, because of the solid rise, we can expect a decline to correct the overall structure towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $1271.82.

 

Above that area, if XAU/USD holds that level and rebounds, we can expect a rally to test the -23.6% Fibonacci level at $1301.87 in a first degree. RSI indicator is overbought and calling for another leg lower, before to resume the bullish bias.

 

1502670645-ed1c01bb1900d31c3964533e8c6db

 

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EUR/USD: BULLS RETURNED TO POSITIVE AREA

09:36 14.08.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 1.1780; resistance – 1.1820.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 1.1830; SL — 1.1810; TP1 — 1.1900; TP2 – 1.1930.

Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span B; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but horizontal Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the market returned into the positive area and will supported by the Cloud.

 

1502692571-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

 

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AUD/USD: AUSSIE TRIED TO BREAKOUT SSA’S RESISTANCE

09:37 14.08.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 0.7880; resistance – 0.7930.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 0.7890; SL — 0.7870; TP1 — 0.7930; TP3 — 0.7990.

Reason: irregular bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but narrowing channel of the lines; the prices are on the support of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.

 

1502692571-42a68b4bfa2f0515dfbaa054e9dba

 

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USD/JPY: YEN WANTS TO COME BACK

10:48 14.08.2017

 

On the daily chart, USD/JPY bulls are trying to return the pair inside the triangle. If they manage to do it, successful test of resistance at 110.52 will strengthen the risks of correction towards the upper border of the downtrend channel. On the other hand, if bulls fail, bears will be able to keep pulling the pair down to 108 and then 104 (161.8% target of AB=CD).

 

1502696891-3297c54597baddc0779dab87f7356

 

On H1, the pair left the descending trend channel and is now testing resistance at 109.62. A successful test will strengthen the odds of 88.6% target of “Shark” pattern.

 

1502696905-1f50b4d918123f905c31c70a9dfda

 

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NZD/USD IS PREPARING TO TAKE OFF

11:03 14.08.2017

 

Recommendation:

 

BUY 0.7335

 

SL 0.7280

 

TP1 0.7445 TP2 0.7525

 

On the daily chart, NZD/USD keeps forming the inverted 5-0 pattern. The recoil of support at 0.7278 (38.2% of the wave CD) allowed traders to form longs in hope for a resumption of the uptrend. The necessary condition for this scenario is the return of the prices inside the borders of the short-term uptrend channel.

 

1502697765-fb9be1d9d65d6402746f6573306cf

 

On H1, NZD/USD is forming a “Dragon” pattern. The break of resistance at 0.7334-0.7337 (61.8% of the last bullish wave + the upper border of the descending trend channel + dragon’s head) will increase the odds of the bearish trend.

 

1502697780-3696dc2326705fd45dfa7b732beb8

 

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EUR/USD: "TRIPLE TOP" PATTERN

12:14 14.08.2017

 

1502702018-60a6c231ff953b7b3c0d182250635

 

The upper side of the last "Wedge" pattern has been broken, so the price is rising. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.1875 - 1.1909. If a pullback from this area happens afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline.

 

1502702019-60a545e7f304c407847ff4b35b97f

 

All Moving Averages have been broken, but there's a "Triple Top" pattern, so the price is likely going to reach the closest support at 1.1801 - 1.1784. However, if we see a pullback from this area, bulls will probably try to reach the next resistance at 1.1845 - 1.1875.

 

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GBP/USD: 55 MA ACTING AS RESISTANCE

12:17 14.08.2017

 

1502702018-40b44babfb1df0bfe90ede68af44b

 

The price is consolidating between the levels 1.3032 - 1.3047. Also, we've got a "Triangle", but the 89 Moving Average is acting as support. Anyway, bulls are likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.3058 - 1.3081. If a pullback from these level arrives later on, we could have a decline towards support at 1.3013.

 

1502702019-688ec39fe24574c5441b9724cb456

 

There's a "Bear Trap", so we've got a new local high. The 55 Moving Average is acting as resistance, so we should keep an eye on the closest support at 1.2982 as an intraday target. Meanwhile, bulls are likely going to test the next resistance at 1.3058 - 1.3082 soon.

 

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