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armygera
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Congratulation to the winner!
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: BBH advises traders to sell EUR/USD Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman note that although the European currency is trading with high volatility versus the greenback, it’s closely correlated with the dynamics of S&P500 index – the specialists estimated the correlation by 80%. The bank claims that in the stock markets are likely to decline in the current state of uncertainty and recommends selling EUR/USD in the $1.3650 area stopping above $1.38, expecting the pair to fall to $1.30 by the end of the year. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/9108
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: BBH is concerned about US debt issues So far the market’s attention has been focused on the euro zone’s debt problems, investors have almost forgotten that the US also has much to deal with. The United States created special congressional committee – or supercommittee – in order to the debt-reduction measures. The deadline is on November 23. If the policymakers don’t come up with the plan how to decrease debt by $1.2 trillion before the time runs out, America’s spending will be automatically cut in 2013. Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman underline that there is a serious split in the opinions of the committee’s members. In their view, this is one of the factors why the single currency has been performing relatively well versus the greenback so far. By their estimates, traders are pricing in only a 7% probability that the supercommittee will reach a deal by the end of the month. BBH specialists underline that in case of supercommittee’s failure fiscal tightening and sluggish economic growth could make Federal Reserve’s policy more accommodative. That, in its turn, will put the greenback under negative pressure. US dollar, euro and sterling will be competing in weakness, so US currency want lose much to the latter. Taking into account the euro area’s issues the bank still thinks that EUR/USD will fall to $1.29 by the end of the year. At the same time, other G10 currencies are quite likely to outperform dollar. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/9091
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: MIG Bank: negative outlook for EUR/USD Currency strategists at MIG Bank note that the single currency is under pressure as Italian 10-year bond yields have surged to the record levels of 7.22% and S&P500 index is down from the recent maximums. The specialists note that EUR/USD was rejected by 2-year trend-line and expect the pair to slide to $1.3140. According to the bank, support is found at $1.3145 (October 4 minimum) and $1.3000 (psychological level). Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/9079
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BMO: sell pound versus franc Currency strategists at BMO Capital Markets advise investors to pay attention to the Bank of England’s meeting on Thursday as it, in their view, represents good trading opportunity. The specialists distinguish 3 possible scenarios: - BoE doesn’t act at all; - BoE undertakes minor quantitative easing on the order of 25 billion pounds; - BoE does more significant easing. The analysts regard the third outcome as likely as British economy is in a very poor condition that together with the euro zone’s debt crisis will keep pound under pressure, while franc has upside potential as a safe haven. BMO thinks that the results of Swiss National Bank’s any intervention won’t last long. As a result, the bank recommends selling sterling versus Swiss franc. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/9056
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BMO: sell pound versus franc Currency strategists at BMO Capital Markets advise investors to pay attention to the Bank of England’s meeting on Thursday as it, in their view, represents good trading opportunity. The specialists distinguish 3 possible scenarios: - BoE doesn’t act at all; - BoE undertakes minor quantitative easing on the order of 25 billion pounds; - BoE does more significant easing. The analysts regard the third outcome as likely as British economy is in a very poor condition that together with the euro zone’s debt crisis will keep pound under pressure, while franc has upside potential as a safe haven. BMO thinks that the results of Swiss National Bank’s any intervention won’t last long. As a result, the bank recommends selling sterling versus Swiss franc. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/9056
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Join next 999 contest The contest will take place during 23.11.11-23.12.11 Pre-registration for the contest will be open since 07.11.11 till 22.11.11.
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Congratulation c
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Report from 15 minutes before NFP Check overall table out:
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: UBS: what if Greece has to quit euro? Analysts at UBS tried to estimate the potential consequences Greece will face in case it has to leave the euro area. On the one hand, the nation would regain control of exchange and interest rates. On the other hand, new currency would fall by about 60%. Greece’s borrowing costs would rise by at least 7 percentage points, so that position of banks and companies would seriously deteriorate. The country’s trade will drop by 50% even taking into account the competitive advantage exporters will gain from the devaluation. All in all, according to UBS, quitting euro would cost each Greek 11,500 euro in the first year and 4,000 euro in following years. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/9016
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: CIBC: 12-month forecast for EUR/USD Analysts at CIBC World Markets expect the single currency to trade between $1.3400 and $1.3800 during the next 12 months. According to the specialists, in December EUR/USD will consolidate in the $1.3800 area. Then it will fall to $1.3400 in March next year and rebound to $1.3500 in June and to 1.3600 in September to return back to $1.3800 in December 2012. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/9006 Gak ngerti pake apa mereka ngukurnya bisa sampe keluar angka2 itu.. ada yg bisa bantu menjadi tahukan saya? I don't how they can find that initial number. Anybody can help me, please?
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: Citigroup: Japan’s intervention is unlikely to be a success On Monday Japan intervened at the currency market for the third time this year in order to weaken its national currency. There’s no official information about of the amount spent, but the market’s speculating that Japan may have sold about 7 trillion yen ($92.31 billion) breaking the previous record of a 1-day intervention of 4.5 trillion yen (August 4, 2011). Never the less, many analysts are skeptical doubting that the move will be able to succeed in preventing yen from appreciation and easing pressure on Japanese exports. The economists cite the results on the previous unilateral attempts of Japan’s government when after a jump the pair USD/JPY slid down again. Citigroup specialists believe that this time everything will be the same. Economists at BNP Paribas say that the intervention policy is losing effectiveness. Among the factors which may cause the demand for yen increase one should name the risks connected with the euro area and the possibility that the Federal Reserve may ease its monetary policy. Specialists at Westpac underline that in the current situation investors will crave for safe havens. Another thing that seems likely to undermine the efforts of Japanese monetary authorities is the profit repatriation of Japanese companies which buy yen during this process. US dollar bounced yesterday by 5% from the record minimum at 75.56 yen to the maximum at 79.53, but then eased down to the levels around 78 yen. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/8990
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Report from The Top Ten 1 196587 Russian Federation Volzhskijj 838734.92 nastin 2 198443 Tunisia Salem 297050.60 b_sofien 3 195417 China Haikou 225819.19 chen_t_79 4 196458 Ukraine Nikopol 193192.33 ivanov_1984 5 195210 China Shanghai 111203.42 ouyan 6 195638 Kazakhstan Kustanajj 91666.88 Gor 7 196000 Malaysia Kangar 87074.82 fbstrader888 8 196882 Algeria Sedrata 68860.01 rappeur41 9 196628 India Ajmer 66866.72 bhagwan 10 195446 Armenia Erevan 64125.14 matsakyan Check overall table out:
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Report from The Top Ten 1 196587 Russian Federation Volzhskijj 742342.44 nastin 2 195500 Turkmenistan Turkmenabat 374391.17 kuznetsova_74 3 198443 Tunisia Salem 204631.66 b_sofien 4 198731 Russian Federation Gekaterinburg 182749.25 babushkin 5 196458 Ukraine Nikopol 163042.33 ivanov_1984 6 198088 Indonesia Jakarta 155731.61 ardianto 7 195417 China Haikou 133219.19 chen_t_79 8 196464 Uzbekistan Tashkent 94770.51 Ernfxfbs 9 196022 Malaysia Kemaman 76814.42 ferrari 10 195210 China Shanghai 65093.42 ouyan Check overall table out:
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Report from 1 196587 Russian Federation Volzhskijj 612545.65 nastin 2 198443 Tunisia Salem 495535.24 b_sofien 3 195500 Turkmenistan Turkmenabat 261655.53 kuznetsova_74 4 198088 Indonesia Jakarta 155731.61 ardianto 5 196458 Ukraine Nikopol 105642.33 ivanov_1984 6 198731 Russian Federation Gekaterinburg 102934.64 babushkin 7 195638 Kazakhstan Kustanajj 98249.75 Gor 8 196464 Uzbekistan Tashkent 94770.51 Ernfxfbs 9 197285 Uzbekistan Fergana 88110.74 ten_78 10 194945 Russian Federation Nizhnijj_novgorod 74137.13 sailor Check overall table out:
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Report from 1 196587 Russian Federation Volzhskijj 518350.43 nastin 2 198443 Tunisia Salem 292633.58 b_sofien 3 195500 Turkmenistan Turkmenabat 168462.15 kuznetsova_74 4 195567 Algeria Ain_taya 161246.48 rabah 5 196458 Ukraine Nikopol 97456.06 ivanov_1984 6 195638 Kazakhstan Kustanajj 91285.59 Gor 7 197285 Uzbekistan Fergana 88110.74 ten_78 8 198088 Indonesia Jakarta 77738.80 ardianto 9 194945 Russian Federation Nizhnijj_novgorod 67967.06 sailor 10 196464 Uzbekistan Tashkent 66412.33 Ernfxfbs Check overall table out:
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: Weekly GBP/USD Pound keeps trading inside the weekly Ichimoku Cloud. On the upside, the advance of the British currency is limited by the resistance provided by the gradually declining Turning line (1) and the horizontal Standard line (2) as well as the upper border of Kumo – Senkou Span A. On the downside, the prices have been successfully supported by the lower border of the Ichimoku Cloud (3). The Cloud itself has recently switched to the negative mode (4) though it still remains very thin, so the bears haven’t gained enough strength yet. As the same time the short-term Tenkan-sen (1) looks down that means that sterling will likely drift lower to Senkou Span B (3) and the bears would probably manage to improve their position. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/8953
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: BoA Merrill Lynch: forecast for euro The single currency has made a significant advance versus the greenback during the last several days. The pair EUR/USD climbed from the 8-month minimum at $1.3145 hit on October 4 to the levels in the $1.3800 area. Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch explain euro’s gains by squaring of excessive short positions. In their view, the up move is a correction and the European currency won’t be able to grow on the sustainable basis. The specialists claim that EUR/USD may rise to $1.4000 in the next 1-2 weeks and then the bears will once again take the situation in their hands. So, investors are to look for the chance to resume selling the pair. The bank also points out that the dynamics of euro is strongly correlated with the oil prices: when the latter increases, oil exporters tend to convert their dollar earnings in euro to keep their assets balanced. As a result, it’s necessary to take into account that as long as China’s economy stays in a good shape and the demand for commodities is high, the single currency will be supported against its US counterpart. Source: http://www.fbs.com/a...rkets/view/8927
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: Inflation will make ECB harder to cut rates German annual inflation rose from 2.5% in August to 2.9% in September exceeding the estimate of 2.8%. As a result, it would be hard for the European Central Bank to reduce its benchmark interest rate from the current 1.5% level to support the euro area’s economic growth hurt by the debt crisis. Last month the ECB revised down the region’s economic growth forecast from 1.9% to 1.6% to 2011 and from 1.7% to 1.3% in 2012. The central bank sees the average inflation at 2.6% this year and 1.7% the next. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/8939
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: During the period from January to September Greece’s central government budget deficit (without local authorities and social security spending) increased by 15% in comparison with the first 9 months of last year rising from 16.65 to 19.16 billion euro. Greece’s debt load is expected to reach 173% of GDP in 2012 as its economy will shrink for the fifths year in a row. Greece’s Cabinet approved a 2012 draft budget on Sunday which sees the next a deficit of 6.8% of GDP (versus the previous estimate of 6.5% of GDO) and 8.5% shortfall this year (versus earlier projection of 7.6% of GDP). There are significant chances that the second bailout for Greece agreed on July 21 will be renegotiated. Greece is missing its budget deficit targets and the bigger the budget gap requires more financing, so the amount of loan (109 billion euro) has to be increased. Source: Greece: budget deficit in figures
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From the desk of FBS analytics and market news: The so-called Troika – the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank – sanctioned providing Greece with the sixth tranche of the bailout package at the beginning of November. Now it depends on the approval of the Eurogroup and the IMF. According to Troika’s statement, the indebted nation keeps making progress in such areas as fiscal consolidation, privatization, the banking system and structural reforms. Never the less, Greek economic outlook is considered to be pessimistic: the recession will be deeper than it was seen in June and Greek economy will start recovering only in 2013. Greece won’t be able to meet its deficit target this year, partly because its GDP keeps contracting. Inspectors claim that the nation will probably have to conduct additional measures. Source: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/news_markets/view/8908
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From The Desk of FBS News and Analytic: I do believe with their analytic. Now EUR/USD at $1.3688. The RSI hit 71.105. EUR/USD in hitback area. I'm ready to sell it now. How about you?