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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
Oct. 1: US government shuts down
US dollar weakened against most major peers after a partial shutdown of the US government began as the wrangling between Senate Democrats and House Republicans threatened to stunt growth at a time when the central bank is weighing a tapering of stimulus.
EUR/USD is trading on the upside. The pair tested $1.3550, though it’s still below yesterday’s high at $1.3556. Watch the European data at 07:15-07:55 GMT. GBP/USD rose to $1.6246, the highest level since Jan. 3. Britain will release manufacturing PMI at 08:30 GMT (forecast: 57.5; previous: 57.2).
USD/JPY tested 98.78, but then slid to 98.00 handle. Yen fell briefly after the Bank of Japan’s quarterly Tankan survey beat economists’ estimates, and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said the sales tax would rise to 8% in April. USD/CHF is trading on the downside staying just above the recent lows at 0.9020.
AUD/USD rose from $0.9314 to $0.9400. Australian dollar strengthened as the Reserve bank of Australia kept interest rates unchanged and the nation’s retail sales came slightly higher than expected. NZD/USD is trading around $0.8300 after it tested $0.8270 earlier today. USD/CAD is trading at 1.0310 after reaching 1.0330. Canadian dollar touched a 4-day high after a report showed gross domestic product increased at the fastest pace in 2 years in July.
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-10-01/23491-oct-1-us-government-shuts-down#sthash.bWAgWVxe.dpuf
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
GBP/USD: Elliot wave analysis
Weekly. The formation of the wave [iI] is close to an end. - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23468-gbpusd-volnovoy-analiz#sthash.X7WhmF5u.dpuf
Chart. Weekly GBP/USD
Daily. The pair has almost finished upside impulse in the wave (С). - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23468-gbpusd-volnovoy-analiz#sthash.X7WhmF5u.dpuf
Chart. Daily GBP/USD
H4. The marking at Н4 shows that we are witnessing the formation of the final upside wave [5]. After this wave is complete, the pair may start a new downtrend. - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23468-gbpusd-volnovoy-analiz#sthash.X7WhmF5u.dpuf
Chart. H4 GBP/USD
Roman Petuchov for FBS
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[/b]
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
USD/JPY: Elliot wave analysis
Daily. The pair keeps forming a global corrective wave - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23472-usdjpy-elliot-wave-analysis#sthash.eLfPRRdT.dpuf
Chart. Daily USD/JPY
H4. The pair’s is forming the wave (E) of . Let’s examine its structure in detail - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23472-usdjpy-elliot-wave-analysis#sthash.eLfPRRdT.dpuf
Chart. H4 USD/JPY
H1. We are now witnessing formation of the corrective wave b. this wave is taking form of a Zigzag. The wave [C] will soon end. - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23472-usdjpy-elliot-wave-analysis#sthash.eLfPRRdT.dpuf
Chart. H1 USD/JPY
Roman Petuchov for FBS
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
EUR/USD: Elliot wave analysis
Weekly. The corrective wave (
is close to an end.
Chart. Weekly EUR/USD
Daily. The wave e of the horizontal triangle is close to an end. This wave is taking form of the double Zigzag, so let’s analyze its structure in detail. - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23470-eurusd-elliot-wave-analysis#sthash.d6mtrLLK.dpuf
Chart. Daily EUR/USD
H4. The pair has started forming a rising impulse wave (С) in line according to our baseline scenario. The alternative variant is that the pair will keep forming the horizontal wave (В). Both variants are shown at the picture. - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23470-eurusd-elliot-wave-analysis#sthash.d6mtrLLK.dpuf.
Chart. H4 EUR/USD
Roman Petuchov for FBS
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
Sep 30: government shutdown looms
Demand for the safe currencies surged on the weekend news that in Italy Berlusconi’s party withdrew support from the prime-minister Letta. Italy is now under threat of parliament dissolution and new election. EUR/USD has opened the week with a bearish gap at $1.3490, strengthened a little, but remains capped at $1.3505. Euro zone will release German retail sales and flash CPI today. Don’t forget about the ECB meeting coming on Wednesday. GBP/USD has eased to $1.6150 after having touched $1.6180 earlier in the session.
USD/JPY opened with a gap down at 97.65 after closing at 98.23 on Friday. Then the greenback recovered to 98.05. US dollar dropped to a one-month low against yen as political wrangling over the budget threatened a US government shutdown from tomorrow. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is due to outline his plans tomorrow for taxes and an economic-support package. USD/CHF is trading in the 0.9055 area, still above Friday’s low at 0.9020.
AUD/USD tested 0.9280, but is once again trading above $0.9300. NZD/USD tested $0.8250, but then returned to $0.8280. Australian data released earlier today came out basically in-line with expectations. Chinese HSBC PMI was revised a bit down, but is still above the 50 handle. Later today traders will be monitoring the release of the Chicago PMI in the US (13:45 GMT). USD/CAD opened with a bullish gap and slipped to $1.0300. Canada will release monthly July GDP at 16:30 GMT (rather strong growth expected).
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-30/23465-sep-30-government-shutdown-looms#sthash.hIEeRdUb.dpuf
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Happy Weekend from entire FBS team!!!
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We wish you success and financial freedom with FBS!
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FBS will never stop giving you opportunities to earn more and become even more successful.
Our new and exciting promotion will be launched shortly. The idea is really exciting: become an IB at FBS and get $5000!
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Keep updated!
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/news/2013-09-16/23386-become-ib-and-get-5000-fbs#sthash.bhDw24HH.dpuf
Forex news & analytics at FX Bazooka!
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Best Forex Broker South-East Asia 2013!!!
FBS Markets Inc. has been recently announced the Best Forex Broker South-East Asia in the prestigious World Finance Foreign Exchange Awards 2013. These awards recognize leaders and distinguished organizations in the financial industry each year.
Such a rapid development of FBS in Asian countries and the Global Forex Market, its reliability and service quality has been awarded for the third time this year by a leading financial organization World Finance. Despite our evident success, this is no time to rest on our laurels. FBS always strives to exceed clients’ expectations, provide the widest possible choice of products and services, excellent trading conditions and clients support.
We would like to thank all our clients and partners for their trust in FBS.
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/news/2013-09-03/23295-best-forex-broker-south-east-asia-2013#sthash.FkojkGph.dpuf
We wish you success and financial freedom with FBS!
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
GBP/USD: Ichimoku analysis
Daily. GBP/USD has also corrected to the downside this week after having reached new extremes last week (1.6160). The currency pair has declined to the Tenkan-Sen support (TS) at the level of 1.5950/1.5970, but it is only the beginning: Chinkou Span shows the pair is strongly overbought. Consequently, in a longer term there is a risk of falling to the Kijun-Sen (KS). Note that this support is just below the 1.5800 figure. In general, the positive market view is still relevant: there is a gold cross, the cloud is bullish.
Chart. Daily GBP/USD
H4. The correction is better seen on the H4 chart. This week the lines have crossed above the bullish cloud, forming a dead cross ©. Cable is now traded below the Tenkan and Kijun lines. The upper border of the Cloud is creating some support in the 1.5960-1.6000 range, but the descending Kijun-Sen (KS) confirms the idea that in the near future we should expect a continuing downward short-term trend. Breaking through the 1.5960 support will open the way to the 1.5900 figure. The next strong level is 1.5870.
Chart. H4 GBP/USD
Tatiana Norkina for FBS
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
USD/JPY: Ichimoku analysis
Daily. There is an untypical situation on the dollar/yen market. Last week we expected the price to continue growth (fix above Tenkan-sen was a buying signal, actually). However, yen edged higher, taking the pair into the 97.80 area (bottom of the daily Cloud). The market doesn’t look so optimistic anymore: on Wednesday the bears are testing the levels below the Kijun support (98.70). Fix below this line will negate the bullish prospects for an uncertain period of time.
Chart. Daily USD/JPY
H4. It is not so easy for the bears to resume the uptrend – the upper boundary of the H4 bearish cloud is a strong resistance for now. On the other hand, the lower boundary is acting as a support. We concede that a fix around 98.50/60 can trigger a sharp appreciation of the pair. Fix below this area could open the way to 97.50.
Chart. H4 USD/JPY
Tatiana Norkina for FBS
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
EUR/USD: Ichimoku analysis
Daily. The EUR/USD currency pair formed new local highs last week (1.3570) before entering a corrective phase. The pair has been declining towards Tenkan-sen for the last 3 days, but the overall bullish trend persists. Bullish Ichimoku cloud and the "golden cross" all speak in favor of further growth (С). Next support levels are seen at 1.3410 and 1.3370. Note that Chinkou Span is also approaching the price support. A bullish bounce is possible in the near term. - See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-25/23459-eurusd-ichimoku-analysis#sthash.lnD9gr91.dpuf
Chart. Daily EUR/USD
H4. The H4 chart also confirms the corrective phase on the market. The pair has been depreciating since Monday inside of the Tenkan-Kijun channel. Note that the price has already reached the lower border of that channel, so there is a chance for an upward reversal. However, pay attention to the "dead cross" (С). As a result, we concede a consolidation around the current levels or even a decline towards the interim support at 1.3450. The overall trend here is also bullish (see Senkou Span A).
Chart. H4 EUR/USD
Tatiana Norkina for FBS
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
September 25: kiwi trading lower
It was another quiet Asian session with an increased demand for safe currencies. US budget discussions continued weighing on the risk appetite. USD/JPY is trading under pressure around 98.60. Meanwhile, USD/CHF has recovered some ground to $0.9140 after a period of tight consolidation.
AUD/USD has once again weakened to the $0.9370 support. NZD/USD has extended the downside to $0.8220. New Zealand’s dollar fell after the nation’s trade deficit unexpectedly widened. USD/CAD is consolidating around 1.0300.
EUR/USD is trading in the narrow $1.3460/80 range. German GfK consumer climate rose to the highest level since the year 2007. GBP/USD has recovered some ground after having slipped below 1.6000 earlier in the day.
Later in the day US will release durable goods orders and new home sales data (forecasts – improvement).
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-25/23453-september-25-asian-session#sthash.zd5F3aoN.dpuf
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
Commerzbank: USD/JPY outlook
Commerzbank strategists believe that USD/JPY will be supported as long as the 97.50 level holds: “Our initial upside target is the 100.62 September high then 101.54/60 July high and the Fibonacci retracement, with a long term Fibonacci retracement offering a 105.48 resistance point above here.”
Break below 97.50 would switch their outlook to neutral as the risk will increase of further slippage to 95.97 (200-day MA).
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Comment here: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/659
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
ANZ: bullish on NZD/USD
ANZ strategists now believe that NZD/USD has potential for a test of declining resistance at $0.8625/30 and previous high in the $0.8790/0.8845 area.
"Kiwi strength no longer looks like a corrective squeeze, but rather a relatively dynamic leg within the broad consolidation pattern (or triangle) that has been developing since 2011. Key support lies at $0.8250".
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Comment here: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/658
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
ANZ: AUD/USD could go higher
ANZ strategists remain short-term bullish for AUD/USD as long as the $0.9380 support holds. They see the current Aussie strength as corrective, but concede that ther upside could extend to $0.9720. Drop below $0.9380 would open the way to $0.9200.
"The squeeze above channel resistance reached $0.9510 (38.2% of the fall since April) faster than anticipated and so raises the potential for continued gains through the dubious “head and shoulders” target of $0.9600/20 for a possible 50% squeeze to $0.9720."
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Comment here: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/657
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
Danske Bank: outlook for EUR/USD
According to Danske Bank strategists, the US dollar is likely to weaken in the coming month following the decision by the Fed to postpone tapering of its QE programme. They now see EUR/USD at $1.3300 (previously $1.3100) in 3-month time but could see the pair as high as $1.3700 in 1 month if early October data prove disappointing.
“Beyond a 3-month horizon, the Fed is likely to have laid out a tapering plan, which should induce a shift back in focus to the fact that the Fed will still be a first-mover on reining in easing among major central banks. This should pave the way for a move in relative rates weighing on EUR and we have kept a downward profile on EUR/USD on the medium-term horizon but now see the pair at $1.3000 in 6 months ($1.2800), heading lower towards $1.27 in 12 months ($1.2500).”
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Comment here: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/656
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
Stock market update
Data: Bloomberg
Time: EST (GMT-5)
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Comment here: http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/547
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
It was a calm session on the currency markets with an empty economic calendar. Yesterday the greenback weakened as the Fed’s member Dudley said the economy was still to week to taper bond purchases. USD/JPY has recovered to 99.00 today after a dip to 98.65. USD/CHF is consolidating around $0.9100.
Asian markets were mostly trading in the negative zone. Aussie and kiwi were the biggest losers of the session as declines in global stocks reduced demand for high-yielding currencies. AUD/USD dropped to $0.9395 before recovering some ground. NZD/USD fell to $0.8315. USD/CAD is consolidating around 1.0280. Canada will release retail sales data at 12:30 GMT.
EUR/USD strengthened to $1.3500 after a consolidation below this mark. Yesterday the euro weakened after the ECB Draghi said the bank is ready to launch a third round LTRO if necessary. The market is now waiting for the German Ifo business climate index at 8:00 GMT. GBP/USD is trading under slight pressure around $1.6030.
Have a profitable trade with FBS!
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Comment here: http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/546
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
It was a calm session on the currency markets with an empty economic calendar. Yesterday the greenback weakened as the Fed’s member Dudley said the economy was still to week to taper bond purchases. USD/JPY has recovered to 99.00 today after a dip to 98.65. USD/CHF is consolidating around $0.9100.
Asian markets were mostly trading in the negative zone. Aussie and kiwi were the biggest losers of the session as declines in global stocks reduced demand for high-yielding currencies. AUD/USD dropped to $0.9395 before recovering some ground. NZD/USD fell to $0.8315. USD/CAD is consolidating around 1.0280. Canada will release retail sales data at 12:30 GMT.
EUR/USD strengthened to $1.3500 after a consolidation below this mark. Yesterday the euro weakened after the ECB Draghi said the bank is ready to launch a third round LTRO if necessary. The market is now waiting for the German Ifo business climate index at 8:00 GMT. GBP/USD is trading under slight pressure around $1.6030.
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-24/23451-september-24-asian-session#sthash.gutukJqX.dpuf
Have a profitable trade with FBS!
If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article!
Recent market news from FBS[/center]
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Market Analytics:FBS Markets Inc.
It was a calm session on the currency markets with an empty economic calendar. Yesterday the greenback weakened as the Fed’s member Dudley said the economy was still to week to taper bond purchases. USD/JPY has recovered to 99.00 today after a dip to 98.65. USD/CHF is consolidating around $0.9100.
Asian markets were mostly trading in the negative zone. Aussie and kiwi were the biggest losers of the session as declines in global stocks reduced demand for high-yielding currencies. AUD/USD dropped to $0.9395 before recovering some ground. NZD/USD fell to $0.8315. USD/CAD is consolidating around 1.0280. Canada will release retail sales data at 12:30 GMT.
EUR/USD strengthened to $1.3500 after a consolidation below this mark. Yesterday the euro weakened after the ECB Draghi said the bank is ready to launch a third round LTRO if necessary. The market is now waiting for the German Ifo business climate index at 8:00 GMT. GBP/USD is trading under slight pressure around $1.6030.
- See more at: http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2013-09-24/23451-september-24-asian-session#sthash.gutukJqX.dpuf
Have a profitable trade with FBS!
If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article!
Recent market news from FBS[/center]
Have a profitable trade with FBS!
If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article!
Recent market news from FBS[/center]
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“FBS Pro”: registration is open
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FBS.com - Daily/Weekly Analysis / Market News
in Technical Analysis
Posted