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Date: 11th August 2025. USDJPY Analysis: Yen Weakens Amid US Tariff Pressure and BOJ Policy Signals. The USDJPY currency pair has been in the spotlight after the Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar. This movement was triggered by several key factors that are currently attracting market attention. On Friday, USDJPY strengthened by +0.39%, indicating selling pressure on the Yen. The main concerns driving this weakening are the potential impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy, as well as less than satisfactory domestic economic data. Factors Driving Yen Weakening Weaker Japanese Economic Data - Japanese household spending data for June, which only rose +1.3% (y/y), far below market expectations of +2.7%, sent a dovish signal. This figure suggests that Japanese consumers are holding back, likely due to US tariff pressure and rising inflation. This situation reduces pressure on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates soon. Rising US Bond Yields - Higher US government bond yields on Friday made the US dollar more attractive to investors. This increase negatively impacted the yen, known as a safe-haven currency. Hawkish Sentiment from BOJ Meeting: Hope Amid Challenges Nevertheless, there are several signals that could potentially be positive catalysts for the yen in the long term. Slightly Hawkish BOJ Meeting Minutes - The minutes of the July 30-31 BOJ meeting showed differences of opinion among board members. Some suggested gradual interest rate hikes to anticipate future inflationary pressures. One member even hinted at the possibility of a rate hike as early as late 2025, depending on the impact of US tariffs. Positive Signals from Economic Surveys - The EcoWatchers Japan Outlook Survey rose to 47.3 in July, reaching a six-month high. This reading was stronger than expected, indicating optimism among economic observers. This positive signal could be a bullish boost for the Yen. USDJPY Technical Analysis: Towards Key Levels Technically, the USDJPY is in a corrective phase. The significant rise from the 2021 low (102.58) towards the 2024 high (161.94) is seen as the main trend. USDJPY Key Upside Level: If USDJPY manages to break through minor resistance at 148.07, the market will likely retest the high of 150.91, or the 61.8%FR level. A rise above this level would open the opportunity for a continuation of the bullish trend to higher levels. Key Downside Level: On the other hand, key support is at 145.84. A breach of this level could signal a short-term bearish reversal, with the next support target at 142.66. For next week, the Yen's movement will likely be influenced by external data given the relatively quiet Japanese economic calendar. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Ady Phangestu HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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EUR/USD Chart Price Action analysis The EUR/USD, often referred to as the “Fiber,” is the most traded currency pair in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. Known for its high liquidity and tight spreads, it serves as a benchmark for global currency movements and is heavily influenced by macroeconomic data, central bank policies, and geopolitical events. Today’s fundamental outlook is shaped by two key economic releases: the US Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations, which can strengthen the USD if results surpass forecasts, and Italy’s monthly Trade Balance from Istat, which can support the Euro if exports outweigh imports. Should US inflation expectations rise, the USD may gain, exerting downside pressure on EUR/USD, while a strong Eurozone trade surplus could counteract this effect, leading to short-term volatility and potential price whipsaws. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the EUR/USD H4 chart, the price is showing a bullish movement hovering above the Ichimoku Cloud, supported by a green cloud with a lower flat base and slightly expanded formation, signaling a modest bullish bias. The price remains compressed between a long-term bullish trendline in green and two bearish trendlines—one lighter, connecting two significant peaks, and another steeper red line originating from early July. These converging trendlines meet near the 1.16000 level, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. Key support lies at 1.16231, while the %R indicator at -59.29 suggests the pair is in neutral-to-slightly-bullish territory, with momentum not yet at overbought levels. A breakout above the red bearish trendline around 1.17086 could trigger stronger bullish continuation, while a drop below the green ascending trendline may invite further downside pressure. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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