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Date: 21st August 2025. Has Gold’s Bullish Trend Lost Its Steam? The price of Gold has been trading within a recurring price range between $3,240 and $3,456 throughout the summer months, leaving traders wondering. Has the commodity, which has witnessed one of the strongest trends of the past 2 years, lost its steam? Most economists believe that Gold will continue to experience a bullish trend throughout the remaining months of 2025. However, technical analysis is not currently indicating upward price movement for the medium to long term. Instead, indications currently point to the range-bound condition continuing, meaning the average price will play a key role in analysis and traders’ targets. Average Price of Range: $3,330.50 XAUUSD Daily Chart Throughout August, the price of Gold has mainly fallen due to peace talks between Russia, the US and Ukraine keeping to a positive tone. The increased likelihood of a ceasefire would boost the market’s sentiment towards risk, pressuring the price of Gold. Economists advise that the price of Gold is likely to come under pressure in the event that the conflict comes to an end, but is not likely to fully correct the gains over the past 2-years. Furthermore, yesterday, the US Department of Commerce broadened its sectoral tariffs, which had previously focused mainly on metals and automobiles. The new measures impose 50% duties on an additional 407 categories of imported goods, including fire extinguishers, building materials, and aluminium or steel-based chemicals. Experts caution that these tariffs could intensify inflationary pressures, as they now cover goods valued at an estimated $320 billion, up from $190 billion. The additional cost, if put into effect, is likely to be passed on to consumers, resulting in inflation. Therefore, easing the monetary policy in the near term will become more difficult for the Federal Reserve. If the Federal Reserve opts not to cut interest rates in September, the price of Gold may witness renewed pressure. Currently, an interest cut remains the main likelihood; however, the possibility of a pause continues to increase. Due to the high producer inflation and new tariffs, investors are contemplating whether the Fed will indeed cut in September. Currently, the Fedwatch Tool’s possibility reading for a ‘pause’ continues to rise to 21%. This is significantly higher than last week’s reading of 7.9%. The ongoing Jackson Hole Symposium may also provide further indications of the future path of interest rates. If a pause by the Federal Reserve continues to become a likely possibility, and the Ukraine-Russia conflict looks on track to reduce tensions. The price of Gold may break the current pattern and decline. The commodity’s main support level can be seen at $3,122.00. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Dow Jones Daily Chart Fundamentals and Indicators Review The Dow Jones Industrial Average, widely recognized as the "US30" and affectionately nicknamed "the Dow," is one of the most prominent equity indices, comprising 30 significant publicly traded companies in the United States. It serves as a vital indicator of the U.S. economic landscape. Fundamentally, today's focus is directed toward several key economic events, including a speech by Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic, anticipated jobless claims data, manufacturing and services PMI figures, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, existing home sales, and changes in natural gas inventories. Investors will closely monitor President Bostic's commentary on monetary policy, alongside employment and purchasing managers' indices data, as positive outcomes here are expected to bolster market confidence and support bullish sentiment for the US30. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. From a technical perspective, analyzing the Dow Jones US30 4-hour chart, the candles have been consistently aligning with a bullish trendline, despite a single unsuccessful breakout attempt, suggesting strong bullish dominance. Currently, price action has entered a corrective phase and trades sideways around the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.236. A breakout below the support seems improbable given the prevailing bullish momentum; however, continued corrective movements could lead the index toward the Fibonacci level 0.382. Conversely, bullish continuation would likely target the previous resistance high around 45341. Bollinger Bands indicate consolidation with bands narrowing, signaling an imminent expansion and potential volatility. The middle band currently aligns with the latest candle, suggesting near-term equilibrium. The MACD histogram is positioned at -20, the MACD line at 18, below the signal line at 37, indicating mild bearish sentiment in the short term. RSI is hovering at approximately 49.85, reflecting a neutral momentum stance. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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