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Date: 22nd July 2025. Gold Gains Momentum: What’s Driving Gold Higher? Gold saw its strongest bullish price movement since June 13th, pushing the price above the previous swing high. Due to the bullish momentum from Monday, Gold is now officially witnessing a bullish trend pattern. The commodity has formed three consecutive ‘higher highs’ on July 3rd, July 14th and July 21st. What is driving the upward price movement? Federal Reserve and Deutsche Bank Even though most economists do not believe the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month, some dovish comments persist. Federal Reserve Governor Waller supports a rate cut in July, arguing that slowing economic momentum and inflation from tariffs are likely temporary. This view contrasts with other Fed officials who prefer a more cautious, wait-and-see stance. Nonetheless, the comments have resulted in a weaker US Dollar and bullish sentiment towards Gold. Previously, the Federal Reserve was advising that inflation from tariffs would not be temporary. A stance which is slowly changing as inflation is slow to react to the current tariffs imposed. Experts currently advise that a July rate cut is highly unlikely due to the strong employment data. However, the possibility of a September rate cut is increasing and is supporting demand for Gold. Furthermore, Deutsche Bank, whilst talking to journalists, warned of summer volatility, driven by tariff risks, low liquidity, and political uncertainty around the August 1st deadline. This is yet to have a negative impact on stocks, but the market’s cautiousness is likely supporting demand for Gold. Tariffs and The US Dollar The dovish comments from the Federal Reserve and uncertainty regarding the trade policy is resulting in a weaker US Dollar. The US Dollar Index fell to a weekly low and is not showing signs of maintaining bullish momentum. As a result, the US Dollar’s weakness supports Gold, which is inversely correlated with the Dollar. The global uncertainties also continue to support Gold prices, which act as a safe haven asset for investors and institutions. Reports show that global central banks, particularly China, Russia, Turkey and BRIC nations, continue to increase their exposure away from the US Dollar. The next 8 days leading up to the August 1st deadline will be key for Gold traders. Gold (XAUUSD) - Technical Analysis Gold on Tuesday is decreasing in value, giving up some gains from Monday. However, the decline is only forming a retracement and so far is only 33% of the bullish impulse wave from yesterday. The average retracement size is 0.90% which would mean the instrument still has room to manoeuvere based on the traditional retracement size. On many occasions, the price will retrace back to the breakout level. The breakout size can be seen at $3,374.55. Nonetheless, traders should note that the price is trading clearly higher than the trendline and the key moving averages. Currently, Gold is trading below the VWAP, meaning the price is seeing bearish momentum, but also at a competitive price to buy. XAUUSD 2-Hour Chart If the price increases above $3,389.70 on the 5-minute timeframe or above the $3,395.15 level, buy signals are likely to materialise due to breakouts and momentum indicators. Key Takeaway Levels: Gold entered a confirmed bullish trend, forming three higher highs driven by strong momentum from July 21st. The Fed takes a dovish turn, as comments from Governor Waller and uncertainty weaken the Dollar and increase Gold demand. Tariff risks and global uncertainty, including a cautious market ahead of the August 1st deadline, are fueling gold buying. Central banks are also diversifying away from the USD, adding to the demand. Technical signals remain supportive, with gold holding above key trendlines and averages. The retracement from Tuesday appears mild and could present new buying opportunities. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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