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Date: 23rd December 2025. End of Year Currency Review & Forecasts: Euro & Japanese Yen. The Euro is the best-performing currency of 2025 while the Japanese Yen is one of the worst-performing. The Euro’s bullishness derives from the Eurozone’s expansionary fiscal policy, Dollar weakness and the demand for European stocks. The Japanese yen, by contrast, followed a more complex narrative. The Japanese Yen was the best performing currency within the first six months due to interest rate hikes. However, the Yen was the worst performing in the second half of the year and is currently trading with a 3.30% minus. Are the Euro and Japanese Yen’s Trend likely to continue into 2026? The Euro & Market Forecasts The Euro Index, which measures the performance of the Euro against four different currencies, trades 0.15% higher. With the US Dollar Index continuing to significantly decline and European stocks maintaining their competitiveness, the Euro continues to strengthen. Many economists believe this is likely to continue in 2026, provided that the US Dollar Index continues to decline. The European Central Bank was actually one of the most dovish in 2025 cutting interest rates on four occasions. However, the ECB has not cut interest rates for six months now and economists do not expect any cuts in the first quarter of 2026. The Eurozone’s inflation rate is currently at 2.1%, in line with the ECB’s inflation target. In related developments, José Luis Escrivá, Governor of the Bank of Spain told journalists that he sees no reason to adjust interest rates and expects monetary policy to remain unchanged in the near term. Many other members of the ECB’s voting committee also have kept to this rhetoric. Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, many believe the Federal Reserve may be forced to cut rates more aggressively than it admits. On the other hand, there are also negatives for the Eurozone such as tariffs and its commitment to Ukraine. Today, Chinese authorities announced the implementation of tariffs of up to 42.7% on dairy products, including cheese, milk, and cream, imported from the European Union. The decision follows the conclusion of an investigation launched in August 2024 into alleged subsidies. According to China’s Ministry of Commerce, these subsidies caused significant harm to the domestic dairy industry. The tariffs will take effect on 23 December. Companies that cooperated with the investigation will face a tariff of 28.6%, while those that did not cooperate will be subject to the full 42.7% rate. HFM - EURUSD 1-Hour Chart Technical analysis, mainly price action, indicates that EURUSD will maintain its bullish bias while it remains above 1.17640. However, 1.18295 is a key resistance level, which traders will be paying close attention to along with the US Dollar Index. A key support level for the US Dollar Index is 97.10. The Japanese Yen & Government Currency Intervention The Japanese Yen was the worst-performing currency in the second half of 2025 after failing to meet hawkish expectations. Analysts had expected the Bank of Japan to increase rates to a minimum of 1.00%. However, the BoJ has risen to 0.75% and is reluctant to give a more hawkish outlook for the next quarter. In addition, the recent tensions with China have also dampened sentiment towards the Japanese Yen. Today, on the other hand, the Japanese Yen is the best-performing currency for two reasons. The first is related to technical analysis and investors taking advantage of its low price while the US Dollar declines. However, a key price driver is the Finance Minister’s recent comments. The country’s finance minister, Satsuki Katayama, told journalists that the government has a ‘free hand’ to make bold decisions in order to support the currency when required. The comments made by Mrs Katayama suggest that the Japanese government may intervene in the currency market to support the yen. This action would likely occur if the exchange rate rises above 157.00. Though it is important to note, it is not known when they will decide to do so or what price they deem to be too high. According to analysts, the Japanese Yen can recover and perform better in 2026. However, this is only possible if the Bank of Japan takes a more hawkish approach while other global central banks do not. HFM - USDJPY 1-Hour Chart Key Takeaway Points: The Euro was 2025’s top-performing currency, driven by Dollar weakness and strong demand for European assets. Policy divergence supports the Euro as the ECB pauses while the Federal Reserve faces pressure to cut rates. Despite trade tariffs and geopolitical risks, the Euro maintains a bullish technical and macro outlook. A key price driver is the Finance Minister's comments that the government can act freely to support the Yen. The Japanese Yen surged early in 2025 but weakened sharply after failing to meet hawkish rate expectations. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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- Yesterday
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BTC/USD price analysis with Bollinger and %R The BTC/USD pair, commonly referred to as "Digital Gold," represents the exchange rate between Bitcoin and the US Dollar and is one of the most heavily traded pairs in both the crypto and forex markets. Known for its high volatility and liquidity, it is a prime target for both technical traders and macroeconomic investors. Today, BTC USD faces heightened volatility as several delayed but high-impact US economic indicators are set for release, including the Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production, and Durable Goods Orders—all key barometers of economic strength. If actual figures surpass forecasts, the USD could strengthen, potentially applying downward pressure on Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the release of the ADP NER Pulse, providing a snapshot of private-sector employment trends, could influence sentiment around future consumer spending and Fed policy direction. With markets on edge due to prior data delays from the US government shutdown, any surprises in today’s figures may trigger swift price action in the BTC-USD pair. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the 4-hour BTC/USD chart, price action reveals Bitcoin is currently trading in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, signaling a short-term bullish bias. After recently touching the upper band near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (around 90,034 USD), BTC has pulled back slightly and is now hovering near the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 88,500 USD, which coincides with a support just above the Bollinger Bands’ middle line. The BB middle band itself lies between the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels, suggesting consolidation within a key retracement zone. The %R (Williams %R 14) is currently at -31.45, indicating that the pair is close to overbought territory but still has room to move upward before a potential reversal. This setup points toward a critical decision zone—if BTCUSD holds above the 0.5 level, a retest of the 0.618 and possibly 0.786 (92,218 USD) is likely. However, a failure to maintain this range could result in a drop back toward the 0.382 (86,966 USD) support. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore
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Payment received via Dogecoin: 8232b3210b3ca0f2d6004cd5dc4dd6700b8ce7786e921e5eac46df30de14a234 2025-12-22 04:40:43 UTC 10 DOGE (~$1.33)
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NOT PAYING
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Payment received via USDT-TRC20: 1ed3e78bf4ac61dd58df2321b0a1e78a21d77a4e26e53d5b9b07ec4fe1ad98bf 2025-12-21 22:39:27 (UTC) 12 Tether USD
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Payment received via Litecoin: 56a1e36d22109de15ed6e46c870ffe85829376dd4840f705704aa4958dc50832 21 Dec 2025 14:17:31 UTC 0.13229595 LTC (~$10.00) Tron: 36a35d9bc2ed0ec508f23821e616e2fd94c45407fcd747d508022c519a64eec2 2025-12-21 05:55:18 (UTC) 23.465895 TRX (~$6.65)
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Payment received via USDT-BEP20: 0x95447327e100d1a0e145619b685f1ea33a974f535f34bedd458225b7c2ae750b Dec-22-2025 03:52:10 AM UTC 5 BSC-USD USDT-BEP20: 0x54bb2eaac7e5228b6062eda87832200c7365fcc104466f6044d9c4e213b3a2d2 Dec-21-2025 09:04:11 AM UTC 5 BSC-USD
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Payment received via FaucetPay: RECEIVED FROM King BSC Free Miner DATE 22nd December, 2025 AMOUNT 2.00000000 USDT ID 2046883553 TRANSACTION TYPE Faucet #179768 Payment
