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analyst75

analyst75

Member Since 23 Jun 2016
Offline Last Active Dec 27 2018 05:04 AM
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#715549 Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (February 26 – March 2, 2018)

Posted by analyst75 on 25 February 2018 - 03:48 AM

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

 

EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

The market is bearish in the short-term. Since testing the resistance line at 1.2550 on February 16, price has gone south by more than 250 pips (now barely below the resistance line at 1.2300). This week, the outlook on EUR pairs is bullish. While the support lines at 1.2250 and 1.2200 could be tested, it is expected that a considerable rally will start before the end of the week, and that is something that could overturn the current short-term bearish bias.

 

USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bullish

The pair is bullish in the short-term. After the support level at 0.9200 was tried on February 16, the market gained 200 pips. It tested the resistance level at 0.9400 on Thursday, and then retraced a bit. The resistance level at 0.9400 could be tested again, and even another resistance level at 0.9450. However, an eventual rally on EURUSD would force the current upwards movement to reverse, thus threatening the short-term bullish bias. 

 

GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Neutral  

There was no strong directional movement here last week. Since February 16 price has been going gradually lower (rendering the bullish outlook that was formed before February 16 invalid). Since the downwards movement is not strong, the market has essentially become neutral in the near-time. However, the neutrality would soon become a thing of the past, because a strong momentum is expected in the market, which would most probably favor bulls. The outlook on GBP pairs is mostly bullish for March 2018, although that does not rule out bearish corrections in certain cases.

 

USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

The market was bearish in the long-term. A rally happened last week from Monday to Wednesday, but it was checked by the bearish correction that took place on Thursday and Friday. There are support levels at 106.50, 106.00 and ultimately at 105.50. These support levels will try to prevent further bearish correction, and that is something that could bring about another rally in the market, which would become considerable this time. 

 

EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish    

This cross is strongly bearish, going downwards in a steady manner since February 2, and losing at least, 600 pips since then. Nonetheless, the southwards journey will soon be over, as a strong rally is expected, which would eventually remove the current Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The outlook on JPY pairs is bullish for this week, and for the month of March. So, short trades are not advisable.  

 

GBPJPY

Dominant bias: Neutral

This trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. The market has gone bearish by 700 pips since February 2 – but it has only moved sideways in the last two weeks. Since the low of 148.00 was tested, price has failed to go significantly lower. A base has already been formed and price could be seen moving upwards, away from the base. This month, the market is expected to go upwards by at least, 500 pips, and that will effectively bring about a bullish bias.

 

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

 

“True trading is actually speculation (managed risk). The speculator is willing to accept the risk of price fluctuation in return for the greater leverage that comes with that risk in the hopes of earning a greater profit.” – Andy Jordan

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

 

 

 


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#677947 Do you see trading as fun and games?

Posted by analyst75 on 26 August 2017 - 04:05 PM

“One thing very good traders have is insight into themselves.” - Chris Tate

 

 

FUN AND GAMES

Recently Louise Bedford and I have been doing the Short Term Trading Magic seminars in a few places and it has been sometime since I did any form of presentation on a semi regular basis. As such it has been interesting to observe people as they work through various trading issues.

 

One of the things I have noted is that people take trading far too seriously and this is reflected in a form of desperation. Desperation is the antithesis of the state of mind you need to be in to trade effectively.

 

There is no deny that this is a phase everyone enters at some stage in their career but to be successful you need to move beyond this and begin to treat trading as the game that it is. Once I started treating trading as a game then it became so much easier on the soul and my results reflected this. I even have a t-shirt that says that the fewer fucks I give the more I make.

 

This is not to say that I am reckless but rather that I am in no way wedded to the outcome of any trade. At its core my life will not change if a trade or even a cluster of trades are winners or losers – they are simply not that important. When compared to real life, trading is nowhere near as important as people think it is.

 

It is often commented that children are better are learning new things than adults who seem set in their ways. I am not so certain that this is a reflection of any great cognitive superiority or plasticity that the young may have but rather a reflection of their willingness to be both wrong and to play. Young children have no ego therefore the mistakes that their play generate have no impact upon their sense of self-worth. As adults we lose this resilience because we believe that it is somehow catastrophic to our self-image if we do make mistakes.

 

But in trading your mistakes are your own – no one else can see them so you are insulated from the judgment of others. This isolation gives you the freedom to be wrong but the only thing you have to cope with is your own judgment.

 

 Markets are a wonderful universes for exploration and for play. The presence of micro contracts in various instruments and online trading mean that you experiment very cheaply.

 

The price of admission to the fun park is much lower than it used to be and the number of rides has gone through the roof. It is a shame that more traders don’t view trading as little more than a theme park where you can play to your heart’s content and during the process of playing you learn much more than you would if you were consumed by seriousness and desperation.

 

 

Author: Chris Tate

 

Article reproduced with kind permission of: http://tradinggame.com.au/

 

 

More trading quotes are below:

 

“To my way of thinking trading is an internal endeavour – there is no external enemy who you can deceive or overpower since markets only exist in the most ephemeral way inside your head. Markets may appear to be physical constructs but they are largely an illusion, trading occurs inside your head where your own perceptions and distortions of reality influence your decision making.” – Chris Tate

 

“The one thing you shouldn't feel pressured about is trading. If you do feel that way, you probably need to take a step back and reassess. Pressured trade®s don't make good trade®s.” – Joe Ross

 

 

www.tallinex.com wants you to be a successful trader 

 


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#655453 Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 22 - 26, 2017)

Posted by analyst75 on 20 May 2017 - 09:03 PM

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

 

EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bullish

This pair went upwards by 290 pips last week, putting greater emphasis on the recent bullish bias that has formed this month. Price closed slightly above the support line at 1.1200 on Friday. The bullish momentum is currently strong, and the resistance lines at 1.1250, 1.1300 and 1.1350 may be tested this week. This however, does not rule out possibilities of pullbacks in the market, because EUR would rise against some currencies while falling against others.

 

USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bearish

USDCHF plummeted last week, losing 280 pips and closing below the resistance level at 0.9750. Price has fallen by 340 pips since May 12, and further fall is expected this week. The support levels at 0.9700, 0.9650 and 0.9600, may be tested this week, owing to the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. USDCHF would continue to trend southwards as long as EURUSD journeys northwards.     

 

GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bullish   

GBPUSD was able to maintain its bullishness last week. The market closed above the accumulation territory at 1.3000 on Friday, going towards the distribution territory at 1.3050 (which may be tested or even breached to the upside). On the other hand, there is also a possibility of a deep bearish correction this week, because bearish movements may occur on certain GBP pairs, and the ripple effect may affect GBPUSD.    

 

USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

The market went bearish last week, thus invalidating the bullish signal that was formed earlier this month, and creating a new short-term bearish signal. Price has dropped roughly 290 pips last week, slashed the demand level at 110.50, and closed above the demand level at 111.00. The demand levels at 110.00 and 109.50 may try to reject any meaningful bearish movement, for the outlook on JPY pairs is bullish for this week. Some form of reversal may be witnessed in the market.

 

 

EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bullish   

This cross pair is still bullish, while being volatile in the long-term. Price has formed a zigzag pattern in the market: It went up on Monday and Tuesday, came down on Wednesday and Thursday, and then went upwards again on Friday. The present “buy” signal can push price towards the supply zones at 125.50, 126.00 and 127.50. These targets might even be exceeded, especially given the expected bullish movements on JPY pairs.     

 

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

 

“New and creative trading ideas are important for a trader to be able to stay ahead of the crowd, so doing whatever you can to prepare your mind to consider new ideas will help to develop creative trading strategies that are essential to profitable trading.” – Joes Ross

 

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

 

 

 

 


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#653519 The Real Trading Success. It’s Not What You Think

Posted by analyst75 on 11 May 2017 - 08:35 PM

When I first went to university the initial week was filled with the usual getting to know the lay of the land such as how the library works (in a surprisingly mysterious way I might add), where various labs where and what the protocol for various subjects was. One of the most striking events was an orientation lecture we had in one subject. The lecturer who went onto to be one of my favourites because he knew his stuff, was blunt in his delivery and told students the truth. The last one of these characteristics would now not be tolerated because apparently telling students that they failed because they didn’t get off their arses would now be considered bullying or some form of oppression or would require the student to curl up in a foetal position in one of their safe spaces.

 

He opined that the easiest way to survive first year was to turn up and do the work – if you did that then the chances were pretty good that you would get through. Do a bit more than that and you would do well. This must have been a friggen revelation to a large proportion of my year because over half failed the year.  Much to their surprise simply hanging around the university cafe and the pub across the road did not magically allow the collective wisdom of those at the university to seep into their brains as if by a process of osmosis.

 

The reason for me reminiscing about events locked in my dim dark past is simple – this pattern of laziness repeats itself year after year, decade after decade in people and people still wonder why their lives are like they are. Let me give you an example that is close to home. During our Mentor Program we generate a lot of content, each step of the course is mapped out to the day in such a way as to take someone from being a complete novice in the market to a competent trader at the end of six months. In effect, we make a pact with those doing the course, we will tell you everything we know with nothing held back and you commit to putting the time in to absorb what you are being told. To my way of thinking it is a fair deal besides you have paid for it so that should be sufficient motivation to put some effort in.

 

Intriguingly some – many believe that simply looking at the notes occasionally and not putting in any effort at all will somehow translate into success. We are now several weeks into the course and there are attendees who have logged in twice. Yet I can imagine that they are completely surprised at their inability to master the most basic of trading concepts. Or that they have not instantly be transmuted into billionaires via some alchemic process.

 

Central to all of this is the notion of how success in any arena is achieved. It should not be surprising that to achieve anything in any field you choose requires a certain amount of commitment and toil – this is simply the nature of the universe. Think of success as a natural system, it requires the addition of energy to keep it viable. If the system is not constantly restocked with effort, then eventually it will collapse. Yet, this lesson is lost on so many people who assume that either simply paying for something (think gym membership that is never used) or paying lip service and offering the usual platitudes will assist in mastering a task or achieving a goal.

 

Harking back to my early days in first year there was one thing that was almost universal in those that failed. It was always someone else’s fault and that seems to be something that is universe among those that do not put in the effort.

 

 

Author: Chris Tate

 

Article reproduced with kind permission of http://tradinggame.com.au

 

Other quotes from professional traders are below:

 

“The internet has been a boon for those seeking information. Within seconds you can find information on just about any subject that you want to know more about. Unfortunately, there is also a lot of misinformation mixed in with the results. This is very true in the trading world.”- Tradingeducators.com

 

“The internet is an amazing thing – there are thousands of trading strategies described in forums, social media and YouTube videos etc. But how do you know if they work? The answer is much simpler than it seems. Test the strategy properly!” - Jasper Lawler  

 

“Listen don’t tell because the market cannot hear you… Trading is a profession where the ability to delay gratification is paramount to your success. Delaying gratification means that you can hold onto winning positions for longer.” – Chris Tate

 

“This is the most salient point for traders with regards to what is considered uncertainty. Uncertainty is the environment within which we operate as a broad observation but beyond that it is actually the markets themselves that define what is actually uncertainty and they can do this by readily accessible metrics.” – Chris Tate

 

 

www.tallinex.com wants you to become a successful trader


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