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EUR/USD H4 chart symmetrical triangle breakout watch The EUR/USD currency pair, also known as the “Fiber”, is the most traded forex pair in the world, representing the euro against the US dollar. As the benchmark for global forex markets, EUR-USD often reflects the relative economic health of the Eurozone and the United States, making it highly sensitive to macroeconomic data and central bank policy statements. From a fundamental perspective, today’s EUR/USD price action will likely be influenced by key Eurozone data releases including S&P Global Services PMI and Producer Price Index (PPI), alongside remarks from ECB President Christine Lagarde at the ESRB Conference in Frankfurt. Stronger-than-expected PMI readings above the 50 expansion threshold could support the euro, signaling improving business activity. Meanwhile, Lagarde’s tone on monetary policy could introduce volatility, especially if she leans hawkish amid inflationary concerns. On the US side, the dollar awaits market-moving events such as the JOLTS job openings report, factory orders, and speeches by Fed officials Alberto Musalem and Neel Kashkari. Hawkish Fed commentary or stronger labor and manufacturing data could strengthen the dollar, potentially limiting euro gains. The balance between Eurozone PMI resilience and Fed rate expectations will likely dictate the short-term EURUSD trend. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the technical analysis side, the EUR USD H4 chart shows the price moving within a symmetrical triangle pattern, squeezed between a bearish descending trendline and a bullish ascending trendline. The bullish trendline, which has acted as a support level multiple times, once again held as the price bounced back upward after testing it. The last candlestick is entering the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a zone of consolidation and potential indecision, while the previous three candles form a Three Inside Down bearish pattern, hinting at possible downside pressure. The Ichimoku Leading Span B is moving horizontally, signaling a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Resistance remains around 1.1700, a key level that traders are watching closely. Meanwhile, the Williams %R indicator at -77.94 shows the pair approaching oversold territory as the plot moves downward toward -80, suggesting potential for a rebound if selling pressure eases. Price action traders will likely monitor whether EUR/USD can break above the triangle resistance or fall below the ascending trendline support to confirm the next directional move. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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Sideways Trend Dominates USDJPY H4 Technical Analysis The USD/JPY forex pair, often referred to as the "Gopher," represents the US dollar against the Japanese yen and is one of the most widely traded currency pairs globally due to its liquidity and volatility. Today's fundamental outlook for USD/JPY centers on key upcoming economic indicators. For the US dollar, traders are closely monitoring the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) Manufacturing PMI and Manufacturing Prices Paid data, alongside Construction Spending and Consumer Confidence reports. A PMI reading above 50 will signal economic expansion, potentially bolstering the USD, while increased Manufacturing Prices Paid could imply rising inflation pressures, which might strengthen the dollar further. On the Japanese yen side, the monetary base data released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) auction results will influence investor sentiment. An increase in monetary base suggests accommodative monetary policy, possibly weakening the yen, whereas the JGB auction yield and bid-to-cover ratio could provide insights into market sentiment and future monetary policy direction. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Analyzing the USD/JPY H4 chart, the market has recently entered a sideways price action trend, consistently bouncing between the Bollinger Band extremes. Whenever price action has touched either side of the Bollinger Bands, it has rebounded toward the opposite end. With the Bollinger Bands having narrowed recently, they are now expected to expand, indicating an upcoming period of volatility. The RSI indicator has been hovering between the 55.17 and 42.44 levels, suggesting neutral momentum and reinforcing the likelihood of continued sideways trading. The Stochastic Oscillator displays the %K line at 55.18 and the %D line at 66.98, indicating the potential for short-term fluctuations but no definitive breakout signal. Traders should anticipate ongoing consolidation within the identified range until fundamental news provides a clear directional catalyst. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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