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Date: 21st July 2025. Can The NASDAQ Maintain Its Bullish Trend? The NASDAQ rose to a new all-time high on Friday, almost bringing its 2025 gains to double-digit figures. The index’s gains for 2025 are currently 9.96% and are the 3rd best performing index after the DAX and Euro Stoxx 50. The NASDAQ is also performing well during this morning’s Asian Session, rising a further 0.33%. Will the NASDAQ end the week on a high? EU vs US: Trade Battle In 2025, most of the trade negotiations were focused on China, as were economists and investors. However, the EU’s volume of trade with the US is very similar to that of China. Therefore, investors will be eager to see if the two parties can negotiate an agreement or at least agree to a later deadline. President Trump is applying pressure to raise tariffs on European goods, and the deadline is approaching. According to Bloomberg, the US is likely to harden its stance in the last days of negotiations. Ongoing negotiations with both the EU and China aim to avert further escalation ahead of the key August 1st deadline. This week will be key for negotiations and is likely to trigger a lot of volatility, but so far, it has not sparked a decline. However, if an agreement is not reached, the most likely response will be to sell stocks as investors will instantly fear the repercussions of higher tariffs. This was also something seen in February, March and April and resulted in a stock market crash. The price has now fully corrected and risen to new all-time highs. However, this is only likely to continue if tariffs are avoided or reduced. The SNP500 and Nasdaq have been able to reach new highs over the past week only due to strong retail sales, falling jobless claims, and improved business sentiment, while Treasury yields dipped on Fed policy speculation. Retail Sales rose to 0.6% and Weekly Unemployment Claims were 12,000 lower than projections. Quarterly Earnings Reports Even though trade negotiations are stealing the spotlight, earnings reports will continue to create volatility. They will also help investors determine potential price movements in the coming days and weeks. The main quarterly earnings reports will come from Tesla and Alphabet (Google). Alphabet is due to release its quarterly earnings report on Wednesday after the market closes. Currently, the stock holds a weight of 7.50% making the company the 4th most influential company for the NASDAQ. In the previous quarter, the stock easily beat the earnings per share projections, but the price came under a lot of pressure from the 2025 stock market crash. Currently, the stock is still trading 2.45% lower in 2025. However, if the revenue and earnings per share again beaten expectations, the stock is likely to rise. The average increase seen when the company has beat earnings is 4.00%. Tesla is also due to release their earnings report after market close on Wednesday. The stock has been on a rollercoaster ride, partially due to sales figures but also due to external factors. The stock is currently trading 13% lower in 2025. Tesla's earnings projections are only $0.28 per share. This is even lower than the first quarter's projections, but the price volatility will depend on whether the actual figures are higher than the current projections. Buyers would like the earnings per share to rise to at least $0.35, which was the earnings from the projections for the previous quarter. NASDAQ (USA100) - Technical Analysis NASDAQ 15-Minute Chart Despite risks from potential bad earnings reports and trade tensions between the EU, China and the US, technical analysis continues to point to bullish price movements. The price continues to form higher highs and lows as well as remain above Moving Averages and the VWAP. The RSI also remains above 50.00 and is not witnessing signs of divergence. Other signals of bullish price movement are the VIX index, which is trading 1.50% lower during today’s Asian Session. All global indices are also trading higher, except the Euro Stoxx 50 and the Put/Call ratio slightly dips. All these factors support a ‘risk-on’ sentiment, but earnings and trade negotiations will need to continue to support this. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ nears double-digit 2025 gains, hitting record highs and rising further in the Asian session. US–EU trade tensions escalate ahead of the August 1st tariff deadline, risking market volatility. The NASDAQ’s performance is deeply entwined with the outcome of these negotiations. Earnings from Tesla and Alphabet this week could drive sharp price moves depending on results. Technical indicators remain bullish, with rising prices, low VIX, and strong RSI despite macro risks. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.