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Date: 14th November 2025. Fed Comments Have Traders Fearing a December Pause! Doubts continue to grow over the Federal Reserve’s December rate decision impacting both Gold and the stock market. The US shutdown has come to an end, but agencies have not yet released economic data to help investors determine the state of the US economy and employment sector. Economists are now advising that certain data such as the NFP figures for October, may not be released at all. This would make it even more difficult for the Federal Reserve to determine if a rate cut is necessary. Particularly if no extreme figures are seen for November. According to the Chicago exchange, the possibility of a rate cut in December is at 50%, the lowest in over a month. NASDAQ (USA100) - Stock Market Declines The stock market saw its strongest decline of the week yesterday, with the NASDAQ falling by 2.20% and the Dow Jones by 1.65%. The decline is largely being attributed to fears the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates unchanged in December. NASDAQ (USA100) - Daily Chart Tech heavyweights also contributed to the decline as investors worried about fewer expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. NVIDIA illustrates this effect clearly. Overall, 84% of the NASDAQ’s most influential stocks fell on Thursday, signalling strong downward momentum. NVIDIA was one of the main drivers as the stock fell 3.58% and is the most influential stock holding the largest weight. NVIDIA also continued to decline on Friday, with the stock trading 0.50% lower during the Asian session. A key factor for NVIDIA and the technology market will be NVIDIA’s earnings report on November 19th. Analysts’ expectations vary, with estimates ranging from $1.17 to $1.23. Some forecast stronger results, while others remain cautious. They also note the figure must exceed expectations by at least 5–6% to boost demand. As per yesterday’s article, a lack of Fed rate cuts may distort the market’s pricing of US indices. In that case, the NASDAQ may continue falling toward $24,303.10. This decline could continue as long as the Fed issues dovish guidance for 2026. If the Federal Reserve takes a more hawkish approach, the decline could potentially be even stronger. However, this is not something which economists are currently indicating. Most economists advise the Federal Reserve will continue to cut, but the frequency is not known. US Dollar Index - Hawkish Fed Comments Unable to Support The Dollar The US Dollar continued to decline on Thursday despite the more hawkish tone from the Federal Open Market Committee. However, there is still some concern over the potential for the Dollar to maintain its value while the Fed lowers rates. Reports from the last 24 hours confirm that European officials are exploring the option of pooling Dollars among non-US central banks. This is being done in order to reduce reliance on US funding mechanisms and the US financial system. US Dollar Index 3-Hour Chart The hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve does not yet support the US Dollar Index. However, investors will continue to monitor this. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he supports holding rates steady until inflation shows clear progress. Boston Fed President Susan Collins agreed that rates should remain unchanged while the labour market stays stable. Collins’ stance is especially notable because she previously voted twice in favour of easing monetary policy, yet now appears more cautious. With these shifting views, a pause in the Fed’s “dovish” cycle in December seems increasingly likely. However, upcoming economic data, set to flow again as the government restarts operations, will play a critical role in shaping officials’ final decisions. Even a modest uptick in inflation, from 3.0% to 3.1%, could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish position on rate cuts. In such a scenario, the US Dollar may strengthen, while gold and equity markets could face renewed downward pressure. Key Takeaway Points: Market chances for a December rate cut fell to 50%, the lowest in over a month. Stocks and Gold reacted negatively. If the Fed does not cut in December, the NASDAQ may potentially keep falling toward $24,303.10 US stocks fell sharply, with NASDAQ down 2.20%, driven by tech heavyweights like NVIDIA. NVIDIA remains a key market driver, with 19 November earnings needing 5-6% above expectations to boost demand. US Dollar Index weakened despite hawkish Fed signals; European officials are considering pooling dollars to reduce reliance on the US. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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+0.20 USDT 0xAa13BF2bE586CA67BD4F381794AE266C435**** 0xd6f2477d9fb9358b165c772c82b345df3e3edd13a6c12d08c87b0a425cb416ce Nov-13-2025 16:34:55 Викторина в чате РН

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US30 market structure and outlook The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a major global index often treated as a forex-derived instrument when traded against the USD, reflecting the performance of 30 of the largest blue-chip companies in the United States. As one of the most actively traded indices, the US30 is highly sensitive to monetary policy expectations and macroeconomic sentiment. Today’s US30 fundamental analysis focuses on USD-driven catalysts, particularly remarks expected from Federal Reserve officials Jeffrey Schmid and Lorie Logan, both FOMC-linked policymakers whose speeches may provide subtle clues about future interest-rate direction. Any unexpectedly hawkish tone could strengthen the USD and apply downward pressure on equity indices like the US30, while natural-gas inventory data from the EIA may influence inflation-related sentiment if supply deviations trigger energy-price volatility. Together, these events heighten intraday macro sensitivity and may create sharp US30 price action volatility around the speech sessions. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the US30 H4 chart technical analysis, price action shows a clear upward-sloping regression channel, with the index recently dropping from the upper boundary into the mid-band after printing several sharp bearish candles. Despite this correction, the overall trend structure remains bullish, with the channel maintaining higher highs and higher lows. The Ichimoku Cloud remains green, indicating medium-term bullish sentiment; however, the candles have slipped below the baseline (Kijun-sen), signaling short-term weakness. The leading span B is horizontal, while leading span A shows a brief downward dip but has recently turned upward again, keeping the cloud bullish. The lower cloud boundary is flat, showing temporary consolidation pressure. Meanwhile, the %R (14) oscillator is deeply oversold at –87.54, indicating the market may be near short-term exhaustion and could be preparing for a rebound within the broader bullish channel. Overall, US30 price action remains structurally upward but is experiencing a corrective pullback inside the trend. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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Operation date: 13 Nov 2025 04:48 Operation ID: 2274246730 Operation type: transfer Status: success Amount: 20.98 USD Comment: Withdraw to XtraProfit from Crypto Botics Limited From: P1077875705

Спасибо за викторину! *****0551692b8F4e925C6fF 0.2 USDT Bep-20 0xd6f2477d9fb9358b165c772c82b345df3e3edd13a6c12d08c87b0a425cb416ce 2025-11-13 14:34:55.

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Спасибо за бонус Your deposit of 0.2 USDT is now available in your Binance account. 12 нояб. 2025 г., 17:25 0x5649c76e5744fa2ccbbb4091877770432e99f78bc3b5ceb1e44e3d3ed43cfa69 Викторина в чате Profit-Hunters

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Спасибо за бонус Your deposit of 0.1 USDT is now available in your Binance account. 11 нояб. 2025 г., 17:28 0x3284b4a0d7925f8a7222b253f7f6c88f9ce2b950421a1c6a341aefd6566ec7ed Викторина в чате Profit-Hunters

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Paid us 8 USDT : (Nov-13-2025 12:29:04 AM UTC) https://bscscan.com/tx/0x29b58c8705dd547935576ad6460fb26bb949fcef05624f066e26d265530eb385

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Спасибо за рефбек Your deposit of 1.2 USDT is now available in your Binance account. 11 нояб. 2025 г., 12:31 0x534a12f572153a41b9c84a1cd53eb08e1dca5c2434a4ea07cb4b2fe4617f12c7 рефбек за xau от портала Profit-Hunters

0.20 USDT 0x8D1565265BD41926d6A9B1608bAE1561cC**** 0xd6f2477d9fb9358b165c772c82b345df3e3edd13a6c12d08c87b0a425cb416ce Nov-13-2025 16:34:55

Спасибо за полезную викторину! 0x4C0ec75B56e1974************************* 0.2 USDT - Nov-13-2025 02:34:55 PM UTC 0xd6f2477d9fb9358b165c772c82b345df3e3edd13a6c12d08c87b0a425cb416ce

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