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Payeer: Date: 2025-07-02 16:56:33 ID: 2238386542 Details: P1111317622 > P1050055 Amount: 0.50 USD Comment: ACHIEVERSF Payeer: Date: 2025-07-01 14:51:09 ID: 2238053881 Details: P1111317622 > P1050055 Amount: 0.50 USD Comment: VEVRE

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USDT-BEP20: 0x62fb97ddd2341c3ee46caa118bf9bf872c0ffbe5708cadc55203c3fd7f4824ee Jul-03-2025 06:46:38 AM UTC 10 BSC-USD

Date: 3rd July 2025. Markets Soar as Vietnam Tariff Deal Eases Trade Tensions Ahead of Key Jobs Report. Global financial markets moved higher this week, with Wall Street hitting fresh record highs after President Donald Trump announced a last-minute trade agreement with Vietnam, easing concerns about aggressive tariff hikes. The deal, finalised just days ahead of a July 9 deadline, marks the third such trade accord under the administration’s push for ‘reciprocal tariffs’ and offers a temporary sigh of relief to investors navigating an increasingly volatile global outlook. But while the headline deal offered a near-term boost to equities, underlying tensions around fiscal policy, global debt burdens, and upcoming US jobs data kept markets on edge. Vietnam Trade Agreement Lifts Sentiment, but Tariffs Still High Trump’s announcement confirmed that Vietnamese exports to the US will be subject to a 20% tariff, significantly lower than the threatened 46%, but still more than double historical rates. In return, Vietnam will drop tariffs on US goods. The agreement arrives amid growing pressure on America’s trading partners to meet Washington’s demands. Dozens of economies, including Japan and the EU, are still racing to finalise similar deals before steep tariff increases take effect on July 9. Trump has already warned Japan that if negotiations fail, tariffs could spike to 30–35%, well above the temporary 10% rate introduced earlier this year. The broader message: the risk of global tariff escalation remains very real. Wall Street Breaks Records as Investors Bet on Policy Clarity US equities cheered the trade progress. The S&P 500 climbed 0.47%, the Nasdaq surged 0.94%, and both closed at new all-time highs. The Dow Jones edged slightly lower by 0.02%. Investors were also buoyed by renewed optimism around Trump’s proposed tax and spending package, which aims to make tax cuts permanent and scale back regulations. Yet, beneath the surface, uncertainty lingers. Treasury yields climbed as the Senate passed the OBBB bill, stoking fears about deficit spending. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.277%, while the 2-year rate edged up to 3.785%. Bond markets remain sensitive to the growing national debt and the prospect of further supply. Tax Bill Faces Hurdles, Fuels Fiscal Concerns Trump’s ambitious tax and spending bill, valued at $3.3 trillion, is facing resistance in the House. While it proposes making earlier tax cuts permanent and includes deregulation efforts, critics warn it would significantly expand the national debt and cut social safety net programs. These concerns spilt into the bond market, with even Japanese government yields rising, despite a strong 30-year auction. Globally, investors are re-evaluating the balance between stimulus and sustainability. Dollar Pulls Back, Commodities Gain Currency markets reflected a mixed mood. The US dollar index (DXY) initially rallied to 97.152 but closed the day lower at 96.787, giving support to commodities. The British pound held firm at $1.3628 after nearly 1% losses the previous day. Political stability returned after UK PM Keir Starmer publicly backed Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, whose emotional parliamentary appearance followed controversy over welfare policy U-turns. The euro slipped to $1.1788, still near its recent high, while the yen weakened slightly to 143.84 per dollar. Gold prices firmed, and oil advanced sharply, with Brent crude nearing $69 and WTI above $67, following the Vietnam deal and ahead of this weekend’s OPEC+ meeting, where producers are expected to boost output quotas. Meanwhile, copper surged to a 3-month high, nearing $10,000 per ton on the London Metal Exchange, as traders scrambled to ship supplies to the US in anticipation of tariffs. LME inventories have fallen to their lowest since 2023, and the rush has pushed the market into what analysts call ‘an emotional frenzy.’ The LME recently stepped in with new rules to manage speculative positions. Asia Mixed as Tariff Risks and US Data Loom Asian stock markets were mixed on Thursday. Vietnam’s index rose 0.5% to a 2-year high, while the Vietnamese dong hit a record low of 26,229 per dollar. Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.1%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 1%, though China’s blue chips gained 0.5%. Investors remain cautious. AMP’s chief economist, Shane Oliver, warned that the Vietnam deal could set a precedent for similarly aggressive trade measures against Europe and Japan. South Korea’s President Lee Jae Myung also struck a pessimistic tone, saying US negotiations were ‘difficult’ and that a deal may not be reached in time. All Eyes on US Nonfarm Payrolls With the July 4 holiday approaching, markets are now laser-focused on Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report. While the consensus points to a 130,000-job increase, recent weakness in the ADP private payrolls, which showed a 33,000-job drop, suggests downside risks. The services sector bore the brunt of the losses, especially in professional, educational, and health services, while leisure and manufacturing saw modest gains. Bloomberg’s whisper number has already dropped to 98,000, indicating that expectations are being recalibrated. The data could prove decisive in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates. Conclusion: A Calm Before the Storm? While markets welcomed the easing of trade tensions with Vietnam, the bigger picture remains uncertain. The threat of broader tariff hikes, unresolved fiscal debates in Congress, and a pivotal US jobs report all loom large. Investors are watching closely, not just for short-term reactions but for clues about the direction of monetary policy, global trade, and commodity demand in the second half of 2025. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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