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Date: 23rd March 2026. How Did the Fed Prompt Weaker Stocks and a Stronger US Dollar? The US is attempting to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by escalating the conflict with a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran. President Trump himself made the announcement that Iran has two-days to open the Strait of Hormuz, but the exact expiry is not known. According to the report, the ultimatum will expire at some point today. If they did not comply, the US would attack Iran’s energy infrastructure, starting with power plants. Analysts see this as a major escalation in the conflict which is likely to trigger a stronger retaliation from Iran. Security and defence analysts, such as Michael Clarke, advise investors that if the US does escalate, Iran will likely increase its attacks on oil infrastructure across Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. How are markets reacting? Crude Oil - Trump’s Ultimatum Pushes Oil Prices Higher HFM - Crude Oil Daily Chart Towards the end of last week, oil prices were attempting to rise as investors grew concerned about significant damage to energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf region. These concerns stemmed from the escalation of the US-Iran conflict. Even though the asset did not rise to new highs, the price saw limited downward price movement and generally remained elevated. However, Crude oil prices are finding momentum this morning due to the new US ultimatum to Iran. Further supporting the bullish momentum, Qatari officials told journalists that the country had lost 17% of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) production capacity. They added that restoring this capacity could take up to five years. In addition, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced the need for a ground operation. This could further escalate geopolitical tensions. The US has tried various moves attempting to bring oil prices down, such as escorting tankers out of the Strait of Hormuz. The latest attempt was the White House’s willingness to partially lift sanctions on oil produced in the Islamic Republic. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that this decision could be made within the next three to four days. For this reason, volatility continues, with many analysts advising the price of Crude Oil could remain high for some years. In terms of technical analysis, the price is forming an ascending triangle, which points toward higher prices. In addition to this, on smaller timeframes, the price continues to form higher highs and trade above major moving averages. XAUUSD (GOLD) - Middle East Countries Sell Some Gold Reserves Gold had its worst week in almost 40 years with the asset declining for four consecutive days, totalling more than 17%. Gold prices are declining for three main reasons. The first reason is that investors believe global central banks will increase interest rates over the next 12-months, which would make the commodity less attractive. Another factor weighing on Gold prices is that several Middle Eastern countries are selling part of their Gold reserves to offset lost income from oil sales. By selling Gold reserves, these countries are supporting their fiscal needs. The third reason for the downward pressure is related to Gold’s high price. According to analysts such as Jefferies, markets are unwilling to buy Gold at such high prices in these weak market conditions. Although Gold is a safe-haven asset and a well-known hedge against inflation, its high price makes it less attractive. HFM - Gold Daily Chart Gold prices trade at their lowest level since mid-November 2025. Support levels can be seen for the commodity at $3,885, however, the main psychological price for investors remains $4,000. If the US Dollar Index does not rise above 100.00, the possibility of Gold rebounding increases. Key Takeaway: Trump gave Iran a 48-hour deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices are rising as traders price in higher supply disruption risks. Qatar’s LNG capacity loss adds to fears of prolonged energy shortages. Gold remains under pressure from rate expectations, reserve sales, and high prices. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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