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Date:14th January 2026. Slight Drop in Inflation Fails to Boost the Stock Markets. The US released its inflation rate for December yesterday, confirming no significant rise in inflation. However, investors had previously set forecasts indicating a slight rise. Investors consider lower inflation rates to be positive for the stock market due to their impact on interest rates. Nonetheless, the stock market was not able to maintain its upward price momentum. The S&P500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones initially saw a positive reaction to the Consumer Price Index (inflation) release. However, all ultimately ended the day lower with the Dow Jones witnessing the strongest decline (-0.76%). Why is the stock market witnessing a decline despite better-than-expected inflation figures? US Consumer Inflation The US inflation rate held at 2.7%, matching analysts’ expectations. Core inflation also remained unchanged at 2.6%, despite analysts expecting it to rise to 2.7%. Because inflation came in slightly better than expected, the stock market initially rose. The S&P 500 gained 0.39%, the Nasdaq rose 0.50%, and the Dow Jones increased 0.40%. The assets later declined as investors concluded that inflation was not low enough to convince the Federal Reserve to cut rates more frequently. According to reports, the chances of the Fed pausing this month rose from 95% to 97% and in March from 57% to 71%. As a result, the US Dollar rose in value while the stock market fell. In addition, investors are also monitoring the rise in Oil prices which have risen to a two-month high. The Federal Reserve, inflation, and interest rates will remain in the spotlight this afternoon. The US will make public its producer inflation rate, which will again impact both future CPI and interest rates. In addition, six members of the Fed’s voting committee will speak this afternoon. The Federal Open Market Committee members are likely to comment on the Fed’s independence, the investigation into the chairman, and interest rates. Those scheduled to give speeches include Mr Paulson, Mr Miran, Mr Kashkari, Mr Bostic, and Mr William. If the Fed maintains its hawkish tone and indicates no rate cuts in the first quarter, the stock market is likely to decline further. Trump’s Push to Lower Interest Rates & Boost the Property Market President Trump unveiled a plan to ban large institutional investors from buying family homes to curb rising housing prices. Critics argue the move is largely symbolic as investor strategies continue to evolve. Supporters believe the policy could help restore balance to the housing market. Possible consequences include legal challenges, increased market volatility, and only a modest effect on overall affordability. In addition, the US administration is also considering capping interest rates on Credit Cards. In response to both developments, certain stocks fell in value. For example, American Express stocks have fallen 7%, Visa 8%, and Mastercard almost 6%. JP Morgan Earnings Report Other stocks witnessing a significant decline are JP Morgan Stocks, which fell 4.00%. JP Morgan delivered a mixed but solid earnings report, supported by strong trading revenue, steady net interest income, and resilient asset and wealth management performance. However, headline results were weighed down by higher credit reserves tied to the Apple Card acquisition and weaker investment banking activity. The CEO was cautiously optimistic about the US economy while acknowledging regulatory and credit risks, leaving investor sentiment balanced between the bank’s underlying strength and near-term headwinds. S&P500 The S&P 500 is one of the indices that is most exposed to assets negatively affected by this move. Out of the most influential stocks for the S&P 500, only 50% rose in value on Tuesday, which is not high enough to obtain a buy signal. In addition, the VIX index is also continuing to rise, pointing towards a lower risk appetite amongst traders. Even with the recent decline, the price of the S&P 500 remains above the 75-Bar Exponential Moving Average. The RSI remains at a neutral level on the 2-hour chart and the price is trading below the VWAP. For this reason, the price is not obtaining an all-round signal pointing in one direction. However, after today’s Federal Reserve speeches and PPI release the index may form a stronger sense of direction. In the short term, if the price remains below $6,961.45, the asset is likely to maintain its current sell signal from Moving Averages. HFM - S&P 500 2-Hour Chart Key Takeaways: US inflation came in slightly better than expected for stocks, but not low enough to shift Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. Stocks initially rose after the CPI release but closed lower as investors priced in a prolonged Fed pause. Rising oil prices and a stronger US Dollar added further pressure to equity markets. Trump’s proposals targeting housing investors and credit card rates weighed on financial and payment stocks. Market direction now hinges on upcoming PPI data and Federal Reserve speeches, with volatility increasing. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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0.1 USDT 0x8D1565265BD41926d6A9B1608bAE1561c* 0x6fada4eecfbd611ec63e4deb991841851cd007808cee8c7d34bba076b9e6394b Jan-13-2026 17:31:52

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