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Kiwi Short Term Price Action Outlook The New Zealand Dollar versus the US Dollar (NZDUSD), commonly nicknamed the “Kiwi,” is a major forex pair that reflects the relative strength of New Zealand’s economy against the US. Today, the NZD is influenced by a combination of domestic economic data and US macroeconomic indicators. On the fundamental side, New Zealand’s Performance of Manufacturing Index and Food Price Index releases are expected to provide insights into local economic activity and inflation trends, while US Retail Sales, New York Manufacturing Index, Import Price Index, and other consumer spending and production reports will heavily impact USD strength. Positive US data may boost the dollar, applying downward pressure on NZD-USD, whereas stronger-than-expected NZ data could support Kiwi gains. Traders should closely monitor these releases, as shifts in consumer confidence, inflation expectations, and manufacturing output will likely drive short-term volatility in the NZD/USD daily chart and H4 price action. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Analyzing the NZD USD H4 chart, the pair is currently moving in a short-term bearish trend, trading below a well-defined red descending trend line that has been tested three times. The Kiwi price has reached the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with the long-term bullish blue trend line, creating a strong support zone. After touching this level, a green candle formed, suggesting a short-term correction. Price action is currently interacting with the Ichimoku Cloud, moving along its lower band, which has acted as additional support. The cloud itself is green, indicating potential bullish momentum if buyers step in. The %R indicator is at -89.9, recently turning upward but still in the oversold territory below -80%, signaling a possible rebound. Overall, this H4 setup suggests that while bearish momentum dominates short-term moves, the support confluence at the 0.236 Fibonacci level and lower cloud band could trigger corrective upward movement, offering traders potential buy opportunities within the context of the overall downtrend. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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S&P 500 H4 Chart Bullish Channel Analysis The S&P 500 Index, often referred to as the “SPX” or simply “the S&P,” is one of the most widely followed equity benchmarks in the world, tracking the performance of 500 leading publicly traded companies in the United States. It serves as a key barometer of U.S. economic health and investor sentiment, making it a cornerstone for global market participants. Today’s focus is on its 4-hour chart price action and fundamental catalysts. On the fundamental side, markets are awaiting a cluster of high-impact U.S. data releases, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI, which will provide insight into wholesale inflation trends and potential future consumer price pressures. Alongside these, weekly jobless claims will shed light on labor market resilience, while speeches from FOMC members Alberto Musalem and Thomas Barkin may influence rate expectations. Traders will also watch for mortgage delinquency data and natural gas storage figures for broader economic signals. Stronger-than-expected PPI or hawkish Fed commentary could strengthen the USD and weigh on equities, while softer readings or dovish tones may support continued bullish momentum in the S&P 500. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the technical side, the S&P 500 H4 chart shows that after a sharp and sudden bearish trend, the market has entered a steady bullish momentum, moving within an ascending price channel. If the bulls maintain control, price could push toward the upper band of the channel; however, the visible divergence in the MACD indicators signals a potential shift in trend. If a pullback occurs, the first key support is at 6453.96, a level that has seen repeated price reactions, followed by the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at 6433.37. MACD readings show the histogram at 4.74, the MACD line at 26.64, and the signal line at 21.90, indicating waning bullish momentum. The Williams %R is at -15.57, placing the market near overbought territory, which further supports the possibility of a short-term correction before any sustained upward move. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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