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Date: 2nd April 2026. Stock Market Today: Futures Fall as Iran Tensions Lift Oil Above $100. Global markets turned cautious on Thursday, with US equity futures moving lower as uncertainty surrounding the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran persists. Comments from Donald Trump indicated that military operations are not yet complete, reducing expectations for a near-term resolution and keeping investors on the defensive. At the time of writing, S&P 500 futures are down approximately 1.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures are underperforming with losses near 1.6%. Dow Jones futures are also trading lower, reflecting a broader pullback in risk appetite as the week draws to a close. Energy Markets Remain the Key Driver Oil continues to play a central role in shaping market direction. Both Brent Crude Oil and West Texas Intermediate have moved back above the $100 level, reversing earlier declines as supply concerns resurface. Since the escalation of the conflict in late February, oil prices have risen significantly, with volatility driven largely by uncertainty around supply routes. In particular, the Strait of Hormuz remains a critical focal point for traders, given its importance in global energy transportation. Any disruption or confirmation of reopening, could lead to sharp price reactions across energy markets and beyond. From Oil Shock to Energy Shock The current environment is increasingly being viewed as a broader energy shock rather than a traditional oil-driven event, according to Bank of America. This reflects the evolving structure of the global economy, which is now more sensitive to disruptions across the wider energy complex. Rather than focusing solely on crude, markets are reacting to pressures across natural gas, supply chains, and industrial inputs. This has important implications for inflation and growth expectations, which are now moving in opposite directions. US growth is projected to slow to 2.3% in 2026 Inflation is expected to rise to 3.6% Global growth forecasts have been revised lower Inflation projections have been revised higher This combination points to a mild stagflationary backdrop, which typically creates a more challenging environment for equities and risk assets. Global Market Reaction: Signs of Rotation Equity markets are beginning to show early signs of rotation, particularly within the technology sector. High-growth names, including AI leaders such as Nvidia, are losing momentum after an extended period of strong performance. This shift is largely driven by macro factors. As inflation expectations remain elevated, bond yields tend to stay higher, which in turn puts pressure on growth valuations. As a result, investors are gradually adjusting their positioning, with some rotation towards more defensive sectors becoming evident. While this does not necessarily signal a long-term trend reversal, it highlights a change in short-term market leadership that traders should monitor closely. The more cautious tone is reflected across global markets. Asian equities have moved lower, with some indices posting notable declines following the latest geopolitical developments. At the same time, energy prices have resumed their upward trajectory, while European natural gas prices have also edged higher. Interestingly, gold prices have declined despite ongoing geopolitical tensions. This suggests that recent moves may be driven more by positioning adjustments and profit-taking rather than a traditional flight to safety. Key Events Ahead With markets heading into the Good Friday closure, focus now shifts to upcoming US economic data, which could provide further direction. Key releases to monitor include: Weekly jobless claims The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report These indicators will be closely watched for signals on the strength of the labour market and the broader economic outlook, particularly in the context of rising energy prices. Conclusion Markets remain highly sensitive to geopolitical developments, with energy prices acting as the primary transmission channel into broader asset classes. The lack of clarity around the Iran conflict continues to limit risk appetite and reinforce a more cautious trading environment. In the near term, traders should expect: Continued headline-driven volatility Strong correlation between oil and equity markets Ongoing pressure on risk sentiment if tensions persist Maintaining flexibility and disciplined risk management remains essential as markets navigate this complex backdrop. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. 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USDJPY Technical Analysis – 31st MAR, 2026 USDJPY - USDJPY has recently tested a significant low at 158.64, marking a key support point within its medium-term structure USDJPY Technical Analysis – Low 158.64 (31 March 2026) Multi-Timeframe Structure USDJPY has recently tested a significant low at 158.64, marking a key support point within its medium-term structure. On the weekly chart, the pair has been in a pronounced uptrend since mid-2025, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, with the latest pullback to 158.64 representing a corrective phase within the broader bullish cycle. This level is particularly important as it sits just below the psychological 159.00 barrier, highlighting its role as a structural pivot. On the daily timeframe, the move toward 158.64 reflects profit-taking after the recent surge toward 160.00, suggesting that while buyers remain dominant in the longer term, short-term sentiment has shifted toward consolidation. The 4-hour chart shows price stabilizing around 158.70–158.90, indicating that traders are reassessing risk before committing to further upside. Indicators and Momentum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 42, reflecting neutral-to-bearish momentum after unwinding from overbought conditions earlier in March. This suggests that downside pressure has eased, but buyers have yet to fully reassert control. The MACD histogram remains negative, with the signal line trending lower, confirming short-term bearish momentum. However, the slope is flattening, hinting at potential stabilization. The 50-day moving average sits near 156.80, providing dynamic support, while the 200-day moving average around 150.50 reinforces the broader bullish bias. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low at 152.30 to the high at 159.97 places the 38.2% retracement at 157.50 and the 61.8% retracement at 155.25, both of which are critical support zones should a deeper correction unfold. Key Levels and Scenarios • Support: Immediate support rests at 158.64, the recent low. Below this, 157.50 (Fibonacci 38.2%) and 155.25 (Fibonacci 61.8%) serve as deeper support zones. • Resistance: On the upside, resistance is capped at 159.50, followed by 159.97, the recent high. A break above this level would expose 162.00, which represents the next psychological barrier. • Bullish Scenario: If USDJPY sustains above 158.64 and buyers regain momentum, the pair may retest 159.50, with potential extension toward 159.97 and 162.00. This scenario would align with continued yen weakness and strong U.S. dollar demand. • Bearish Scenario: Failure to defend 158.64 would likely trigger a corrective pullback, exposing 157.50 and 155.25. In this case, RSI could drift lower, validating a short-term retracement within the broader uptrend. Narrative Outlook USDJPY is at a critical inflection point around 158.64, balancing between corrective pressure and the potential for renewed bullish momentum. The broader structure remains firmly bullish, supported by higher timeframe trends and the alignment of moving averages. However, the recent pullback highlights the importance of consolidation before another leg higher. Traders should closely monitor price action around 158.64, as holding above this level would reinforce bullish dominance, while a break below could signal the start of a deeper retracement toward 157.50–155.25. In essence, USDJPY’s trajectory hinges on whether 158.64 serves as a durable base for renewed upside, or whether sellers extend the correction before the pair resumes its longer-term upward cycle. #fxopen #forex #forexanalysis Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand. For in-depth analysis, please check ...

USDCHF Technical Analysis – 31st MAR, 2026 USDCHF – USDCHF has recently tested a significant low at 0.7927, marking one of the weakest points for the pair USDCHF Technical Analysis – Low 0.7927 (31 March 2026) Multi-Timeframe Structure USDCHF has recently tested a significant low at 0.7927, marking one of the weakest points for the pair in recent months. On the weekly chart, the pair has been trending lower since early 2026, consistently forming lower highs around 0.8150–0.8050. This structural decline reflects persistent Swiss franc strength, supported by safe-haven demand, while the U.S. dollar has softened amid shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. On the daily timeframe, the 0.7927 low represents a decisive break below the prior consolidation zone near 0.8000, suggesting bearish continuation. The 4-hour chart highlights a modest rebound attempt from the low, but price action remains capped below 0.7960, indicating sellers are still firmly in control. Indicators and Momentum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 32, firmly in oversold territory. This signals caution, as while downside momentum is stretched, oversold conditions often precede corrective bounces. The MACD histogram remains negative, with the signal line diverging lower, confirming sustained bearish momentum. The 50-day moving average sits near 0.8050, acting as immediate dynamic resistance, while the 200-day moving average around 0.8200 reinforces the broader bearish bias. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing high at 0.8150 to the low at 0.7927 places the 38.2% retracement at 0.8015 and the 61.8% retracement at 0.8060, both of which are critical resistance checkpoints for any rebound attempt. Key Levels and Scenarios • Support: Immediate support rests at 0.7927, the recent low. A break below this level would expose 0.7900, followed by 0.7850, which aligns with prior demand zones from late 2020. • Resistance: On the upside, initial resistance is seen at 0.8015 (Fibonacci 38.2%), followed by 0.8060 (Fibonacci 61.8%). A sustained break above 0.8150 would be required to shift sentiment toward bullish recovery. • Bullish Scenario: If USDCHF holds above 0.7927 and momentum indicators confirm divergence, buyers may target 0.8015 and 0.8060, with potential extension toward 0.8150. This scenario would likely require a softer U.S. dollar backdrop or reduced safe-haven demand for the Swiss franc. • Bearish Scenario: Failure to defend 0.7927 would likely accelerate selling pressure, exposing 0.7900 and 0.7850. In this case, RSI could remain oversold, validating continuation of the downtrend. Narrative Outlook USDCHF is at a critical inflection point around 0.7927, balancing between oversold conditions and the risk of further bearish continuation. The broader structure remains firmly bearish, supported by the alignment of moving averages and persistent weakness in momentum indicators. However, the oversold RSI suggests that a corrective bounce cannot be ruled out, particularly if macroeconomic catalysts favor the U.S. dollar. Traders should closely monitor price action around 0.8015–0.8060, as rejection here would reinforce bearish dominance, while a break above could signal the start of a medium-term recovery. In essence, USDCHF’s trajectory hinges on whether 0.7927 holds firm as a base, setting the stage for renewed upside, or whether sellers push the pair into deeper retracement territory. #fxopen #forex #forexanalysis Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand. For in-depth analysis, please check ...

USDCAD Technical Analysis – 31st MAR, 2026 USDCAD – USDCAD has recently registered a significant high at 1.3966, marking one of the strongest levels for the pair USDCAD Technical Analysis – High 1.3966 (31 March 2026) Multi-Timeframe Structure USDCAD has recently registered a significant high at 1.3966, marking one of the strongest levels for the pair in recent years. On the weekly chart, the pair has been trending higher since late 2025, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, with the latest surge extending beyond the psychological 1.3900 barrier. This breakout underscores persistent U.S. dollar strength, supported by resilient U.S. economic data and higher yields, contrasted with softer Canadian fundamentals tied to oil price volatility. On the daily timeframe, the move toward 1.3966 represents an extension of the bullish cycle, though candles show hesitation with upper wicks, suggesting profit-taking at elevated levels. The 4-hour chart highlights consolidation just below 1.3940, indicating that traders are reassessing risk before committing to further upside. Indicators and Momentum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 72, firmly in overbought territory. This signals caution, as momentum may be stretched, increasing the likelihood of a corrective pullback. The MACD histogram remains positive, with the signal line diverging higher, confirming strong bullish momentum. However, the steep slope suggests risk of near-term exhaustion. The 50-day moving average sits near 1.3740, providing dynamic support, while the 200-day moving average around 1.3560 reinforces the broader bullish bias. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low at 1.3650 to the high at 1.3966 places the 38.2% retracement at 1.3845 and the 61.8% retracement at 1.3770, both of which are critical support zones should a correction unfold. Key Levels and Scenarios • Support: Immediate support rests at 1.3900, followed by 1.3845 (Fibonacci 38.2%). Deeper support lies at 1.3770, aligning with the 61.8% retracement and the 50-day moving average. • Resistance: On the upside, resistance is capped at 1.3966, the recent high. A break above this level would expose 1.4000, followed by 1.4075, which represents the next psychological barrier. • Bullish Scenario: If USDCAD sustains above 1.3900 and buyers regain momentum, the pair may retest 1.3966, with potential extension toward 1.4000 and 1.4075. This scenario would align with continued U.S. dollar strength and weaker oil prices impacting the Canadian dollar. • Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.3900 would likely trigger a corrective pullback, exposing 1.3845 and 1.3770. In this case, RSI could unwind from overbought levels, validating a short-term retracement within the broader uptrend. Narrative Outlook USDCAD is at a critical inflection point around 1.3966, balancing between sustained bullish momentum and the risk of near-term correction. The broader structure remains firmly bullish, supported by higher timeframe trends and the alignment of moving averages. However, the overbought RSI and signs of hesitation in daily candles suggest caution, as profit-taking could trigger a retracement toward 1.3845–1.3770 before buyers reassert control. Traders should closely monitor price action around 1.3900, as holding above this level would reinforce bullish dominance, while a break below could signal the start of a corrective phase. In essence, USDCAD’s trajectory hinges on whether 1.3966 serves as a springboard for further gains, or whether the pair consolidates lower to reset momentum before resuming its upward cycle. #fxopen #forex #forexanalysis Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand. For in-depth analysis, please check ...

NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 31st MAR, 2026 NZDUSD – NZDUSD has recently tested a significant low at 0.5743, marking one of the weakest points for the pair NZDUSD Technical Analysis – Low 0.5743 (31 March 2026) Multi-Timeframe Structure NZDUSD has recently tested a significant low at 0.5743, marking one of the weakest points for the pair in recent years. On the weekly chart, the pair has been in a sustained downtrend since mid-2025, consistently forming lower highs around 0.6000–0.6100. This structural decline reflects persistent U.S. dollar strength and ongoing weakness in New Zealand’s growth outlook, particularly tied to commodity demand and global risk sentiment. On the daily timeframe, the 0.5743 low represents a decisive break below the prior consolidation zone near 0.5800, suggesting bearish continuation. The 4-hour chart highlights a modest rebound attempt from the low, but price action remains capped below 0.5780, indicating sellers are still firmly in control. Indicators and Momentum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 30, firmly in oversold territory. This signals caution, as while downside momentum is stretched, oversold conditions often precede corrective bounces. The MACD histogram remains negative, with the signal line diverging lower, confirming sustained bearish momentum. The 50-day moving average sits near 0.5900, acting as immediate dynamic resistance, while the 200-day moving average around 0.6050 reinforces the broader bearish bias. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing high at 0.6000 to the low at 0.5743 places the 38.2% retracement at 0.5840 and the 61.8% retracement at 0.5905, both of which are critical resistance checkpoints for any rebound attempt. Key Levels and Scenarios • Support: Immediate support rests at 0.5743, the recent low. A break below this level would expose 0.5700, followed by 0.5650, which aligns with prior demand zones from early 2020. • Resistance: On the upside, initial resistance is seen at 0.5840 (Fibonacci 38.2%), followed by 0.5905 (Fibonacci 61.8%). A sustained break above 0.6000 would be required to shift sentiment toward bullish recovery. • Bullish Scenario: If NZDUSD holds above 0.5743 and momentum indicators confirm divergence, buyers may target 0.5840 and 0.5905, with potential extension toward 0.6000. This scenario would likely require a softer U.S. dollar backdrop or stronger New Zealand economic data. • Bearish Scenario: Failure to defend 0.5743 would likely accelerate selling pressure, exposing 0.5700 and 0.5650. In this case, RSI could remain oversold, validating continuation of the downtrend. Narrative Outlook NZDUSD is at a critical inflection point around 0.5743, balancing between oversold conditions and the risk of further bearish continuation. The broader structure remains firmly bearish, supported by the alignment of moving averages and persistent weakness in momentum indicators. However, the oversold RSI suggests that a corrective bounce cannot be ruled out, particularly if macroeconomic catalysts favor the kiwi. Traders should closely monitor price action around 0.5840–0.5905, as rejection here would reinforce bearish dominance, while a break above could signal the start of a medium-term recovery. In essence, NZDUSD’s trajectory hinges on whether 0.5743 holds firm as a base, setting the stage for renewed upside, or whether sellers push the pair into deeper retracement territory. #fxopen #forex #forexanalysis Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand. For in-depth analysis, please check ...

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 31st MAR, 2026 GBPUSD – GBPUSD has recently registered a significant high at 1.3264, marking a key resistance point within its medium-term structure GBPUSD Technical Analysis – High 1.3264 (31 March 2026) Multi-Timeframe Structure GBPUSD has recently registered a significant high at 1.3264, marking a key resistance point within its medium-term structure. On the weekly chart, the pair has been trending higher since late 2025, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, with the latest surge extending beyond the psychological 1.3200 barrier. This breakout underscores sterling strength, supported by resilient U.K. economic data and expectations of a more balanced stance from the Bank of England compared to the Federal Reserve. On the daily timeframe, the move toward 1.3264 represents an extension of the bullish cycle, though candles show hesitation with upper wicks, suggesting profit-taking at elevated levels. The 4-hour chart highlights consolidation just below 1.3250, indicating that traders are reassessing risk before committing to further upside. Indicators and Momentum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 68, approaching overbought territory. This signals caution, as momentum may be stretched, increasing the likelihood of a corrective pullback. The MACD histogram remains positive, with the signal line diverging higher, confirming strong bullish momentum. However, the steep slope suggests risk of near-term exhaustion. The 50-day moving average sits near 1.3100, providing dynamic support, while the 200-day moving average around 1.2950 reinforces the broader bullish bias. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low at 1.3005 to the high at 1.3264 places the 38.2% retracement at 1.3165 and the 61.8% retracement at 1.3105, both of which are critical support zones should a correction unfold. Key Levels and Scenarios • Support: Immediate support rests at 1.3220, followed by 1.3165 (Fibonacci 38.2%). Deeper support lies at 1.3105, aligning with the 61.8% retracement and the 50-day moving average. • Resistance: On the upside, resistance is capped at 1.3264, the recent high. A break above this level would expose 1.3320, followed by 1.3400, which represents the next psychological barrier. • Bullish Scenario: If GBPUSD sustains above 1.3220 and buyers regain momentum, the pair may retest 1.3264, with potential extension toward 1.3320 and 1.3400. This scenario would align with continued sterling strength and softer U.S. dollar sentiment. • Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.3220 would likely trigger a corrective pullback, exposing 1.3165 and 1.3105. In this case, RSI could unwind from near-overbought levels, validating a short-term retracement within the broader uptrend. Narrative Outlook GBPUSD is at a critical inflection point around 1.3264, balancing between sustained bullish momentum and the risk of near-term correction. The broader structure remains firmly bullish, supported by higher timeframe trends and the alignment of moving averages. However, the near-overbought RSI and signs of hesitation in daily candles suggest caution, as profit-taking could trigger a retracement toward 1.3165–1.3105 before buyers reassert control. Traders should closely monitor price action around 1.3220, as holding above this level would reinforce bullish dominance, while a break below could signal the start of a corrective phase. In essence, GBPUSD’s trajectory hinges on whether 1.3264 serves as a springboard for further gains, or whether the pair consolidates lower to reset momentum before resuming its upward cycle. #fxopen #forex #forexanalysis Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand. For in-depth analysis, please check ...

GBPJPY Technical Analysis – 31st MAR, 2026 GBPJPY – GBPJPY has recently registered a significant high at 211.19, marking one of the strongest levels GBPJPY Technical Analysis – High 211.19 (31 March 2026) Multi-Timeframe Structure GBPJPY has recently registered a significant high at 211.19, marking one of the strongest levels for the pair in recent years. On the weekly chart, the pair has been in a pronounced uptrend since mid-2025, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, with the latest surge extending beyond the psychological 210.00 barrier. This breakout underscores strong bullish momentum, driven by sterling resilience and yen weakness amid divergent monetary policies. On the daily timeframe, the move toward 211.19 represents an extension of the bullish cycle, though candles show signs of hesitation with upper wicks, suggesting profit-taking at elevated levels. The 4-hour chart highlights consolidation just below 211.00, indicating that traders are reassessing risk before committing to further upside. Indicators and Momentum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 71, firmly in overbought territory. This signals caution, as momentum may be stretched, increasing the likelihood of a corrective pullback. The MACD histogram remains positive, with the signal line diverging higher, confirming strong bullish momentum. However, the steep slope suggests risk of near-term exhaustion. The 50-day moving average sits near 206.00, providing dynamic support, while the 200-day moving average around 198.80 reinforces the broader bullish bias. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low at 202.30 to the high at 211.19 places the 38.2% retracement at 207.75 and the 61.8% retracement at 205.75, both of which are critical support zones should a correction unfold. Key Levels and Scenarios • Support: Immediate support rests at 209.50, followed by 207.75 (Fibonacci 38.2%). Deeper support lies at 205.75, aligning with the 61.8% retracement and the 50-day moving average. • Resistance: On the upside, resistance is capped at 211.19, the recent high. A break above this level would expose 213.00, followed by 215.00, which represents the next psychological barrier. • Bullish Scenario: If GBPJPY sustains above 209.50 and buyers regain momentum, the pair may retest 211.19, with potential extension toward 213.00 and 215.00. This scenario would align with continued yen weakness and strong risk appetite. • Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 209.50 would likely trigger a corrective pullback, exposing 207.75 and 205.75. In this case, RSI could unwind from overbought levels, validating a short-term retracement within the broader uptrend. Narrative Outlook GBPJPY is at a critical inflection point around 211.19, balancing between sustained bullish momentum and the risk of near-term correction. The broader structure remains firmly bullish, supported by higher timeframe trends and the alignment of moving averages. However, the overbought RSI and signs of hesitation in daily candles suggest caution, as profit-taking could trigger a retracement toward 207.75–205.75 before buyers reassert control. Traders should closely monitor price action around 209.50, as holding above this level would reinforce bullish dominance, while a break below could signal the start of a corrective phase. In essence, GBPJPY’s trajectory hinges on whether 211.19 serves as a springboard for further gains, or whether the pair consolidates lower to reset momentum before resuming its upward cycle. #fxopen #forex #forexanalysis Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand. For in-depth analysis, please check ...

EURUSD Technical Analysis – 31st MAR, 2026 EURUSD – EURUSD has recently registered a significant high at 1.1540, marking a key resistance point within its medium-term structure EURUSD Technical Analysis – High 1.1540 (31 March 2026) Multi-Timeframe Structure EURUSD has recently registered a significant high at 1.1540, marking a key resistance point within its medium-term structure. On the weekly chart, the pair has been trending lower since late 2025, with successive lower highs forming around 1.1700–1.1750. The test of 1.1540 represents a corrective rally within this broader downtrend, underscoring the importance of this level as a structural ceiling. On the daily timeframe, the move toward 1.1540 highlights a short-term bullish push, but candles show hesitation with upper wicks, suggesting profit-taking at elevated levels. The 4-hour chart reveals consolidation just below 1.1520, indicating that traders are reassessing risk before committing to further upside. Indicators and Momentum The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 63, reflecting bullish momentum but not yet overbought. This suggests room for further upside if resistance is breached. The MACD histogram remains positive, with the signal line diverging higher, confirming short-term bullish momentum. However, the slope is flattening, hinting at potential exhaustion. The 50-day moving average sits near 1.1480, providing immediate dynamic support, while the 200-day moving average around 1.1650 reinforces the broader bearish bias. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low at 1.1443 to the high at 1.1540 places the 38.2% retracement at 1.1505 and the 61.8% retracement at 1.1480, both of which are critical support zones should a correction unfold. Key Levels and Scenarios • Support: Immediate support rests at 1.1505 (Fibonacci 38.2%), followed by 1.1480 (Fibonacci 61.8%). Deeper support lies at 1.1443, the March low. • Resistance: On the upside, resistance is capped at 1.1540, the recent high. A break above this level would expose 1.1600, followed by 1.1650, which represents the next psychological barrier and the 200-day moving average. • Bullish Scenario: If EURUSD sustains above 1.1505 and buyers regain momentum, the pair may retest 1.1540, with potential extension toward 1.1600 and 1.1650. This scenario would align with stronger Eurozone data or softer U.S. dollar sentiment. • Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1505 would likely trigger a corrective pullback, exposing 1.1480 and 1.1443. In this case, RSI could unwind from current levels, validating a short-term retracement within the broader downtrend. Narrative Outlook EURUSD is at a critical inflection point around 1.1540, balancing between sustained bullish momentum and the risk of near-term correction. The broader structure remains neutral-to-bearish, supported by the alignment of longer-term moving averages and the persistence of lower highs. However, the short-term momentum indicators highlight potential for further upside if 1.1540 is decisively broken. Traders should closely monitor price action around 1.1505–1.1480, as holding above these levels would reinforce bullish dominance, while a break below could signal the start of a deeper retracement. In essence, EURUSD’s trajectory hinges on whether 1.1540 serves as a springboard for further gains, or whether the pair consolidates lower to reset momentum before resuming its broader trend. #fxopen #forex #forexanalysis Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand. For in-depth analysis, please check ...