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Date: 4th November 2025. Asian Markets Retreat as Traders Lock in Profits Despite AI Optimism. Asian shares retreated on Tuesday, tracking losses in US futures, as investors across the region took profits after a strong rally driven by AI-related optimism in global markets. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.7% to 51,497.20, slipping back after a national holiday and following recent record highs. South Korea’s Kospi dropped 2.4% to 4,121.74, reversing from its own recent rally, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 shed 0.9% to 8,813.70. In Greater China, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index erased early gains to end 0.6% lower at 25,983.29, and the Shanghai Composite declined 0.4% to 3,960.19, as investors booked profits amid caution over the sustainability of the AI-driven tech surge. Wall Street Mixed as AI Heavyweights Power Gains Overnight, US markets posted mixed results as AI enthusiasm once again lifted major indices. The S&P 500 rose 0.2%, edging closer to last week’s all-time high, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, slipped 0.5%, or 226 points, reflecting pressure from non-tech sectors. Nvidia remained a dominant force, rising 2.2% to extend its year-to-date gain to 54%. Amazon surged 4% after announcing a $38 billion partnership with OpenAI, under which the AI firm will use Amazon’s cloud infrastructure for its workloads. AI-related momentum also lifted IREN, which jumped 11.5% after securing a $9.7 billion contract with Microsoft that grants access to Nvidia’s chips. Palantir Technologies, up 165% year-to-date prior to earnings, added another 3.3% ahead of its results. Concerns Over Valuations and Earnings Sustainability Despite the ongoing tech rally, analysts are voicing concerns that the AI sector’s valuations may be overheating, drawing comparisons to the dot-com bubble of 2000. Still, corporate results have largely supported the gains-80% of S&P 500 companies have exceeded analysts’ profit forecasts so far, according to FactSet. With two-thirds of quarterly results in, companies in the S&P 500 are on pace for nearly 11% year-on-year earnings growth, keeping investors cautiously optimistic. However, some deals raised eyebrows on Wall Street. Kimberly-Clark plunged 14.6% after announcing the $48.7 billion acquisition of Kenvue, which rallied 12.3% on the news. The transaction has sparked debate about the cost and strategic value of large-cap consumer deals in a tightening economic environment. Economic Headwinds: Manufacturing and Tariff Pressures Economic sentiment was dented by a disappointing US manufacturing report, which showed activity contracting more sharply than expected in October. Several manufacturers cited tariff-related pressures under President Donald Trump’s administration, highlighting the impact of trade policies on input costs. Investors are also growing concerned about delays in key US economic data releases, including the non-farm payrolls report, due to the ongoing government shutdown in Washington. Futures Point to a Lower US Open In early Tuesday trading, US benchmark crude slipped $0.21 to $60.84 a barrel, while Brent crude fell $0.22 to $64.67. The US dollar weakened slightly, trading at 153.64 against the Japanese yen from 154.21 earlier. The euro was marginally softer at 1.1524. Ahead of the New York session, US stock futures signaled weakness, suggesting a cautious open. Dow futures dropped 0.5%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.8%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were down 1.1%, reflecting potential profit-taking after tech’s strong start to the week. As investors digest fresh earnings from AMD, Uber, Spotify, and Supermicro later today, the focus remains squarely on whether AI and cloud-related spending can continue to justify elevated market valuations amid persistent macroeconomic uncertainties. Key Takeaway While the AI revolution continues to drive enthusiasm and lift major US benchmarks, signs of profit-taking in Asia, valuation anxiety, and economic headwinds suggest markets could be entering a period of consolidation. Traders are now watching whether the next wave of corporate earnings, and Washington’s ability to resolve the shutdown, will sustain investor confidence or trigger a broader pullback. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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AUDUSD Pair Faces Bearish Pressure on H4 Chart AUD/USD, commonly referred to as the "Aussie," represents the exchange rate of the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar. It is one of the most actively traded currency pairs globally, reflecting the economic dynamics between Australia and the United States. Fundamental analysis indicates potential volatility today due to crucial news events including the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate decision and rate statement, both influential in guiding traders' expectations regarding future monetary policy. Positive or hawkish signals from the RBA, hinting at higher interest rates or stronger economic outlooks, would likely strengthen the Australian dollar. Conversely, commentary from Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman at the Santander Banking Conference, combined with U.S. consumer confidence data from RealClearMarkets, may influence USD strength depending on perceived economic optimism or signals toward future Fed policy adjustments. Image Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Technically, the AUD/USD H4 chart today indicates short-term bearish momentum, evident from the latest five consecutive bearish candles. The AUDUSD price action is currently within a narrowing Ichimoku green cloud, suggesting reduced volatility and potential trend uncertainty. Both Leading Spans A and B have flattened, hinting at indecision in market direction. The last candle closed below both the baseline (Kijun-sen) and conversion line (Tenkan-sen), aligning closely with the lagging span (Chikou Span). Additionally, the recent volume has been predominantly bearish, supported by four consecutive red volume bars. MACD indicators (12,26) are currently negative at -0.00029 and -0.00048 respectively, with a histogram reading at 0.00019, further suggesting bearish sentiment and possible continuation of the downward price action in the short term. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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